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QVINTA ÆTAS
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FIFTH GENERATION CONFLICTS | HYBRID WARFARE REPORT HUB
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QVINTA ÆTAS
🇺🇦🇷🇺⚡️ MoD of Russia: "⚡️ Summary of the Russian Ministry of Defense on the progress of repelling the attempted invasion of the Ukrainian Armed Forces into the territory of the Russian Federation in the Kursk region (as of October 21, 2024)   The Armed…
🇺🇦🇷🇺🔥 Rybar:

"🇷🇺🇺🇦 Kursk direction: use of the APU of the Abrams tank in Novoivanovka — situation at the end of October 21, 2024

In the Kursk direction, clashes continue in several areas where Ukrainian formations are trying to gain a foothold on Russian territory.

▪️No significant changes have been recorded in the Glushkovsky district over the past 24 hours; fighting continues in the vicinity of the village of Novy Put. Russian troops are clearing the previously liberated territory, pushing Ukrainian formations further south, towards the Sumy region. The fire work of the Russian Armed Forces against the positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the border zone continues - in Pavlovka a group of Ukrainian infantrymen came under attack from a Russian drone.

▪️In the Korenevsky district, groups of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, caught in a semi-encirclement in the Tolstoy Lug area, are trying to get out of it at the Green Way - Nizhny Klin line. At the same time, to the north, Ukrainian formations in armored vehicles broke through to Novoivanovka and drove along the central street of the village, shooting at residential buildings from a tank and an M2A2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicle. This is the first recorded case of American-made M1A1SA Abrams being used in the Kursk region.

▪️In the Sudzhansky district, objective control footage made it possible to clarify the configuration of the front line near Cherkasy Porechny, where a drone strike was carried out on the forward positions of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. In the central part of the temporarily occupied territory of the region, Russian drones hit an enemy howitzer crew in Zazulevka, and the “Pacer” UAV hit the position of the “Nota” electronic warfare system, camouflaged in a forest belt on the outskirts of Zaoleshenka, which geographically merges with the regional center.

In addition, in the area of ​​the village of Kolmakov, servicemen of the 11th Airborne Brigade destroyed an APU robot with a 50-caliber Browning machine gun, which was rolling out onto the highway leading to Makhnovka.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦🔥 Rybar: "🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicle of a special military operation for October 19-20, 2024 Russian troops launched a series of attacks on targets in territory controlled by the Kyiv regime. Fighting continues in the Kursk direction. The enemy tried to violate…
🇷🇺🇺🇦🔥 Rybar:

"🇷🇺🇺🇦 Chronicle of a special military operation for October 21, 2024

Russian troops launched missile attacks on the fuel and energy complex facilities in Odessa and on the Ukrainian Armed Forces' air traffic control center in Krivoy Rog. Attack drones again attacked enemy military facilities and energy infrastructure in the Kyiv, Poltava and Sumy regions.

In the Donetsk direction, Russian troops are fighting in Gornyak and Zoryany, and are also advancing in the direction of Kurakhovo and along the N-15 highway south of Maksimilyanivka.

In the Pokrovsky direction there are battles on the western outskirts of Selidovo in the private sector near the waste heap of the mine named after. Korotchenko, at the foot of which the attack aircraft managed to gain a foothold.

In the Yuzhnodonetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are fighting in the center of the village of Katerinovka, while simultaneously advancing in the Solenenkaya gully to the south.

🔻A detailed analytical report on events in the Special Military Operation zone is available on Rybar's closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

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The situation in the special military operation zone

Kursk direction

Donetsk direction"

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QVINTA ÆTAS
🇮🇱🇮🇷🔥 Rybar: "🇮🇱🇱🇧 Lebanese-Israeli war — chronicle of events for October 19-20, 2024 The Israeli Air Force again carried out several dozen strikes on Lebanese territory. The hits, among other things, hit the southern suburbs of Beirut. Hezbollah units…
🇮🇱🇮🇷🔥 Rybar:

"🇮🇱🇱🇧 Lebanese-Israeli war — chronicle of events for October 21, 2024

During the day, Israeli aircraft carried out over two hundred air strikes on Lebanese territory, including the outskirts of the capital. The targets were both military and financial facilities associated with Hezbollah.

In turn, Hezbollah launched several dozen rockets and UAVs into Israel; most of the ammunition was intercepted or fell in vacant lots without causing damage.

Fighting continues on the contact line, the IDF is conducting engineering work in the occupied territory of Lebanon, destroying various objects, including one of the UN posts.

🔻A detailed analytical report on events in the Lebanese-Israeli war zone is available on Rybar's closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

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🇮🇱🇵🇸🇮🇷🔥 Rybar: "🇮🇱🇵🇸 Aggravation in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict zone — chronicle of events for October 19-20, 2024 In the northern Gaza Strip, Israeli troops carried out raids in the area of ​​the Indonesian Hospital and Kamal Adwan Hospital. Beit…
🇮🇱🇵🇸🇮🇷🔥 Rybar:

"🇮🇱🇵🇸 Aggravation in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict zone — chronicle of events for October 21, 2024

In the north of the Gaza Strip, fighting continues in Jabaliya and the surrounding area, the IDF was able to advance into urban areas and carried out several more airstrikes with a large number of casualties.

In the central and southern parts of the enclave, the situation remains relatively stable; air and UAV strikes continue to hit Palestinian-controlled settlements.

Pro-Iranian formations once again launched a UAV across Israel, but as before, the borders of the Jewish state were not violated.

🔻A detailed analytical report on events in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict zone is available on Rybar's closed channel @rybar_plus_bot

High resolution map"

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💥🔥🇸🇾 — SouthFront | MILITARY SITUATION IN SYRIA ON DECEMBER 31, 2023 (MAP UPDATE): High resolution map 🔗 Source
🇸🇾💥🔥🇷🇺 SouthFront | Military Situation In Syria On October 21, 2024 (Map Update)

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Israel Defense Forces
Nasrallah's bunkers, which serves as a central financial facility for the Hezbollah terrorist organization and was built beneath the Al-Sahel Hospita
🇮🇱🗣🇮🇷💰💵🇮🇱 IDF on 𝕏:

"“Tonight, I am going to declassify intelligence on a site that we did not strike—where Hezbollah has millions of dollars in gold and cash—in Hassan Nasrallah’s bunker. Where is the bunker located? Directly under Al-Sahel Hospital in the heart of Beirut.”

Listen to IDF Spox. RAdm. Daniel Hagari as he exposes Hezbollah’s finance hub hidden underneath a hospital:

🔗 Israel Defense Forces (@IDF)
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QVINTA ÆTAS
🇮🇱🇮🇷💰🏥🇮🇱 IDF infographic depicting Nasrallah's bunker. 🔗 Source
🇮🇱🇮🇷💰🇮🇱 IDF illustrations "regarding the strike on the command centers and financial facilities of the Hezbollah".

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The Epoch Times
Elon Musk announced he will give away one million dollars each day to registered voters in battleground states to sign his petition
🌟👔🇬🇧 Modernity.news | Elon Musk Says He’s “Upgrading Security” After Being Named “Enemy Number Two” By Media | Asserts that the left is “incredibly intolerant and spewing hate” | October 21, 2024:

"X owner Elon Musk says he is increasing his security after receiving “vitriolic” threats for endorsing president Trump.

(...)

“I’m like, enemy number 2 of what? Uh, democracy?” Musk told the crowd, adding “I mean I’m pro-democracy. I’m literally trying to uphold the Constitution and ensure we have a free and fair election.”

Musk added, “I’m definitely upgrading my security,” quipping “Guess I better cancel that open-car parade.”

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🌎⚡️🇺🇦🏴 ZeroHedge | These Are The Countries Committing The Most Aid To Ukraine | August 26, 2024: "As Statista's Martin Armstrong shows in this infographic, based on the Ukraine Support Tracker from the Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Ukraine currently…
🌎⚡️🇺🇦🏴 ZeroHedge | Which Donor Countries Are Pulling Their Weight In Ukraine Aid? | October 20, 2024:

"Having presented his so-called "victory plan" to his European and US allies, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky continues his Dickensian demands for "moar" (but this time with a threat of nukes).

Data from the Ukraine Support Tracker at the Kiel Institute for the World Economy shows that while the governments of the United Kingdom and Germany are certainly pulling their weight in their support of the Ukrainian war effort, France and Italy have fallen somewhat behind as Ukraine's tenth and 14th biggest donors (including pledges) as of August 31.

The countries have so far committed less than 0.2 percent of their 2021 GDPs each to Ukraine wartime aid, compared to around 0.4 percent in the case of the Germany and the United States and even 0.47 percent in the case of the United Kingdom."

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🗣💸🤝🇺🇦🌟 CNN | US to announce new $2.3 billion military aid package for Ukraine | July 2, 2024: "Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin said Tuesday that the US will soon announce more than $2.3 billion in military aid for Ukraine. “This package under presidential…
🗣💸🤝🇺🇦🇺🇸 The Wall Street Journal | Pentagon Chief Arrives in Kyiv Without Any Sign of Budging on Ukraine’s Biggest Weapons Requests | Lloyd Austin has helped bolster Ukraine’s fight against Russia but has argued for limiting military aid | October 21, 2024:

"KYIV—Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin arrived in Kyiv on Monday bearing a message of strong U.S. commitment to Ukraine’s war effort but with no new military assistance or permission for its forces to use long-range missiles inside Russia.

Austin, a former four-star Army general, has led the Western response to the conflict since the early days of the war, coordinating more than $64 billion in U.S. military aid for Kyiv and tens of billions more from Europe.

But his visit to Kyiv, an unannounced stop that will likely be his last to the Ukrainian capital as Pentagon chief, underscored the continuing debate over whether the Biden administration—and Austin himself—has hobbled Ukraine’s war effort with a cautious approach to providing American-made weapons and restrictions on their use."

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QVINTA ÆTAS
In Israel and Ukraine, Biden Navigates Two of America’s Most Difficult Allies
🇺🇸❗️🇮🇱🇺🇦🇮🇷🇷🇺🇺🇸 Ron Paul Institute | Why Should We Fight Wars for Ukraine and Israel? | October 21, 2024:

"When you take on the role of the world’s policeman, don’t be surprised when countries who cannot fight their own wars call “911.” That is exactly what is happening to the United States on two fronts and it is bankrupting our country, depleting the military that should serve our own national interest, and threatening to drag the US into World War III.

Last week, Ukraine’s “president” Vladimir Zelensky publicly presented his “Victory Plan.” It was delusional: immediate NATO Membership for Ukraine, NATO strikes against incoming Russian missiles, and permission to use Western long-range missiles for strikes deep into Russia including Moscow and St. Petersburg.

The real intent was not hard to understand. Ukraine is on the verge of losing its war with Russia and is desperate to draw the United States military into the fight. There were numerous opportunities to avoid this bloody war but at every step the Ukrainian leadership listened to western neocons (like Boris Johnson) and decided to keep fighting Russia down to the last Ukrainian."

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🇷🇺🆗💸🇬🇧 Reuters | Russia to allow crypto payments in international trade to counter sanctions | July 30, 2024: "MOSCOW, July 30 (Reuters) - Russian lawmakers passed a bill on Tuesday that will allow businesses to use crypto currencies in international trade…
🇷🇺📊📈💸🏴 ZeroHedge | The Danger To The Dollar Isn't The Euro Or Yuan | Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk.com | October 20, 2024:

"Russia GDP is now estimated at +3.8 percent, topping the US, despite sanctions. What’s going on?

(...)

It is worth looking at the autumn forecast for Russia by the Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, one of the best sources of economic information for central and eastern Europe. They upgraded their growth forecast for this year by 0.6pp to 3.8%. Russia is outgrowing all western economies, including the US. Growth is forecast to slow down to 2.5% next year because of the impact of a 19% interest rate. It is clear that Russia’s economic expansion is a classic case of a wartime Keynesian effect.

It is also interesting to contrast Russia’s economic development with that of Ukraine’s main supporters in Europe, which have entered into synchronised austerity, first in Germany, and now in France and the UK.

Russia’s fiscal stability is perhaps the biggest surprise. Defence spending is on trajectory towards 6% of GDP. And yet, the 2024 budget deficit is projected at 1.5%, falling to 1% in 2025.

Vasily Astrov, the Russia expert at WIIW, concludes that Putin will have money for the foreseeable future to continue financing the war against Ukraine. A rise in income and corporate tax has meant that Russia’s state finance will become less dependent on energy.

Financial sanctions are ultimately not as successful as their advocates once believed because money is not a natural global monopoly. International banks are certainly susceptible to US dollar sanctions. But not all banks in the world operate in dollar markets. The use of secondary sanctions has become a first-order instrument in the US’s diplomatic toolkit in this century. But it falls into the category of instruments which lose their value the more you use them. Even amongst US economists, we see a lot of complacency about this. It was friction combined with network effects that favoured the emergency of a single dominating currency – the pound sterling, the dollar later. The danger to the dollar is not the euro, or renminbi. It is that micro-channels are becoming viable as technology reduces the frictions.


Lessons of the Day
The more you depend on sanctions, the less they work.

That’s the real risk to the dollar."

#Geoeconomics #Sanctions

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🇺🇸💸📈🇺🇸 The Wall Street Journal | Will Debt Sink the American Empire? | After growing for decades, this year the U.S. debt will roughly match its GDP. Throughout history, nations that blithely piled up their obligations have eventually met unhappy ends |…
🌎💸📈🏴 ZeroHedge | The $100 Trillion Global Debt Bomb And Financial Shock Risk | Authored by Daniel Lacalle | October 21, 2024:

"This week, the IMF stated that “our forecasts point to an unforgiving combination of low growth and high debt, a difficult future,” emphasizing that “governments must work to reduce debt and rebuild buffers for the next shock, which will surely come, and maybe sooner than we expect.”

This advice comes with a warning. At the current rate of spending, the US debt to GDP will reach 198% by 2050 even without expecting a recession. The G-7 public debt to GDP is expected to soar to 188%; the global figure would rise to 122%. Only one country will reduce debt. The IMF expects Germany to reduce its debt from 63.5% to 42%. In the case of Japan, the IMF expects public debt to reach a staggering 329%. The IMF’s Fiscal Monitor informs that public debt levels will reach $100 trillion in 2024, driven by China and the US.

(...)

One of the fastest growing debt burdens is the United States one. Over the next five years, the IMF anticipates an annual increase in public debt to GDP of nearly three percentage points. It is important to note that the IMF does not foresee a crisis or recession, so this will happen in a growth and job-creation environment."

#Geoeconomics

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🇷🇺🇬🇧🇺🇸🇪🇺🏴 ZeroHedge | Escobar: Why The SCO Summit In Kazakhstan Was A Game-Changer | Authored by Pepe Escobar | July 08, 2024: "(...) The SCO 10 – with new member Belarus – are explicitly in favor of “a fair solution to the Palestinian issue”. They “oppose…
🌐🌐⚡️🇷🇺🏴 ZeroHedge | Escobar: The Geoeconomic Drivers Of SCO-BRICS Synergy | Authored by Pepe Escobar | October 21, 2024:

"One week before the absolutely crucial BRICS summit in Kazan, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) held a summit in Islamabad.

This convergence is important in more ways than one.

The summit in Pakistan involved the Council of the Heads of Government of SCO member-states. Out of it came a joint communique stressing the need to implement decisions taken at the SCO annual summit last July in Astana: that’s where the heads of state actually gathered, including new SCO full member Iran.

China, following the rotating SCO chairmanship of close ally Pakistan – now under a dodgy administration fully endorsed by the military goons who keep ultra-popular former Prime Minister Imran Khan in jail – has officially taken over the SCO presidency for 2024 to 2025. And the name of game, predictably, is business.

The motto of the Chinese presidency is – what else – “action”. So Beijing took no time to start promoting further, faster synergy between the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the Eurasia Economic Union (EAEU), whose predominant power is Russia.

Cue to the Russia-China strategic partnership fast advancing trans-Eurasia economic corridors. And that brings us to a couple of key connectivity subplots featured prominently at the Islamabad summit.

Riding the steppe
Let’s start with the fascinating Steppe Road – which is a Mongolian idea crystalizing as an upgraded economic corridor. Mongolia is an observer at the SCO, not a full member: reasons for it are quite complex. Still, Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin raved about the Steppe Road with his SCO interlocutors.

The Mongolians came up with the idea of a Taliin Zam (“Steppe Road” in Mongolian) back in 2014, containing no less than “Five Great Passages”: a maze of transport and energy infrastructure to be built with investments totaling at least $50 billion.

These include a 997 km-long transnational expressway linking Russia-China; 1,100 km of electrified railway infrastructure; the expansion of the – already running – Trans-Mongolian Railway from Sukhbaatar in the north to Zamyn-Uud in the south; and Pipelineistan of course, as in new oil and gas pipelines linking Altanbulag in the north to Zamyn-Uud.

Mongolian Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Luvsannamsrai was as enthusiastic as Mishustin, announcing that Mongolia has already finalized 33 Steppe Road projects.

These projects happen to neatly align with Russia’s own Trans-Eurasian Corridor – a connectivity maze which includes the Trans-Siberian Railway, the Trans-Manchurian Railway, the Trans-Mongolian Railway and the Baikal Amur Mainline (BAM)."

#Geoeconomics

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🇷🇺🇺🇦✍️ AFU StratCom: "⚔️ Operational information as of 08.00 on 10/21/2024 regarding the Russian invasion ❗️ The main summary: 🔵 During the past 24 hours, 197 combat clashes took place. 🔵 According to detailed information, yesterday the enemy launched…
🇷🇺🇺🇦✍️ AFU StratCom:

"⚔️ Operational information as of 08.00 on 10/22/2024 regarding the Russian invasion

❗️ The main summary:

🔵 In total, 134 combat clashes were recorded during the past day.

🔵 According to detailed information, yesterday the enemy launched two missile strikes at the positions of Ukrainian units and populated areas, as well as 82 airstrikes, including dropping 136 anti-aircraft missiles. In addition, he carried out more than four thousand attacks on populated areas and positions of our troops, 154 of them from rocket salvo systems.

🔥 Yesterday, the aviation, missile forces and artillery of the Defense Forces made nine strikes on the enemy's personnel concentration areas and anti-aircraft defenses and hit two bridges.

🔵 In the Kharkiv direction, the enemy continued its assault actions, in total there were three combat clashes. Fighting took place in the areas of the settlements of Liptsi and Vovchansk.

🔵 Five enemy attacks took place in the Kupyan direction during the day. The defense forces repelled enemy assaults near Petropavlivka, Zeleny Gay, Vyshnevoi and Lozova.

🔵 The enemy attacked 14 times in the Lyman direction. Tried to advance near Grekivka, Novomykhailivka, Makiivka, Torsky and Terni.

🔵 While carrying out the bombardment in the Siversk direction, the enemy attacked three times, in Verkhnokamianske, Pereizne and Bilogorivka.

🔵 With the support of aviation in the Kramatorsk direction, the occupiers attacked Chasiv Yar. The situation is under the control of units of the Defense Forces.

🔵 In the direction of Toretsk, the enemy launched three attacks near Toretsk and Shcherbinivka.

🟠 In the Pokrovsky direction, our defenders repelled 46 offensive and assault actions of the aggressor near Sukha Balka, Vozdvizhenka, Myrolyubivka, Krasny Yar, Promeny, Lysivka, Krutoy Yar, Selidovoy and Mykhailivka.

🟠 In the direction of Kurakhivka, the Defense Forces repelled 26 attacks in the districts of Hirnyk, Novodmytrivka, Maksimilianivka, Georgiivka, Dalnyi, Katerynivka, Zoryanyi, Gostroy, and Antonivka.

🔵 In the direction of Vremivsk, according to detailed information, the enemy carried out 12 attacks on our positions in the direction of Bogoyavlenka, Novoukrainka, and Zoloty.

🔵 Over the past day, Ukrainian positions in the Orihiv direction were attacked near Malaya Tokmachka.

🔵 In the Dnieper direction, our defenders repulsed four assaults, the enemy was unsuccessful.

🟠 Defense forces of Ukraine continue the operation in the Kursk region. Over the past day, the enemy carried out 41 airstrikes on Kurshchyna, using 68 guided air bombs, and also carried out 260 shelling of populated areas."

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