ATTENTION!

President Trump is under significant pressure, which he is likely putting on himself. He aims to ensure that he makes the best decision for the American people.

It is NOT the best decision for Israel. It is NOT the best decision for Europe.

President Trump will make the best decision for the United States of America. We are currently experiencing an extraordinary moment in history.
#AmericaFirst

ATTENTION!

What follows is a potential new reality IF Israel achieves total victory, the Iranian regime collapses, and a new pro-western Iranian leader emerges (all very achievable under the current conditions). The geopolitical strategic environment in the Middle East and globally would shift. With this new reality, comes a new set of conditions the Trump administration must consider. 

The following are those considerations:

1. Israel is fighting a vicious and incredibly radicalized regime. They are after the psychotic leadership, not the people of Iran who have desperately been wanting their freedom back for decades. Israel fighting this war (our war) and not the U.S., accomplishes nothing short of protecting Western Civilization and liberty. 

2. The United States must allow Israel to finish the job, to achieve victory. This then permits the United States to truly execute a much needed and long overdue, pivot to the Indo-Pacific.  China is our real enemy. Sorry Mr. President, they are. They've murdered hundreds of thousands in the past few years alone with the deadly bio weapon called fentanyl (they designed, produced, then introduced into the U.S.). We MUST shift our focus to China.

3.  A positive U.S. and Israeli relationship with new Iranian leadership, serves to further weaken China. Just the oil alone that comes out of the Persian Gulf is enough to bring China to its knees or to an entirely new set of negotiations. If you think 50% tariffs will work, wait until China no longer has a free flow of oil transiting the Straits of Hormuz.

4.  An Israeli victory permits expansion of the Abraham Accords (a signature Trump policy achievement established during his first term). This is a political and economic means to a very lucrative end where the Arab states work much more closely together, creating 2nd and 3rd order long-term positive effects.  

5.  Destruction of the tyrants choking the light of freedom from the souls of the great Iranian people will prove to be a stabilizing effect for the region. This new found freedom is to the entire free world's advantage.

6. A clear and unambiguous victory establishes the perception and reality of U.S. global and Israeli regional dominance. 

7.  A renewed Iran, led by benevolent leadership, one who embraces humanity and the global family of nations will be a force multiplier for the United States in the future rather than our enemy - a major and epic shift. 

8.  Lastly, a relationship between Iran and India could be leveraged. India is a great and powerful, yet humble nation. The kind you don't want to mess with and clearly want on your side in a knife fight. If this can be nurtured (and it must), this relationship represents another massive force multiplier for the world. 

The administration needs to embrace these type considerations and others yet to be considered. President Trump should address these topics and other vital national security objectives with the American people in the near future.

What follows is a potential new reality IF Israel achieves total victory, the Iranian regime collapses, and a new pro-western Iranian leader emerges (all very achievable under the current conditions). The geopolitical strategic environment in the Middle East and globally would shift. With this new reality, comes a new set of conditions the Trump administration must consider.

https://open.substack.com/pub/genflynn/p/a-potential-reality-if-israel-achieves?r=24s8km&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true

The leader of the ongoing Marxist revolution in America, Barack Hussein Obama

Thank you President Trump for keeping the flame of freedom alive!!!

I’m for Tulsi Gabbard

“As DNI Mrs Tulsi Gabbard has:

♦ chased down intelligence community leakers,
♦ released the JFK files,
♦ released Joe Biden’s domestic terrorism surveillance plan,
♦ intercepted an NIC plot to impeach President Trump (confirmed by Rubio),
♦ taken control of the Presidential Daily Briefing,
♦ and more recently begun to confront the weaponized corruption within the IC Inspector General organization.

These are actions, not words, and those actions speak boldly.  Suffice to say, her effectiveness has placed a target on her back.”

I also agree that if those GOP on the SSCI and other leaders in and out of the USIC succeed in removing Tulsi Gabbard , they win and the deep state continues to be quarterbacked by the CIA. AND, that’s a win for the bad actors trying to target and survive Trump.

https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2025/06/18/a-dangerous-moment-the-targeting-of-tulsi-gabbard/

You are about to enter:

The F. A. & F. O. Time zone.

Stand strong America behind the one man who has stood between us and complete tyranny in America.

Calling all digital soldiers, PLEASE ensure all U.S. Senators AND all members of Congress receive this letter from one of our bravest and most politically courageous Sheriffs in all of America Sheriff Leaf

ATTENTION!

What are the advantages for Russia & China if there is a delayed decision by the United States?

SITREP FOLLOWS:

First, I have no definitive evidence confirming specific actions by Russia or China during this upcoming period. This analysis is based on personal experience. However, there is clear evidence of previous & long-term support by both nations for the Iranian regime. In war, delays usually advantage the defender & allow time to improve their position (tactical & strategic)

Russia's Strategic Benefits:

1. The primary advantage to a delay provides a great distraction & diverts American attention & resources from the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

2. By Trump canceling a meeting w/ Zelensky to focus on the Middle East, Russia may face less U.S. pressure on its actions in Ukraine.

3. Russia will use this time to strategically consolidate, gain political & diplomatic capital by acting as an international broker through organizations like the UN.

4. Tactically, this period allows Russian military forces to consolidate, reorganize, refit &, if necessary, be replaced. Essentially, Russian military commanders, if smart (& they are), will consolidate & reposition their forces to gain positional advantage.

5. Russia could use the delay to bolster IR's air defenses, potentially supplying advanced systems like the S-400 or other military support. Doing so would enhance IR's resilience against IS or potential U.S. strikes, aligning w/ Russia's interest in maintaining IR as a key ally. This action is not out of the question. If the U.S. can provide for one side, we must consider the fact that Russia will provide for the other.

6. The conflict has driven a 15% increase in Russian oil prices, benefiting Russia's economy, which relies heavily on energy exports. Guarantee, a prolonged delay only helps Russia's economy & keeps Middle East tensions high further disrupting global oil markets.


China's Strategic Benefits:

1. China clearly sees this as a major opportunity for them to gain vastly more regional influence. China will use this window to expand diplomatic, economic, & military options across the Middle East. Like it or not, they already have far more influence than we truly understand.

2. China will position themselves as a neutral or mediating party (they are anything but).

3. China will strengthen ties with IR & other regional players, countering U.S. dominance in the region. Everyone needs to understand the "region" is really the "trans-region", & we must take into account the Central Asian Republic nations as well East Africa & those nations bordering the Eastern Med. For instance, the Red Sea & the Suez Canal are vital supply lines & must remain open.

4. The war provides a major distraction for Taiwan & will reduce attention on the looming Indo-Pacific theater of war. They will view this as a strategic opening to advance their objectives regarding Taiwan. For instance, increasing military maneuvers or economic pressure, knowing there is less attention or less interference (a high pucker factor in the Indo-Pacific for sure).

5. Prolonged uncertainty in the Middle East could keep oil prices volatile, benefiting China's strategic petroleum reserves or its energy negotiations w/ other suppliers. It would be very wise for America to fill up our strategic oil reserves now.

6. The CCP will capitalize on global market instability to strengthen their position in trade or investment deals.

Again, there is no direct evidence of Russia or China conducting any of the active measures I'm addressing, but trust, just as we have our situation room busy, Russia & China do as well.

Pray for President Trump. God knows we are experiencing historic times & our readiness as a nation is in a considerably different geo-strategic posture than it was at any other time in the last 100 years.

ATTENTION!

The NUCLEAR OPTION or which option should be taken OFF the table.

SITREP follows:

It is often said that a military commander should leave all options for military action on the table until the final decision is made. In fact, I’ve stated many times that in warfare, the best plan provides the most options right up until the last moment. This strategy has the benefit of keeping the enemy off balance, not knowing what to expect.  

Yet this strategy also has drawbacks, and I want to address why I believe that at this historic moment in the war between Isreal and Iran, the drawbacks far exceed the benefits, for one of those options.  

First, I am deeply concerned by today’s article in Newsweek ennoscriptd “Is Donald Trump Considering Tactical Nukes Against Iran?”  

This issue has been raised because some former military officials have speculated on Cable News shows that only through the use of tactical nuclear weapons would we be able to successfully penetrate underground enrichment facilities in Iran. The Newsweek article quoted a Fox News report that a White House official said that the Trump Administration has “not taken anything ‘off the table’ including the use of tactical nuclear weapons.”

It deserves restating that tactical nuclear weapons ARE nuclear weapons.
 
This type of reporting was taken very seriously by Russia, causing Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov to state the obvious — that any use of tactical nuclear weapons by the United States in Iran would be a catastrophic development.  

A few days ago, Pakistan, a well-armed nuclear power, threatened to drop nuclear weapons on Israel if Israel used nuclear weapons on Iran. I believe Pakistan is not making an idle threat, and I do not want our country to be responsible for the destruction of Israel.

This type of talk must end.  

Tensions in the world are already high enough, and leaving the use of nuclear weapons “on the table” is preserving an option that I believe the United States would never employ. But, allowing such open discussion about the US initiating the use of nuclear weapons puts everyone at risk. As long as this possibility exists, other countries will be developing plans to counter-strike — using nuclear weapons.

When nuclear weapons are in play, even as a matter of speculation, the possibility of mistake and miscalculation exists. The first casualties of a mistake or miscalculation would be American troops on Middle East bases and American ships in the region -- but it would not end there.

Nuclear weapons have not been employed since World War II (I recognize they were atomic, but smart readers will get the point), and we cannot afford for this conflict to move the world “up the nuclear escalation ladder.”    

If I were advising the President, I would recommend in the strongest possible terms that he declare that the United States will not initiate the use of nuclear weapons against Iran.

I would not recommend waiting two weeks to make that announcement; I would urge him to do this now.

It is time to slam shut and nail down the top on the Pandora’s box that contains dreaded nuclear weapons.

ATTENTION!

Israel struck Iran with a surprise attack on 12 June. There have been many reports out regarding the actions, reactions, & counteractions, all components of this war. The following is an assessment of the IS campaign & it effectiveness. America has a lot at stake here, never mind gaining or losing more prestige on the world stage. Let's face it, the wars in AFG and Iraq did us no favors.

It is now clear the IS campaign consists of at least four phases:

1. The initial surprise attack with a continuing series of airstrikes.
2. Expected Iranian retaliation by IS.
3. IS sustained operations
4. Plans for & execution of escalation operations. 

The evidence leans toward IS achieving massive tactical successes, but strategic goals remain incomplete & there is controversy over the extent of damage to IR’s nuclear program & U.S. involvement.

Phases & Performance:

Overall: The IS campaign against IR, appears to be progressing through multiple phases, each with varying levels of success.

Airstrike Phase: IS launched a well planned & coordinated airstrike targeting IR nuclear sites like Natanz & Fordow, military installations, & key personnel, including top generals & nuclear scientists.  
Performance: I assess this phase was highly effective, achieving air superiority & destroying over 130 strategic targets, including command centers & missile factories, within 48 hours.

IR Retaliation Phase (clearly considered & prepared for by IS): IR responded with at least 10 waves of missile strikes & drone attacks, hitting IS sites like a hospital & an oil refinery, causing civilian casualties.  
Performance: IR’s efforts were largely ineffective, with about 90% of attacks intercepted by IS’s Iron Dome & U.S. systems, limiting damage despite some civilian impact.

Sustained Operations Phase: IS is continuing to target specific IR assets, focusing on remaining nuclear facilities & high-value individuals, with ongoing operations as of the past 24 hrs.  
Performance: I assess Israel is achieving  mixed results. They are degrading IR’s capabilities, key sites like Fordow appear to remain intact, requiring further action.

Escalatory Phase: There is a growing possibility of U.S. involvement, especially to target hardened sites like Fordow, which could significantly escalate the conflict & bring in other global & nuclear capable nations aligned against each other.  
Performance: Uncertain at this phase because it depends on decisions from DJT. There does not appear to be any American appetite for “boots on the ground” (rightly so in my judgement) & there is no apparent direct military action that can be confirmed at this stage, but there is significant support being provided.

Assessment; IS has shown superior tactical dominance, an exquisite level of intelligence collection & targeting prowess (to be admired by warriors of this profession), BUT fully dismantling IR’s nuclear program remains a massive challenge. 

Bottom Line: The conflict will continue for many more weeks unless there is a cease fire of some sort agreed to & there remains clear potential for even broader escalation.

My assessment, given the “unconditional surrender” call by our President, for success to be achieved, there will have to be a MINIMUM of three outcomes:
1. NO NUCLEAR WEAPONS.
2. New IR leadership (preferably chosen by the Iranian people).
3. ALL IR proxies (Hamas, HZ, Houthis) be completely dismantled or, at least, severely diminished with no further support of any kind by IR. 

It is a no brainer this has been an incredibly complex conflict with both tactical wins and select strategic uncertainties shaping its future. I guarantee the world is closely monitoring all military actions, diplomatic efforts, & international responses. For those who care about America’s Future, it will be crucial to understanding the various antagonists as well as the world’s responses as things further evolve (or erode).

Given what we’re facing, this video is worth sharing.

No one wants to say it and the name calling will begin, but I’ve written a national bestseller (Field of Fight) about this problem. It’s real, they know it and so does everyone else. We have to stop kidding ourselves.

See the difference?

Below is a comparison of imagery before & after the U.S. strikes revealing changes to the terrain above the Fordow Nuclear Facility. Look closely.

This is why I refer to the tyrants running the Iranian regime as psychotics.

ATTENTION!

SITREP #11

The IR regime’s military & its capabilities as well as its vulnerabilities are not well understood by the average American & need to be. The reason is because we find ourselves in a different place than we were merely 24 hours ago. Keep in mind, we've fought for two plus decades on both sides of IR w/ very little strategic success. Iraq is likely controlled by Iran, & we retreated under fire from AFG. We must figure out how to fight for peace & get out of these wars.

Our U.S. strategic position, given the ongoing conflict between IS & IR, & now w/ even more direct U.S. military involvement changes the global equation. There are now direct threats here in the homeland & Americans abroad have been issued a travel advisory. 

Restating what I assess as necessary objectives for IS to achieve are as follows; 1) An Iran w/ no nuclear weapons, 2) Regime change (if Khamenei stays in charge due to some negotiated peace deal, I personally don’t believe IS can declare victory, also the declaration of “unconditional surrender” by POTUS will have to be further defined if Khamenei is still in charge when this war ends. True regime change MUST come from the people of Iran & a reminder that ANY regime change comes w/ massive challenges & finally, 3) Defeating IR's surrogate forces. 

What follows are IR's capabilities and strengths:
They still possess a large military w/ approximately 610,000 active personnel & 350,000 reserves, providing significant numbers for defense & asymmetric operations.
IR has an arsenal of over 3K ballistic missiles. The IRGC, with its Quds Force & proxies are still relatively operational & maintain a global presence for unconventional warfare operations, compensating for their conventional weaknesses. More concerning is their indigenous defense industry. Given decades of sanctions, IR was driven to a strategy of self-reliance, enabling them to produce drones, tanks, & naval assets, reducing dependence on foreign supplies. lastly, IR has a clear & distinct geographic and population size advantage (~92M people). Its mountainous terrain & control over the Strait of Hormuz affords natural defenses & provides leverage to disrupt global oil flows. Even if it affects them, IR would still seriously consider this act.

IR also has clear vulnerabilities, especially given the military actions by IS against their regional surrogate forces, but those organizations are not yet fully defeated. IR's biggest military weakness is that some of their conventional forces are outdated. For instance, their air force relies on aging aircraft & lacks modern technology, while their tanks & naval vessels are largely obsolete. IS has so degraded IR's air defense system, it now appears to have air supremacy of the skies over IR. Economic sanctions and economic challenges limit funding for any upgrades or modernization of their military equipment. Additional economic strains on IR will have a direct impact on their military operations. Losses of allies such as the Assad regime in Syria have weakened IR's regional network, reducing its strategic depth. Finally, the advanced technology gap compared to the U.S., Israel, & some European militaries is abysmal w/ its forces lacking advanced command & control & early warning systems, & other cutting-edge weaponry.

These & other factors suggest that if the IR regime survives, it will rely heavily on a strategic defense in depth & asymmetric tactics (regionally & globally). And, even though its conventional capabilities are strained given current military pressures, powers like China and Russia appear to be stepping in to offer their diplomatic and other support. If there were ever an opportunity in recent history for the people of IR to rise against their regime, now is the time.