Middle East Spectator — MES – Telegram
Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

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Owner: @Hajj_Khomeini

Introduction: https://news.1rj.ru/str/Middle_East_Spectator/4

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— For some reason both, the Persian & Arabic versions of the Sabereen News, a Major & very popular Pro-PMF/Pro-Iran Iraqi media, suspended its activities until further notice https://news.1rj.ru/str/SabrenNews22/99802
— My take:

The Resistance Axis (most likely under direct guidance from Iran in this case) is looking to control the flow of information, likely in anticipation of any upcoming large scale U.S. agression in the region.
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🇺🇸/🇮🇷 'U.S. Intelligence Officials have determined that Tehran does not have full control of its proxy groups' – Politico

The above article by Politico is the media spin that the Biden administration will use as an excuse not to attack Iranian assets directly, or at least not inside Iran, as some have claimed would happen.

About two days ago, media went crazy over a statement posted by Kataeb Hezbollah, one of the militias in Iraq believed to be behind the recent drone attack in Jordan, stating that they would be suspending their offensive operations against U.S. forces in the region and would shift to a defensive posture.

However, the most interesting part of the statement was a paragraph in which they said: 'Some of our brothers in the Axis, especially in the Islamic Republic (of Iran) do not know how we do Jihad, and they often object to our pressure and escalation against U.S. occupation forces in Iraq and Syria.'

Both Pro-Resistance and Anti-Resistance commentators have used this as an opportunity to claim there is now a 'rift' between Iran and Kataeb Hezbollah. However, this is NOT the case.

In fact, this was clearly a calculated statement by Kataeb Hezbollah, or a psyop as some would call it, to make it SEEM like there was a rift between Iran and its proxies, including Kataeb Hezbollah.

If they could make it seem like there is a rift between Iran and its proxies, then Iran has plausible deniability regarding the attack on U.S. troops in Jordan; Iran can simple say 'See? We didn't know it was gonna happen, in fact we told them not to do these things!'

This gives the U.S. sufficient of an excuse NOT to strike Iran or Iranian assets directly, as they can now use Kataeb Hezbollah's statement as 'evidence' that Tehran does not directly control its proxies, and therefore, should not be held directly accountable for their escalatory actions in the region.

Kataeb Hezbollah's statement helped both Iran and the United States, as neither country wants the expansion of the war.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇺🇸/🇮🇷 'U.S. Intelligence Officials have determined that Tehran does not have full control of its proxy groups' – Politico The above article by Politico is the media spin that the Biden administration will use as an excuse not to attack Iranian assets directly…
— In this piece, I explain the recent controversial statement by Kataeb Hezbollah.

I recommend everyone to read it carefully. If you were frustrated by their statement, like many others, this will explain it.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇺🇸/🇮🇷 'U.S. Intelligence Officials have determined that Tehran does not have full control of its proxy groups' – Politico The above article by Politico is the media spin that the Biden administration will use as an excuse not to attack Iranian assets directly…
— Kataeb Hezbollah's statement explained, for those too lazy to read:

– Kataeb Hezbollah issued a statement, announcing the suspension of offensive operations against the U.S.

– They included a part where they criticized Iran, to make it seem like there is a rift between the two, implying that Iran actually told them to stand down, against their will.

– Boom, now the U.S. can say 'see? Iran doesn't control them directly, they even told them not to do it!'

– Iran now has plausible deniability for the Jordan attack, so America doesn't have to strike Iran or Iranian assets anymore to appease the public.

– It was all a psyop. Both Iran and the U.S. don't want war, so Kataeb gave them an excuse to not strike Iran. War was avoided.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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If I routinely posted longer analyses like these, would you read them?
Anonymous Poll
77%
Yes
23%
Most likely no
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I have a tiny bit of hope that my subs aren't tiktok-addicted NPCs without an attention span, please be true
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Middle East Spectator — MES
If I routinely posted longer analyses like these, would you read them?
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🇮🇱/🇸🇾 BREAKING: Large explosions reported in the Syrian capital, Damascus

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇮🇱/🇸🇾 BREAKING: Large explosions reported in the Syrian capital, Damascus @Middle_East_Spectator
🇮🇱/🇸🇾 NEW: Sayyida Zainab area in Damascus has come under airstrikes

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Probably IAF.
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🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: The U.S. bombing campaign against Iranian targets across Syria and Iraq is expected to begin within 48 hours – WSJ quoting Pentagon Officials

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
🇵🇸 🇮🇱 🇪🇬 Defense Minister Yoav Gallant declares the Israeli ground invasion will continue into Rafah, where 1.9 million civilians are currently sheltering. One Palestinian tells Reuters, “If the tanks storm in, it will be a massacre like never before.”

📎 Mondoweiss
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Forwarded from JOIN @MEDMANNEWS
⚡️🇵🇸 According to Hebrew Media Outlets (Ynet), the Israeli Air Force has called up retired pilots between the ages of 54 and 55 due to critical need of experienced pilots for the air force.

@themediterraneanman
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🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: B-1 bombers are now in the air, on a mission towards the Middle East, according to US Officials – Sky News Arabia

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from ResistanceTrench mirror
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Gallant, Minister of War of the Zionist regime: If Hezbollah thinks that when a ceasefire is established in the south, we will call for a ceasefire in North, they are very wrong.

🚩 @ResistanceTrench
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There are indications that U.S. military action is now imminent.
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🇮🇱/🇸🇾/🇮🇶 NEW: Explosions on the Iraq-Syria border

@Middle_East_Spectator
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🇮🇱/🇸🇾 NEW: Confirmed Zionist airstrikes in Al-Mayadeen and Al-Bukamal in Syria

UPDATE: It was Jordan working in coordination with the United States.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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— Airstrikes so far only in Eastern Syria, Deir Ezzor governorate.

None in Iraq reported currently.
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🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Reports of 'extremely tense' discussions in the White House now ongoing, regarding the possible upcoming attacks on Iranian-related targets – ABC

@Middle_East_Spectator
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🇮🇱/🇸🇾 UPDATE: The airstrikes in Deir Ezzor Governorate in Syria were carried out by Israel, not the United States – Politico citing Pentagon Officials

UPDATE: It was Jordan working in coordination with the United States.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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