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Chargers LT Joe Alt made the 2026 AFC Pro Bowl roster despite playing in only 6 games this year. Because of that, the cost of his 5th year option jumps from 19m to ~25m

I saw a clip of Nick Wright on X talking about how Pro Bowl voting needs to be overhauled because of examples like this. For first-round picks, the fifth-year option amount isn’t fixed just by draft slot anymore. Instead, it has four tiers:

Basic Tier: lowest salary, based mostly on positional averages.

Playtime Tier: higher than basic, based on playing time thresholds.

One Pro Bowl Tier: earns a salary equal to the transition tag at his position.

Multiple Pro Bowls Tier: earns a salary equal to the franchise tag at his position.

FWIW, alternate Pro Bowl selections do not count towards this. So Drake Maye for example, who was like the 8th backup Pro Bowler last year but a legit Pro Bowler this year, only has one pro Bowl counting towards his 5th year option raise.

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Game Thread: Dallas Cowboys (6-8-1) at Washington Commanders (4-11)

#Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

[ESPN Gamecast](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=401772710)

Northwest Stadium- Landover, MD

Network(s): Netflix

***

|Time Clock|
|:--:|
|4:44 - 1st|

**Scoreboard**

||Q1|Q2|Q3|Q4|Total|
|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|
|DAL|7|--|--|--|7|
|WSH|3|--|--|--|3|


**Scoring Plays**

| Team | Quarter | Type | Denoscription |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| DAL | 1 | TD | Jake Ferguson 6 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Brandon Aubrey Kick) |
| WSH | 1 | FG | Jake Moody 29 Yd Field Goal |




**Passing Leaders**

|Team|Player|C/ATT|YDS|TD|INT|SACKS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DAL | Dak Prescott | 2/6 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 |
| WSH | Josh Johnson | 3/3 | 68 | 0 | 0 | 1-8 |

**Rushing Leaders**

|Team|Player|CAR|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DAL | Javonte Williams | 6 | 23 | 3.8 | 0 | 9 |
| WSH | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | 0 | 2 |

**Receiving Leaders**

|Team|Player|REC|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|TGTS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DAL | George Pickens | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 |
| WSH | Deebo Samuel | 1 | 41 | 41.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 |


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Game Thread: Detroit Lions (8-7) at Minnesota Vikings (7-8)

#Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

[ESPN Gamecast](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=401772711)

U.S. Bank Stadium- Minneapolis, MN

Network(s): Netflix

***

|Time Clock|
|:--:|
|11:13 - 2nd|

**Scoreboard**

||Q1|Q2|Q3|Q4|Total|
|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|
|DET|0|0|--|--|0|
|MIN|7|0|--|--|7|


**Scoring Plays**

| Team | Quarter | Type | Denoscription |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| MIN | 1 | TD | Aaron Jones Sr. 1 Yd Rush (Will Reichard Kick) |




**Passing Leaders**

|Team|Player|C/ATT|YDS|TD|INT|SACKS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DET | Jared Goff | 3/3 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1-7 |
| MIN | Max Brosmer | 4/6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3-29 |

**Rushing Leaders**

|Team|Player|CAR|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DET | Jahmyr Gibbs | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | 0 | 4 |
| MIN | Aaron Jones Sr. | 10 | 37 | 3.7 | 1 | 10 |

**Receiving Leaders**

|Team|Player|REC|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|TGTS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DET | Jameson Williams | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 |
| MIN | Justin Jefferson | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 |


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Post Game Thread: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

#Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders

[ESPN Gamecast](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401772710/cowboys-commanders)

Northwest Stadium- Landover, MD

Network(s): Netflix

***

|Time Clock|
|:--:|
|Final|

**Scoreboard**

||Q1|Q2|Q3|Q4|Total|
|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|
|DAL|7|17|3|3|30|
|WSH|3|7|10|3|23|


**Scoring Plays**

| Team | Quarter | Type | Denoscription |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| DAL | 1 | TD | Jake Ferguson 6 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Brandon Aubrey Kick) |
| WSH | 1 | FG | Jake Moody 29 Yd Field Goal |
| DAL | 2 | TD | Javonte Williams 4 Yd Rush (Brandon Aubrey Kick) |
| DAL | 2 | TD | KaVontae Turpin 86 Yd pass from Dak Prescott (Brandon Aubrey Kick) |
| WSH | 2 | TD | Jacory Croskey-Merritt 10 Yd Rush (Jake Moody Kick) |
| DAL | 2 | FG | Brandon Aubrey 42 Yd Field Goal |
| WSH | 3 | TD | Jacory Croskey-Merritt 72 Yd Rush (Jake Moody Kick) |
| DAL | 3 | FG | Brandon Aubrey 52 Yd Field Goal |
| WSH | 3 | FG | Jake Moody 23 Yd Field Goal |
| DAL | 4 | FG | Brandon Aubrey 51 Yd Field Goal |
| WSH | 4 | FG | Jake Moody 51 Yd Field Goal |




**Passing Leaders**

|Team|Player|C/ATT|YDS|TD|INT|SACKS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DAL | Dak Prescott | 19/37 | 307 | 2 | 0 | 6-38 |
| WSH | Josh Johnson | 15/23 | 198 | 0 | 0 | 1-8 |

**Rushing Leaders**

|Team|Player|CAR|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DAL | Malik Davis | 20 | 103 | 5.2 | 0 | 21 |
| WSH | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 11 | 105 | 9.5 | 2 | 72 |

**Receiving Leaders**

|Team|Player|REC|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|TGTS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DAL | KaVontae Turpin | 1 | 86 | 86.0 | 1 | 86 | 1 |
| WSH | Deebo Samuel | 2 | 68 | 34.0 | 0 | 41 | 4 |


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Game Thread: Denver Broncos (12-3) at Kansas City Chiefs (6-9)

#Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

[ESPN Gamecast](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=401772622)

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium- Kansas City, MO

Network(s): Prime Video [(All prime games are also streamed on twitch for free)](https://www.twitch.tv/primevideo)

***

|Time Clock|
|:--:|
|0:19 - 2nd|

**Scoreboard**

||Q1|Q2|Q3|Q4|Total|
|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|
|DEN|3|3|--|--|6|
|KC|0|7|--|--|7|


**Scoring Plays**

| Team | Quarter | Type | Denoscription |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| DEN | 1 | FG | Wil Lutz 27 Yd Field Goal |
| KC | 2 | TD | Brashard Smith 5 Yd pass from Chris Oladokun (Harrison Butker Kick) |
| DEN | 2 | FG | Wil Lutz 30 Yd Field Goal |




**Passing Leaders**

|Team|Player|C/ATT|YDS|TD|INT|SACKS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DEN | Bo Nix | 13/22 | 86 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 |
| KC | Chris Oladokun | 5/9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 |

**Rushing Leaders**

|Team|Player|CAR|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DEN | Jaleel McLaughlin | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | 0 | 15 |
| KC | Isiah Pacheco | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | 0 | 13 |

**Receiving Leaders**

|Team|Player|REC|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|TGTS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DEN | RJ Harvey | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | 0 | 9 | 4 |
| KC | Travis Kelce | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 0 | 11 | 2 |


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Both of Last Year's 1 Seeds (KC, DET) Have Failed to Make the Playoffs This Year.

The last time this happened was 2022, where the 2021 1 Seeds (TEN and GB) failed to make the playoffs the following year.

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Post Game Thread: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

#Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

[ESPN Gamecast](https://www.espn.com/nfl/game/_/gameId/401772622/broncos-chiefs)

GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium- Kansas City, MO

Network(s): Prime Video [(All prime games are also streamed on twitch for free)](https://www.twitch.tv/primevideo)

***

|Time Clock|
|:--:|
|Final|

**Scoreboard**

||Q1|Q2|Q3|Q4|Total|
|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|:--:|
|DEN|3|3|7|7|20|
|KC|0|7|3|3|13|


**Scoring Plays**

| Team | Quarter | Type | Denoscription |
|:--|:--|:--|:--|
| DEN | 1 | FG | Wil Lutz 27 Yd Field Goal |
| KC | 2 | TD | Brashard Smith 5 Yd pass from Chris Oladokun (Harrison Butker Kick) |
| DEN | 2 | FG | Wil Lutz 30 Yd Field Goal |
| KC | 3 | FG | Harrison Butker 53 Yd Field Goal |
| DEN | 3 | TD | Bo Nix 9 Yd Rush (Wil Lutz Kick) |
| KC | 4 | FG | Harrison Butker 47 Yd Field Goal |
| DEN | 4 | TD | RJ Harvey 1 Yd pass from Bo Nix (Wil Lutz Kick) |




**Passing Leaders**

|Team|Player|C/ATT|YDS|TD|INT|SACKS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DEN | Bo Nix | 26/38 | 182 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 |
| KC | Chris Oladokun | 13/22 | 66 | 1 | 0 | 1-9 |

**Rushing Leaders**

|Team|Player|CAR|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DEN | RJ Harvey | 14 | 43 | 3.1 | 0 | 11 |
| KC | Kareem Hunt | 7 | 38 | 5.4 | 0 | 14 |

**Receiving Leaders**

|Team|Player|REC|YDS|AVG|TD|LONG|TGTS|
|:--|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| DEN | Courtland Sutton | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 0 | 23 | 10 |
| KC | Travis Kelce | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | 0 | 14 | 6 |


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[OC] If Dallas beats the Giants in week eighteen, they have a chance of achieving only the second perfect season in NFL history.

The 7-8-1 Cowboys travel to New York (New Jersey, whatever) to play the 2-13 Giants. They will be obvious favorites coming into the game and will probably win, ending their season at 8-8-1. Being a .500 team during the 17-game era is impressive, but Dallas wouldn’t be the only team to accomplish this feat. Out of the 160 combined team seasons (32 teams \* 5 years) in the 17-game era, only one team has done this…the [2022 Washington Commanders](https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/was/2022.htm?__hstc=213859787.25287edd6fe7f70cc880c0c55da6e55e.1757823419524.1766596011900.1766755846656.33&__hssc=213859787.4.1766755846656&__hsfp=2637335241) who went 8-8-1.

So yeah…it’s hard to be .500 when the schedule is an odd number of games, and Dallas can be in the 1.2% of teams to ever do this, and that’s pretty cool. But the **PERFECT SEASON** is in play here.

**A perfect season is a .500 winning percentage and a point differential of exactly zero**. (Sorry, Bob Griese, Larry Csonka, and Jim Kiick)

**With a 23-point win over the Giants, Dallas would be one of only two teams in history with a perfect season.**

Out of 2,416 team seasons in NFL/AFL history, only one…ONE team in history has ended at .500 with a 0-point differential, a perfect season. **This feat was accomplished by the** [**1984 Bengals**](https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/cin/1984.htm?__hstc=213859787.25287edd6fe7f70cc880c0c55da6e55e.1757823419524.1766596011900.1766755846656.33&__hssc=213859787.20.1766755846656&__hsfp=2637335241) coached by Sam Wyche and led by a trio of quarterbacks, Ken Anderson, Turk Schonert, and Boomer Esiason, all with at least three starts.  

As hard as a perfect season has been in the past, it is orders of magnitude harder today given the 17-game schedule. It requires a tie, which has happened only 0.3% of the time since 2021 in the 17-game schedule era (eight ties out of 2,660 games). And of course, the tie must be for an 8-8 team, so the odds dwindle quickly.

As shitty as the Giants are this year and approaching the potential number one pick in the draft, a big win by Dallas in week eighteen is a reasonable expectation. A 23-point win has happened [216 times in NFL history](https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/tiny/AE4tF). More recently we have had two this season, five last year, and 8 in 2023. The Giants have yet to lose a game by 23 or more this year (lost by 18 twice), and Dallas has yet to win by 23+ (won by 22), but the final week can bring about some freaky results with resting players, guys mentally checked out, and tanking being in play.  It is also possible that some Cowboys come across this post, realize what's at stake, and *try* for *exactly* \+23 (Dak, CeeDee…we know your one of us, give us the usernames!)

If Dallas can pull this off, here are the most likely scores based on the number of occurrences in history:

* 30-7 (47 occurrences)
* 23-0 (40 occurrences)
* 37-14 (34 occurrences)

Dallas has a chance to be great; to do the almost impossible; to do something only 0.04% of teams have ever done…a Perfect Season. The most disappointing outcome would be a 22- or 24-point-win. Keep an eye on this game on January 4^(th), and tune in during the fourth quarter, because these moments don’t come around often.

Happy Holidays, Happy New Year

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[Schatz] Just ran DVOA for yesterday, and this surprised me but the Vikings didn't even come close to the worst offensive DVOA performance in a win. Vikings were at -38%. Worst offense in a win was Chicago -83% in the "crown their ass" game in 2006. 4 of the 5 worst offensive DVOAs in wins are the
https://bsky.app/profile/aaronschatz.com/post/3mavln24zds2w

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