Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Lackawanna County, PA
Trump is on pace by a six-cycle voter registration trend to flip Lackawanna County, PA - a huge sign he has deep enough working class traction to threaten MN and deeply cut margins in the blue wall states.
Final margin is always well to the right of the Dem voter registration, which currently sits at 28,037. Trump averages 37,067 right of it, and even if the fortification of PA's elections result in the 2020 equation, Trump would win by over 1,000 votes.
The standard trending suggests a Trump win of +4 to +8 is within reach, especially with no "Scranton Joe" on the ticket.
Last won by a GOP nominee in 1984, 1972, and 1956 in the post-WW2 era. Check out those national results.
Trump is on pace by a six-cycle voter registration trend to flip Lackawanna County, PA - a huge sign he has deep enough working class traction to threaten MN and deeply cut margins in the blue wall states.
Final margin is always well to the right of the Dem voter registration, which currently sits at 28,037. Trump averages 37,067 right of it, and even if the fortification of PA's elections result in the 2020 equation, Trump would win by over 1,000 votes.
The standard trending suggests a Trump win of +4 to +8 is within reach, especially with no "Scranton Joe" on the ticket.
Last won by a GOP nominee in 1984, 1972, and 1956 in the post-WW2 era. Check out those national results.
🔥36❤2🙏1
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Every precinct
Every county
Every key state
Mapped and analyzed for the entire elections picture including the “fortification” in 2020
This one is 587 pages
Every county
Every key state
Mapped and analyzed for the entire elections picture including the “fortification” in 2020
This one is 587 pages
👍42❤8
Forwarded from Captain Keshel and Co. American Election Integrity HQ
Some of my analysis is going to be running in the NYT soon.
I did the interview because I want some modicum of FACT in the mainstream media bloodstream to counter polling.
Most of you guys probably understand.
I did the interview because I want some modicum of FACT in the mainstream media bloodstream to counter polling.
Most of you guys probably understand.
👍32❤7
Forwarded from Disclose.tv
JUST IN - UK Government: "British nationals in Lebanon should leave now. You should take the next available flight."
https://x.com/FCDOGovUK/status/1839731478340436471
@disclosetv
https://x.com/FCDOGovUK/status/1839731478340436471
@disclosetv
👍7👀7❤1
Forwarded from Disclose.tv
NOW - Israel strikes "Hezbollah's central HQ" in Beirut, Lebanon.
Axios reports Hezbollah officials were at the headquarters at the time of the attack. The primary target was Nasrallah.
UPDATE - Israeli officials estimate as many as 300 people killed in Beirut airstrike, according to Haaretz.
@disclosetv
Axios reports Hezbollah officials were at the headquarters at the time of the attack. The primary target was Nasrallah.
UPDATE - Israeli officials estimate as many as 300 people killed in Beirut airstrike, according to Haaretz.
@disclosetv
👍22❤1
Forwarded from Hananya Naftali - Israel News
Details behind the scenes: The decision to eliminate Nasrallah was already made on Wednesday, the flight of the Prime Minister - a deception exercise.
The decision to eliminate Nasrallah was already made on Wednesday. From that moment they wait for intelligence.
After the decision was made: it was decided whether to cancel the Prime Minister's trip to the United Nations, and in the end they decide to fly to convey business as usual to Hezbollah.
This morning at ten o'clock the Prime Minister holds a briefing from his hotel room with the Minister of Defense, at the end of which they are waiting for intelligence. Today, half an hour before the Prime Minister's speech at the UN, sensitive intelligence information arrives and gives the unequivocal indication: Nasrallah has arrived on the scene. The Prime Minister approves the execution of the action and immediately afterwards makes a speech. Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi commands the attack from the hole in the Air Force
The decision to eliminate Nasrallah was already made on Wednesday. From that moment they wait for intelligence.
After the decision was made: it was decided whether to cancel the Prime Minister's trip to the United Nations, and in the end they decide to fly to convey business as usual to Hezbollah.
This morning at ten o'clock the Prime Minister holds a briefing from his hotel room with the Minister of Defense, at the end of which they are waiting for intelligence. Today, half an hour before the Prime Minister's speech at the UN, sensitive intelligence information arrives and gives the unequivocal indication: Nasrallah has arrived on the scene. The Prime Minister approves the execution of the action and immediately afterwards makes a speech. Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi commands the attack from the hole in the Air Force
👍29
Forwarded from Amir Tsarfati
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Dramatic night in Beirut
The IDF attacks Hezbollah's coastal missile depots.
The IDF attacks Hezbollah's coastal missile depots.
👍17
Forwarded from Amir Tsarfati
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
The secondary explosions in Beirut from the IDF strikes
👍14