Third Eye OSINT & Analysis – Telegram
Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
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Forwarded from MAPPING CONFLICT (Juggernaut)
⚡️Encounter started in Cherji Area of Kishtwar (Dachan)
✏️Different Grp (cd be new)
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Forwarded from Archives 2025
Simultaneously 2 grps spotted today in malad and nangala in billawer
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Archives 2025
Simultaneously 2 grps spotted today in malad and nangala in billawer
🥲: 3 days ago , hope a Permanant CI/CT organisation is assigned asap to this Billawer region, Dont sit on it ; decision makers and all stakeholders👍

~🦅
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⚡️❗️Tracking this grp since March , it took them 5 Months to traverse, 3 districts to reach Kishtwar and finally they crossed the river Chenab💦 in this Month

According to Menneti's Equation✏️
(Variables modified fr a Tangoo in hinterland) They have A BMR🍉 of a 20-22 year old adult male and an average hiking speed 🌲of 3km/h which can extrapolate to even 8 km/h during and after Encounters ,They carry avg weights🐥 of 7-10kgs per head , always move in grps of not less than 3 mostly around 4 and sometimes as large as 8 ,........... sb to nhi bolskte 🤧


1️⃣Saniyal:
23 March , 5 Man grp escaped before para and army arrived

2️⃣Suffain
:30 March, 4 JKP sog martyred 2 tangoos nuetralized

3️⃣Rui
: 31March Tangoos Snatched Food from villagers


4️⃣Majalta
(Khabbal):4 April , 3-4Tangoos stole food and clothes

5️⃣Jophar
: 9 April, Encounter with 2-3 Trts

6️⃣Chatergalla
: 23 May, District Administration, restricts Mobile network in upper reaches of Bhaderwah after suspected trt movement
7️⃣Gandoh
: 19 Jun, Search operation launched after suspected movement

8️⃣Cherjee
: 20Jul, Encounter with Trts in upper reaches of kishtwar


🐏They are behind u , and they'll get u.....

~🦅
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🎺India issues a notam once again extending its airspace closure for Pakistan registered aircraft✈️, operated/owned or leased by Pakistani airlines/operators including military flights  

✏️Valid 22 July - 23 August 2025 (estimated)
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🌲A Detailed Map of 👽 infiltration from Poonch-Rajouri-Akhnoor Sectors and ✈️transit to North Kashmir and South Kashmir shall be posted Soon.... , and this map is going to be a 🔥.

~🦅
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▶️While the 🇺🇲U.S. designation of TRF as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) may seem like a diplomatic victory↗️, it is ultimately toothless↘️in addressing 🇮🇳 India's security concerns. It neither deters 🇵🇰Pakistan’s proxy war architecture nor disrupts the strategic utility of such terror proxies.

1️⃣. 🐗TRF Is a Disposable Mask,
Not the Face
TRF is a rebranded front for 🪳Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), created to escape global scrutiny after LeT was proscribed. These fronts are fungible and easily replaceable.

🔠Just like TRF emerged post-2019 to whitewash LeT's image post-26/11 and FATF scrutiny, Pakistan-backed groups will simply create new names.

The U.S. designation is thus akin to shooting the puppet and sparing the puppeteer.


2️⃣. Proxy Ecosystem
Remains Untouched
The ISI’s systemic use of proxies as deniable instruments of warfare continues unabated.

Designating 🐷TRF doesn’t dismantle the ecosystem that recruits, trains, arms, and exports militants across the LoC.

🔠There’s no cost imposed on Pakistan’s state structures, which are responsible for engineering these fronts.


3️⃣. Delayed & Cosmetic Move
The U.S. took years to designate a group that had openly claimed dozens of attacks and had known links to LeT.

🔠It suggests that the designation is more about optics and bilateral signaling than real counterterrorism resolve.

🔠Had this move come earlier—say, in 2020 or 2021—it could have added pressure. Now, it only recognizes a spent alias, not an active threat.


4️⃣. No Operational Disruption on the Ground
The designation doesn’t degrade TRF’s operational capabilities inside J&K. Their recruits don’t bank in New York or travel to California.

🔠Most TRF cadres are locally radicalized or regionally trained, and don’t depend on Western infrastructure the U.S. sanctions can impact.


5️⃣. U.S. Still Avoids Naming the Source: Pakistan
The U.S. continues to tread softly around Pakistan, despite clear proof of its role in enabling TRF, PAFF, and similar groups.

🔠By targeting only the proxies and not the sponsor, the move serves as a pressure-release valve for Islamabad, not a punishment.
6️⃣. India Gains No Tactical Leverage
India already knew TRF was LeT. The designation adds no new intelligence, no actionable cooperation, and no strategic advantage.

🔠Unless the designation is followed by material action—like blacklisting ISI-linked officers, banning new LeT aliases, or exposing terror funding trails—it is a hollow gesture.

7️⃣. Encourages Tactical Churn,
Not Compliance
Such designations incentivize terror groups to rebrand again and become more sophisticated in disguising their origins.

‼️The pattern is clear: JeM →🐑 KT; LeT → 🐷TRF →🪳 PAFF → KRA. Each ban just prompts a name change, not dismantlement.

✏️Conclusion:
The U.S. FTO designation of TRF is a symbolic victory with negligible strategic value for India👀. It doesn’t address the root problem—Pakistan’s state complicity and the deliberate use of deniable terror outfits as instruments of asymmetric warfare. Until the U.S. begins naming and sanctioning the real sponsors—the military-jihadi complex of Pakistan—India must treat such gestures as what they are: diplomatic placebos.


~🐾
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‼️
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▶️❗️Last Night BSF launched Search🔥 Operation in RS Pura and Arnia Sector of Jammu ,
after Intel was relayed to them of a possible infiltration, Most likely preemptive measures, The demographics of some villages 🏠in RS Pura is almost Clonal to the other side i.e., Narowal.Once some one crosses in, won't be able to distinguish. Last reported incident of infiltration in this sector happened during Ops sindhoor.

~🦅
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