Common misconception here. If you're wondering if I just disclosed sensitive data about positions' location, that is not true. Both sides know exactly where the other side's positions are, from the biggest trench systems to individual dugouts in the middle of forests dug a couple of days earlier. I'm not revealing anything new here. Furthermore, the sources I use to find these trenches are publicly available online, you too can check them out.
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There are updates about the satellite imagery I use to map trenches. More updates to follow, stay tuned.
Shortly on the situation at #Vesele.
Yesterday, #Russia was able to advance to the village's northernmost houses, where they were recorded with a flag (47.935572,36.758908)¹.
There, they were able to consolidate because of strong artillery and drone activity, that destroyed armour in the region and suppressed #Ukrainian positions². This, coupled with a risky flanking attack from #Dniproenerhiia³, enabled the #Russians to reach a point of almost full control over the village.⁴
At the moment, assault actions are already ongoing for Fedorivka, just north of Vesele⁵. No success has been reported for now.
The problem in all this stands in the fact that Vesele was one of the key pins of #Ukraine's 2nd #Zaporizhzhia line, as you can see from photo #2.
This moments are #Ukraine's last chances to contain #Russian forces here without transferring reserves to the detriment of other parts of the frontline. Either the village has to be recaptured, or Fedorivka and the strongholds further west belonging to the 2nd #Zaporizhzhia line maintained. Otherwise, the defensive line will fold on itself and put at serious risk whatever is further south.
The #Ukrainians recognized this threat already some time ago, and started hastily placing barbed wire and dragon's teeth, digging anti-tank ditches and new trenches and upgrading older systems. The line, though, is at low levels of completion, rendering its use limited.
In photo #3 I made visible Russian attack routes and Ukrainian fortifications, while in photo #4 you can easily see a Ukrainian 2023 trench system and a 2022 system just south-west of the town. About the 2023 one, it's clear that it was made to withstand Russian attacks coming from the south (as you can see there are many more dugouts and covered firing positions in the southern part of the system), so it's unlikely they will be able to hold out for long if they will be attacked from the north-east.
¹https://news.1rj.ru/str/voin_dv/14234
²https://news.1rj.ru/str/muchnoyairborn/11732
³https://deepstatemap.live/en#15/47.9335248/36.7798662
⁴ ⁵https://news.1rj.ru/str/muchnoyairborn/11745
Yesterday, #Russia was able to advance to the village's northernmost houses, where they were recorded with a flag (47.935572,36.758908)¹.
There, they were able to consolidate because of strong artillery and drone activity, that destroyed armour in the region and suppressed #Ukrainian positions². This, coupled with a risky flanking attack from #Dniproenerhiia³, enabled the #Russians to reach a point of almost full control over the village.⁴
At the moment, assault actions are already ongoing for Fedorivka, just north of Vesele⁵. No success has been reported for now.
The problem in all this stands in the fact that Vesele was one of the key pins of #Ukraine's 2nd #Zaporizhzhia line, as you can see from photo #2.
This moments are #Ukraine's last chances to contain #Russian forces here without transferring reserves to the detriment of other parts of the frontline. Either the village has to be recaptured, or Fedorivka and the strongholds further west belonging to the 2nd #Zaporizhzhia line maintained. Otherwise, the defensive line will fold on itself and put at serious risk whatever is further south.
The #Ukrainians recognized this threat already some time ago, and started hastily placing barbed wire and dragon's teeth, digging anti-tank ditches and new trenches and upgrading older systems. The line, though, is at low levels of completion, rendering its use limited.
In photo #3 I made visible Russian attack routes and Ukrainian fortifications, while in photo #4 you can easily see a Ukrainian 2023 trench system and a 2022 system just south-west of the town. About the 2023 one, it's clear that it was made to withstand Russian attacks coming from the south (as you can see there are many more dugouts and covered firing positions in the southern part of the system), so it's unlikely they will be able to hold out for long if they will be attacked from the north-east.
¹https://news.1rj.ru/str/voin_dv/14234
²https://news.1rj.ru/str/muchnoyairborn/11732
³https://deepstatemap.live/en#15/47.9335248/36.7798662
⁴ ⁵https://news.1rj.ru/str/muchnoyairborn/11745
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Воин DV
⚡️⚡️⚡️Н.п. Веселое под безоговорочным контролем группировки "Восток"
💥 Воином отряда "Штурмовой" с позывным "Бес" 5 отдельной гвардейской танковой бригады 36 общевойсковой армии установлено знамя Победы, которое гордо реет над крышей одного из домов, подтверждая…
💥 Воином отряда "Штурмовой" с позывным "Бес" 5 отдельной гвардейской танковой бригады 36 общевойсковой армии установлено знамя Победы, которое гордо реет над крышей одного из домов, подтверждая…
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I'm working on the next analysis about the new Russian offensives. I'm quite sure I've been able to correctly identify their goals. Stay tuned
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On the situation in the Kotlyne salient (Uspenivka - Shevchenko):
- The Russians entered Uspenivka, there are fire engagements on the westernmost street of the village, which the Russians are trying to clear out. The reporters claiming about complete control over the village are, as such, false.
- Russian forces were able to at least partially return under their control areas recently recaptured between Udachne and Kotlyne (specifically, the railway). The sides are facing each other on the windbreaks on the opposite sides of the railway. At the moment, fighting is ongoing for the Ukrainian-controlled windbreak.
- In the northern part of Shevchenko there are also fire engagements. There, talking about control is impossible. The situation is extremely dynamic, and positions change hands often.
- In general, the Ukrainians are significantly fortifying their positions in the Pokrovs'k direction, even digging some underground tunnels. At the moment, even though severely lacking manpower, the Ukrainians are fighting to the best of their capabilities. For the Russian side, instead, Ukrainian drones prove to be a severe problem.
The information you just read is the most accurate and up-to-date you can currently find, and it was given to me by a soldier currently fighting somewhere in the Kotlyne salient.
If you would also like to tell me about your opinions, especially if you live near the front or if you're also fighting, I would be extremely glad to hear them. Your identity will be kept secret, and information will not be divulged without your consent.
- The Russians entered Uspenivka, there are fire engagements on the westernmost street of the village, which the Russians are trying to clear out. The reporters claiming about complete control over the village are, as such, false.
- Russian forces were able to at least partially return under their control areas recently recaptured between Udachne and Kotlyne (specifically, the railway). The sides are facing each other on the windbreaks on the opposite sides of the railway. At the moment, fighting is ongoing for the Ukrainian-controlled windbreak.
- In the northern part of Shevchenko there are also fire engagements. There, talking about control is impossible. The situation is extremely dynamic, and positions change hands often.
- In general, the Ukrainians are significantly fortifying their positions in the Pokrovs'k direction, even digging some underground tunnels. At the moment, even though severely lacking manpower, the Ukrainians are fighting to the best of their capabilities. For the Russian side, instead, Ukrainian drones prove to be a severe problem.
The information you just read is the most accurate and up-to-date you can currently find, and it was given to me by a soldier currently fighting somewhere in the Kotlyne salient.
If you would also like to tell me about your opinions, especially if you live near the front or if you're also fighting, I would be extremely glad to hear them. Your identity will be kept secret, and information will not be divulged without your consent.
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Today there has been progress from the Russian side in Uspenivka along the westernmost street, but it's too early to talk about consolidation, fighting is still ongoing.
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There is significant progress from the Ukrainian side regarding construction of fortifications along the whole front. I'm still mapping as of now, if I won't be able to report further on this, everything will be listed in the usual end-of-month fortification summary. For now, the most active directions are Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk and the Kramatorsk - Kostyantynivka agglomeration.
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By the way, I'm also working on something big, which will be finished in a week or so.
For now, let's just say it's better than Google MyMaps 😁😁
For now, let's just say it's better than Google MyMaps 😁😁
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In the meantime, keep yourself informed with this thread from Clément, where he kinda "deciphers" my lately cryptic messages about Ukrainian fortification works. A little longer than usual, but 100% worth it.
https://x.com/clement_molin/status/1915417935574687965
https://x.com/clement_molin/status/1915417935574687965
X (formerly Twitter)
Clément Molin (@clement_molin) on X
Dans l'est de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦, des centaines de kilomètres de fortifications sont érigées pour empêcher/ralentir/détourner la progression russe 🇷🇺.
Analyse des nouvelles tranchées de ces dernières semaines et des stratégies de défense côté ukrainien.
🧵THREAD🧵1/25⬇️
Analyse des nouvelles tranchées de ces dernières semaines et des stratégies de défense côté ukrainien.
🧵THREAD🧵1/25⬇️
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Nadiivka/Nadezhdynka.
Russian forces of the 90th Tank Division advanced in the village's private sector and entered the fortified "Hangars" just northwest of it.
With this style of control representation, you can easily notice how precarious Ukrainian positions are in the area.
Here, I did not mark as Russian controlled fields, swamps, roads, and similar objects, but rather only places where there is actual Russian presence. That is, dugouts, houses, forests, treelines.
Russian forces of the 90th Tank Division advanced in the village's private sector and entered the fortified "Hangars" just northwest of it.
With this style of control representation, you can easily notice how precarious Ukrainian positions are in the area.
Here, I did not mark as Russian controlled fields, swamps, roads, and similar objects, but rather only places where there is actual Russian presence. That is, dugouts, houses, forests, treelines.
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🇷🇺 Уважаемые подписчики! Если вы сейчас сражаетесь на передовой или живете недалеко от нее, я был бы очень признателен, если бы вы связались со мной и ответили на пару вопросов о ситуации там. Ваша личность останется анонимной, и ничего не будет опубликовано без вашего согласия.
🇬🇧 Dear subscribers! If you're currently fighting at the frontline or live near it, I would really appreciate it if you could contact me and answer a couple of questions about the situation there. Your identity will remain anonymous, and nothing will be published without your consent.
🇬🇧 Dear subscribers! If you're currently fighting at the frontline or live near it, I would really appreciate it if you could contact me and answer a couple of questions about the situation there. Your identity will remain anonymous, and nothing will be published without your consent.
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By the way, to clear some confusion, if I type or make an announcement in Russian it doesn't mean I'm preferring it to Ukrainian. It's simply a lingua franca that both Russians and Ukrainians generally understand, while if I would've made it in Ukrainian, only Ukrainians and not many Russians would've understood it.
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For those who still don't know, from today onwards I'll post a cut picture of a trench, that could be located anywhere (in the close Ukrainian or Russian rear or right at the contact line). You guys' job is to find the exact location of it. So, some sort of trench guessing game. Give this one a try!
Difficulty: Hard 📈
Difficulty: Hard 📈
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If you've noticed that I missed anything for my fortification map (trenches, ditches, teeth, barbed wire, positions), don't hesitate to ping/DM me the video/photo where they're visible. Unfortunately I don't have eyes all over the web, but if you help me, I'll be able to further refine and improve my trench map. Thanks!