I'm working on the next analysis about the new Russian offensives. I'm quite sure I've been able to correctly identify their goals. Stay tuned
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On the situation in the Kotlyne salient (Uspenivka - Shevchenko):
- The Russians entered Uspenivka, there are fire engagements on the westernmost street of the village, which the Russians are trying to clear out. The reporters claiming about complete control over the village are, as such, false.
- Russian forces were able to at least partially return under their control areas recently recaptured between Udachne and Kotlyne (specifically, the railway). The sides are facing each other on the windbreaks on the opposite sides of the railway. At the moment, fighting is ongoing for the Ukrainian-controlled windbreak.
- In the northern part of Shevchenko there are also fire engagements. There, talking about control is impossible. The situation is extremely dynamic, and positions change hands often.
- In general, the Ukrainians are significantly fortifying their positions in the Pokrovs'k direction, even digging some underground tunnels. At the moment, even though severely lacking manpower, the Ukrainians are fighting to the best of their capabilities. For the Russian side, instead, Ukrainian drones prove to be a severe problem.
The information you just read is the most accurate and up-to-date you can currently find, and it was given to me by a soldier currently fighting somewhere in the Kotlyne salient.
If you would also like to tell me about your opinions, especially if you live near the front or if you're also fighting, I would be extremely glad to hear them. Your identity will be kept secret, and information will not be divulged without your consent.
- The Russians entered Uspenivka, there are fire engagements on the westernmost street of the village, which the Russians are trying to clear out. The reporters claiming about complete control over the village are, as such, false.
- Russian forces were able to at least partially return under their control areas recently recaptured between Udachne and Kotlyne (specifically, the railway). The sides are facing each other on the windbreaks on the opposite sides of the railway. At the moment, fighting is ongoing for the Ukrainian-controlled windbreak.
- In the northern part of Shevchenko there are also fire engagements. There, talking about control is impossible. The situation is extremely dynamic, and positions change hands often.
- In general, the Ukrainians are significantly fortifying their positions in the Pokrovs'k direction, even digging some underground tunnels. At the moment, even though severely lacking manpower, the Ukrainians are fighting to the best of their capabilities. For the Russian side, instead, Ukrainian drones prove to be a severe problem.
The information you just read is the most accurate and up-to-date you can currently find, and it was given to me by a soldier currently fighting somewhere in the Kotlyne salient.
If you would also like to tell me about your opinions, especially if you live near the front or if you're also fighting, I would be extremely glad to hear them. Your identity will be kept secret, and information will not be divulged without your consent.
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Today there has been progress from the Russian side in Uspenivka along the westernmost street, but it's too early to talk about consolidation, fighting is still ongoing.
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There is significant progress from the Ukrainian side regarding construction of fortifications along the whole front. I'm still mapping as of now, if I won't be able to report further on this, everything will be listed in the usual end-of-month fortification summary. For now, the most active directions are Novopavlivka, Pokrovsk and the Kramatorsk - Kostyantynivka agglomeration.
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By the way, I'm also working on something big, which will be finished in a week or so.
For now, let's just say it's better than Google MyMaps 😁😁
For now, let's just say it's better than Google MyMaps 😁😁
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In the meantime, keep yourself informed with this thread from Clément, where he kinda "deciphers" my lately cryptic messages about Ukrainian fortification works. A little longer than usual, but 100% worth it.
https://x.com/clement_molin/status/1915417935574687965
https://x.com/clement_molin/status/1915417935574687965
X (formerly Twitter)
Clément Molin (@clement_molin) on X
Dans l'est de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦, des centaines de kilomètres de fortifications sont érigées pour empêcher/ralentir/détourner la progression russe 🇷🇺.
Analyse des nouvelles tranchées de ces dernières semaines et des stratégies de défense côté ukrainien.
🧵THREAD🧵1/25⬇️
Analyse des nouvelles tranchées de ces dernières semaines et des stratégies de défense côté ukrainien.
🧵THREAD🧵1/25⬇️
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Nadiivka/Nadezhdynka.
Russian forces of the 90th Tank Division advanced in the village's private sector and entered the fortified "Hangars" just northwest of it.
With this style of control representation, you can easily notice how precarious Ukrainian positions are in the area.
Here, I did not mark as Russian controlled fields, swamps, roads, and similar objects, but rather only places where there is actual Russian presence. That is, dugouts, houses, forests, treelines.
Russian forces of the 90th Tank Division advanced in the village's private sector and entered the fortified "Hangars" just northwest of it.
With this style of control representation, you can easily notice how precarious Ukrainian positions are in the area.
Here, I did not mark as Russian controlled fields, swamps, roads, and similar objects, but rather only places where there is actual Russian presence. That is, dugouts, houses, forests, treelines.
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🇷🇺 Уважаемые подписчики! Если вы сейчас сражаетесь на передовой или живете недалеко от нее, я был бы очень признателен, если бы вы связались со мной и ответили на пару вопросов о ситуации там. Ваша личность останется анонимной, и ничего не будет опубликовано без вашего согласия.
🇬🇧 Dear subscribers! If you're currently fighting at the frontline or live near it, I would really appreciate it if you could contact me and answer a couple of questions about the situation there. Your identity will remain anonymous, and nothing will be published without your consent.
🇬🇧 Dear subscribers! If you're currently fighting at the frontline or live near it, I would really appreciate it if you could contact me and answer a couple of questions about the situation there. Your identity will remain anonymous, and nothing will be published without your consent.
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By the way, to clear some confusion, if I type or make an announcement in Russian it doesn't mean I'm preferring it to Ukrainian. It's simply a lingua franca that both Russians and Ukrainians generally understand, while if I would've made it in Ukrainian, only Ukrainians and not many Russians would've understood it.
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For those who still don't know, from today onwards I'll post a cut picture of a trench, that could be located anywhere (in the close Ukrainian or Russian rear or right at the contact line). You guys' job is to find the exact location of it. So, some sort of trench guessing game. Give this one a try!
Difficulty: Hard 📈
Difficulty: Hard 📈
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If you've noticed that I missed anything for my fortification map (trenches, ditches, teeth, barbed wire, positions), don't hesitate to ping/DM me the video/photo where they're visible. Unfortunately I don't have eyes all over the web, but if you help me, I'll be able to further refine and improve my trench map. Thanks!
The #Russians cleared out the #Ukrainian pocket in the westernmost houses of the settlement that found itself in operational encirclement and occupied their positions. Small #Russian advancement west of the town in a treeline.
Total area: 0.10 km²
Total area: 0.10 km²
The Russians were able to enter the areas left by the Ukrainians on the western street of Uspenivka and are clearing them out. Attacks are also registered on Novooleksandrivka, results are so far unknown.
Slight Russian advancements in the forests between Nadiivka and Kotylarivka northwards.
The Russians cleared out the forested area north of Troitske and are advancing north of it along a treeline, capturing some small trench systems.
Total area: 0.28 km²
Slight Russian advancements in the forests between Nadiivka and Kotylarivka northwards.
The Russians cleared out the forested area north of Troitske and are advancing north of it along a treeline, capturing some small trench systems.
Total area: 0.28 km²
About the Russian group spotted and shelled in Pokrovs'k itself, it has likely been a discovered sabotage group or lost soldiers. It is a more common occurrence than many think, there, for the Russians. In short, very likely no consolidation.
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Also, again about fortifications and trench systems.
The front nowadays is littered with 2022-2024 trenches. These were built not knowing that the war would become a drone-based war in just months or a year, and as such present little to no dugouts. These were fine for their time, but not anymore.
The truth is, no Ukrainian or Russian soldier is going to hold any type of defense in an open trench in crystal-clear view of enemy drones. The actual position is the dugout, while the trenches serve a secondary purpose relative to it (often they become communication trenches).
So, if you see massive trench systems on the map and wonder, "How did the Ukrainians lose that so quickly?", please remember that a massive system with no dugouts, nowadays, serves 0 purpose and will be literally abandoned. A simple treeline is going to be a much safer option for the soldiers. And a simple, decently equipped trench system in it is going to be even better. This was also one of the main reasons of the Russian defensive success when talking about the 2023 counter-offensive.
In the pictures are some examples of trench systems that might look great but are in practice useless.
The front nowadays is littered with 2022-2024 trenches. These were built not knowing that the war would become a drone-based war in just months or a year, and as such present little to no dugouts. These were fine for their time, but not anymore.
The truth is, no Ukrainian or Russian soldier is going to hold any type of defense in an open trench in crystal-clear view of enemy drones. The actual position is the dugout, while the trenches serve a secondary purpose relative to it (often they become communication trenches).
So, if you see massive trench systems on the map and wonder, "How did the Ukrainians lose that so quickly?", please remember that a massive system with no dugouts, nowadays, serves 0 purpose and will be literally abandoned. A simple treeline is going to be a much safer option for the soldiers. And a simple, decently equipped trench system in it is going to be even better. This was also one of the main reasons of the Russian defensive success when talking about the 2023 counter-offensive.
In the pictures are some examples of trench systems that might look great but are in practice useless.
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