Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇷 NEW: The final ISPA (Iranian Students Polling Agency) poll has been published 33.1% Pezeshkian (Reformist) 28.8% Jalili (Hardline-Conservative) 19.1% Ghalibaf (Populist-Moderate Conservative) ~5% Others @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇷 Regarding this poll:
With Pezeshkian now clearly in the lead, the Conservatives need to decide what to do; both remain in the race, risking a second round, or dropping out and uniting behind a single candidate. To win the Presidency in the first round, one candidate needs at least 51% of the vote.
If Ghalibaf steps down in favor of Jalili, the Conservatives could possibly even win the election in the first round, with a bit of luck. If nobody steps down, there will be a second round.
Allowing Pezeshkian to reach the second round, probably against Jalili, would risk higher voter turnout and a Reformist win in the second round.
@Middle_East_Spectator
With Pezeshkian now clearly in the lead, the Conservatives need to decide what to do; both remain in the race, risking a second round, or dropping out and uniting behind a single candidate. To win the Presidency in the first round, one candidate needs at least 51% of the vote.
If Ghalibaf steps down in favor of Jalili, the Conservatives could possibly even win the election in the first round, with a bit of luck. If nobody steps down, there will be a second round.
Allowing Pezeshkian to reach the second round, probably against Jalili, would risk higher voter turnout and a Reformist win in the second round.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇷 NEW: The final ISPA (Iranian Students Polling Agency) poll has been published 33.1% Pezeshkian (Reformist) 28.8% Jalili (Hardline-Conservative) 19.1% Ghalibaf (Populist-Moderate Conservative) ~5% Others @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇷 NEW: Dr. Saeed Jalili announces he will NOT withdraw from the race
A private meeting was held today between Ghalibaf, Jalili and supposedly Ismael Qaani, leader of the IRGC's Quds Force, in which they pressured Jalili to withdraw for Ghalibaf, despite Jalili polling higher.
Jalili did not give in to the pressure, and refuses to withdraw. Only two options remain now: Ghalibaf withdraws for Jalili, or both candidates remain and one of them will go to the second round against Pezeshkian.
@Middle_East_Spectator
A private meeting was held today between Ghalibaf, Jalili and supposedly Ismael Qaani, leader of the IRGC's Quds Force, in which they pressured Jalili to withdraw for Ghalibaf, despite Jalili polling higher.
Jalili did not give in to the pressure, and refuses to withdraw. Only two options remain now: Ghalibaf withdraws for Jalili, or both candidates remain and one of them will go to the second round against Pezeshkian.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇷 NEW: Dr. Saeed Jalili announces he will NOT withdraw from the race A private meeting was held today between Ghalibaf, Jalili and supposedly Ismael Qaani, leader of the IRGC's Quds Force, in which they pressured Jalili to withdraw for Ghalibaf, despite…
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— 🇮🇷 Dr. Saeed Jalili in a work meeting with Martyr President Ebrahim Raisi
He was raising concerns about Iran's farmers and the lack of attention to rural areas and the simple working man.
Iran's rural voters should not be underestimated. They are often not represented properly in the polls.
@Middle_East_Spectator
He was raising concerns about Iran's farmers and the lack of attention to rural areas and the simple working man.
Iran's rural voters should not be underestimated. They are often not represented properly in the polls.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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The election is going to be extremely close.
Personally, I think this is good, it restores people's trust in the system.
A high turnout will be very positive. As Imam Khamenei said, 'every vote in the election is a vote for the Islamic Republic'.
People who fundamentally oppose Iran's system (the Islamic Republic) usually never vote, so voter turnout is a decent indicator of the % of the population's support for IR.
Personally, I think this is good, it restores people's trust in the system.
A high turnout will be very positive. As Imam Khamenei said, 'every vote in the election is a vote for the Islamic Republic'.
People who fundamentally oppose Iran's system (the Islamic Republic) usually never vote, so voter turnout is a decent indicator of the % of the population's support for IR.
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— 🇮🇷 BREAKING: Presidential candidate Alireza Zakani drops out of the race
Zakani: 'I stayed until the end of the legal time of the competition, but the continuation of Martyr Raisi's path is more important.
I ask Jalili and Qalibaf to unite and not leave the revolutionary forces' rightful demands unanswered, and to prevent the formation of a Reformist government.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
Zakani: 'I stayed until the end of the legal time of the competition, but the continuation of Martyr Raisi's path is more important.
I ask Jalili and Qalibaf to unite and not leave the revolutionary forces' rightful demands unanswered, and to prevent the formation of a Reformist government.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇵🇰/🇮🇷 The Minister of Defense of Pakistan, Khawaja Mohammad Asif:
'Our country is determined to eradicate terrorism in its southwestern border areas, and it has gained the support of the Islamic Republic of Iran in fighting against this sinister phenomenon.
We have no challenges nor any obstacles in anti-terrorism cooperation with the Islamic Republic of Iran, and we firmly believe that we have Tehran's full support in eradicating terrorism.
Our countries will remain brotherly nations and we will work together on a path of strong friendship and cooperation in the military field.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
'Our country is determined to eradicate terrorism in its southwestern border areas, and it has gained the support of the Islamic Republic of Iran in fighting against this sinister phenomenon.
We have no challenges nor any obstacles in anti-terrorism cooperation with the Islamic Republic of Iran, and we firmly believe that we have Tehran's full support in eradicating terrorism.
Our countries will remain brotherly nations and we will work together on a path of strong friendship and cooperation in the military field.'
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— Fun fact: Iranian Presidential candidate Dr. Saeed Jalili advocated for Iran actively enriching up to 90% (weapons grade) uranium, when the United States pulled out of the Iran Nuclear Deal, as a retaliation
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Forwarded from Amir Tsarfati
Report in "Financial Times":
Israel is pushing for the creation of a "security zone" within a range of five kilometers inside Lebanon
Israel is pushing for the creation of a "security zone" within a range of five kilometers inside Lebanon
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Amir Tsarfati
Report in "Financial Times": Israel is pushing for the creation of a "security zone" within a range of five kilometers inside Lebanon
This was to be expected. I reported on it months ago, and I also privately voiced this possibility to my contacts.
The 'Litani River' thing was always an unrealistic goal for Israel.
The 'Litani River' thing was always an unrealistic goal for Israel.
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Amir Tsarfati
Report in "Financial Times": Israel is pushing for the creation of a "security zone" within a range of five kilometers inside Lebanon
This is what I told my friends a few weeks ago. Turns out I was right.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 BREAKING: An American Official tells us that the IDF is considering limited cross-border raids into southern Lebanon to create a sanitary zone of 5-10km
The raids will reportedly aim to establish control over roads leading out of Bint Jbeil, Aytaroun and other Lebanese border villages, in order to obstruct Hezbollah's direct access to the border area, reducing the amount of ATGM launches on northern Israeli settlements.
The Official tells us that Israel could use paratroopers, with additional support from the Golani Brigade. He adds, for now, that Netanyahu is still opposed to this plan.
@Middle_East_Spectator
The raids will reportedly aim to establish control over roads leading out of Bint Jbeil, Aytaroun and other Lebanese border villages, in order to obstruct Hezbollah's direct access to the border area, reducing the amount of ATGM launches on northern Israeli settlements.
The Official tells us that Israel could use paratroopers, with additional support from the Golani Brigade. He adds, for now, that Netanyahu is still opposed to this plan.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 BREAKING: An American Official tells us that the IDF is considering limited cross-border raids into southern Lebanon to create a sanitary zone of 5-10km The raids will reportedly aim to establish control over roads leading out of Bint Jbeil, Aytaroun…
And I also reported about this three weeks ago, from a very reliable source.
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Forwarded from NEW WORLD ORDYR 313
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 BREAKING: U.S. Intelligence indicates that a war between Israel and Hezbollah is approaching – Politico
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇵🇸🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: Israel's Security Ministerial Council, in charge of managing Area C and security sections of the Palestinian authority, announces the full implementation of Israeli law in ALL Palestinian territories in the West Bank, effectively annexing the West Bank.
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— 🇮🇷 ELECTION DAY HAS STARTED
Polls are now open for Iranians abroad in China, Japan, other countries in Asia, Australia and New Zealand.
Polls are now open for Iranians abroad in China, Japan, other countries in Asia, Australia and New Zealand.
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— 🇺🇸 WATCH: It's only 15 minutes into the debate and Biden's mind is already shutting down
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇺🇸 Trump: We killed 'El-Bagdaddy' and 'Soolimayne', which helped US border security hugely (what?)
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇺🇸 Biden: 'My son was not a loser or a sucker, YOU are a loser and a sucker'
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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