Washington’s sudden 50% tariff wall against Indian exports is a strategic shock with immediate economic bite, especially for labour-intensive sectors like gems & jewellery, apparel and footwear, where cancelled orders are already surfacing and exporters warn of job losses in hubs such as Surat and Chennai.
Against that backdrop, the recent SCO meeting with Modi, Xi and Putin in the same room offered a telling tableau. Xi and Putin pushed alternative institutional architectures even as Delhi carefully guarded its autonomy. The optics, and the private bilaterals, signal that India is hedging harder, widening its manoeuvring space as Washington weaponises trade.
Three recalibrations are likely. First, geo-economic diversification: expect Delhi to push market access across Eurasia, the Gulf and ASEAN, while insulating vulnerable value chains at home; this is the logical response when your largest market turns protectionist. Second, transactional energy security: India will keep maximising discounted Russian barrels so long as the macro calculus beats the tariff pain, a dynamic that reportedly helped trigger the tariff escalation in the first place. Third, forum balancing: India will use SCO/BRICS+ settings to blunt economic pressure without abandoning Indo-Pacific security convergences; the aim is leverage, not bloc-switching.
Delhi’s message in Tianjin, therefore, is strategic optionality: talk to everyone, align with no one fully, and convert adjacency into bargaining power. The tariffs may cool the near-term U.S.–India economic track, but they won’t erase shared threat perceptions in the Indo-Pacific; conversely, cordial SCO moments do not dissolve boundary disputes with China. India’s realignment is less a pivot than a portfolio strategy, reweighting exposure across great-power systems while hardening domestic supply chains and scouting alternative demand. In a world where trade is a weapon, resilience is strategy.
Against that backdrop, the recent SCO meeting with Modi, Xi and Putin in the same room offered a telling tableau. Xi and Putin pushed alternative institutional architectures even as Delhi carefully guarded its autonomy. The optics, and the private bilaterals, signal that India is hedging harder, widening its manoeuvring space as Washington weaponises trade.
Three recalibrations are likely. First, geo-economic diversification: expect Delhi to push market access across Eurasia, the Gulf and ASEAN, while insulating vulnerable value chains at home; this is the logical response when your largest market turns protectionist. Second, transactional energy security: India will keep maximising discounted Russian barrels so long as the macro calculus beats the tariff pain, a dynamic that reportedly helped trigger the tariff escalation in the first place. Third, forum balancing: India will use SCO/BRICS+ settings to blunt economic pressure without abandoning Indo-Pacific security convergences; the aim is leverage, not bloc-switching.
Delhi’s message in Tianjin, therefore, is strategic optionality: talk to everyone, align with no one fully, and convert adjacency into bargaining power. The tariffs may cool the near-term U.S.–India economic track, but they won’t erase shared threat perceptions in the Indo-Pacific; conversely, cordial SCO moments do not dissolve boundary disputes with China. India’s realignment is less a pivot than a portfolio strategy, reweighting exposure across great-power systems while hardening domestic supply chains and scouting alternative demand. In a world where trade is a weapon, resilience is strategy.
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Washington’s decision to impose 50% tariffs on Indian exports has forced New Delhi to explore new diplomatic space, including a measured outreach to Beijing at recent multilateral forums. Yet, the question remains: is this a genuine strategic realignment or a tactical adjustment to shifting pressures?
The India–China relationship is still defined by unresolved border disputes and a deep trust deficit. The legacy of Galwan and continuing standoffs along the Line of Actual Control underscore that Beijing remains a military rival rather than a trusted partner. For India, China’s relentless infrastructure push near contested boundaries is not reassurance. It is reinforcement of its revisionist ambitions.
Adding to this friction is Beijing’s unwavering support to Pakistan. From CPEC investments and arms supplies to economic bailouts, China has entrenched itself as Islamabad’s primary strategic sponsor. Intelligence inputs during Operation Sindoor even suggested Chinese provision of live satellite and electronic intelligence to Pakistan, shaping tactical outcomes against India. This convergence strikes at India’s core security calculus and ensures that bilateral suspicion cannot be wished away.
Practically, India’s moves are best understood as a tactical recalibration. It is a hedging strategy that expands options and blunts economic coercion while preserving strategic autonomy. Delhi will likely accelerate economic engagement where it reduces vulnerability through trade diversification and targeted market access. It will maintain deterrent readiness along the LAC and leverage multilateral forums to carve space for manoeuvre. This is posture management, not a tectonic pivot.
In short, the tariffs may have catalysed a temporary thaw in diplomacy, but the stubborn reality of border disputes, strategic mistrust, and China’s collusion with Pakistan makes a full realignment highly unlikely. India is not changing anchors. It is enlarging its portfolio of options, hedging with pragmatism while guarding its red lines.
The India–China relationship is still defined by unresolved border disputes and a deep trust deficit. The legacy of Galwan and continuing standoffs along the Line of Actual Control underscore that Beijing remains a military rival rather than a trusted partner. For India, China’s relentless infrastructure push near contested boundaries is not reassurance. It is reinforcement of its revisionist ambitions.
Adding to this friction is Beijing’s unwavering support to Pakistan. From CPEC investments and arms supplies to economic bailouts, China has entrenched itself as Islamabad’s primary strategic sponsor. Intelligence inputs during Operation Sindoor even suggested Chinese provision of live satellite and electronic intelligence to Pakistan, shaping tactical outcomes against India. This convergence strikes at India’s core security calculus and ensures that bilateral suspicion cannot be wished away.
Practically, India’s moves are best understood as a tactical recalibration. It is a hedging strategy that expands options and blunts economic coercion while preserving strategic autonomy. Delhi will likely accelerate economic engagement where it reduces vulnerability through trade diversification and targeted market access. It will maintain deterrent readiness along the LAC and leverage multilateral forums to carve space for manoeuvre. This is posture management, not a tectonic pivot.
In short, the tariffs may have catalysed a temporary thaw in diplomacy, but the stubborn reality of border disputes, strategic mistrust, and China’s collusion with Pakistan makes a full realignment highly unlikely. India is not changing anchors. It is enlarging its portfolio of options, hedging with pragmatism while guarding its red lines.
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❗❗TODAY IS THE MOST IMPORTANT DAY IN THE UNITED STATES 🇺🇸.
MORE POWER TO THE VICTIMS OF EPSTIEN WHO WILL EXPOSE THE ELITES OF AMERICA ✊
MORE POWER TO THE VICTIMS OF EPSTIEN WHO WILL EXPOSE THE ELITES OF AMERICA ✊
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🚨🚨 Biggest Breakthrough for NIA in TRF/Lashkar-e-Tayyiba Terror Funding Case.
⭐ The probe has uncovered foreign funding channels spanning Malaysia and Gulf nations, with nearly Rs 9 lakh routed through overseas handlers.
⭐ Key Accused:- Yasir Hayat (Already Arrested) & Sajad Ahmed Mir (Hiding in Malaysia).
⭐ The probe has uncovered foreign funding channels spanning Malaysia and Gulf nations, with nearly Rs 9 lakh routed through overseas handlers.
⭐ Key Accused:- Yasir Hayat (Already Arrested) & Sajad Ahmed Mir (Hiding in Malaysia).
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Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
🚨🚨 Biggest Breakthrough for NIA in TRF/Lashkar-e-Tayyiba Terror Funding Case. ⭐ The probe has uncovered foreign funding channels spanning Malaysia and Gulf nations, with nearly Rs 9 lakh routed through overseas handlers. ⭐ Key Accused:- Yasir Hayat (Already…
🗣POV
⭐Sajad Ahmed Mir is the biggest Fish. If Malyasia doesn't extradite this Top Lashkar Commander. It will show that they are actively supporting Terrorist groups of Pakistan.
⭐ Some Media houses are also reporting that his alias name is Sajid Mir (Mastermind of 26/11 Mumbai Attack) who is hiding in Malaysia.
Let's wait for more clarity. 🤞
⭐Sajad Ahmed Mir is the biggest Fish. If Malyasia doesn't extradite this Top Lashkar Commander. It will show that they are actively supporting Terrorist groups of Pakistan.
⭐ Some Media houses are also reporting that his alias name is Sajid Mir (Mastermind of 26/11 Mumbai Attack) who is hiding in Malaysia.
Let's wait for more clarity. 🤞
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Balochistan Update
Claims by ISPP
• Quetta (Shahwani Stadium): ISPP claims a suicide bombing on a BNP rally.
• Casualties: 15 killed, 100+ injured.
• Target: BNP leader Sardar Akhtar Mengal (unharmed).
• Victims included civilians and political figures.
• Attacker identified by ISPP as Ali Al-Muhajir.
Claims by BLA
• Zamuran (Kech): BLA says a remote-controlled IED destroyed a military vehicle, killing 7 soldiers (incl. Naib Subedar Farooq, Lance Naik Karim Dad, Lance Naik Hidayat, Sepoy Awais, Sepoy Ali), 4 others injured.
• Kolwah (Madag Kalat): BLA claims attack on army post with rockets & heavy weapons.
• Bolan (Shorkand): BLA says surveillance cameras destroyed.
• Jahoo (Awaran): BLA claims IED strike on army vehicle killed 2 soldiers (Zubair & Rehmat); further losses reported.
Claims by ISPP
• Quetta (Shahwani Stadium): ISPP claims a suicide bombing on a BNP rally.
• Casualties: 15 killed, 100+ injured.
• Target: BNP leader Sardar Akhtar Mengal (unharmed).
• Victims included civilians and political figures.
• Attacker identified by ISPP as Ali Al-Muhajir.
Claims by BLA
• Zamuran (Kech): BLA says a remote-controlled IED destroyed a military vehicle, killing 7 soldiers (incl. Naib Subedar Farooq, Lance Naik Karim Dad, Lance Naik Hidayat, Sepoy Awais, Sepoy Ali), 4 others injured.
• Kolwah (Madag Kalat): BLA claims attack on army post with rockets & heavy weapons.
• Bolan (Shorkand): BLA says surveillance cameras destroyed.
• Jahoo (Awaran): BLA claims IED strike on army vehicle killed 2 soldiers (Zubair & Rehmat); further losses reported.
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Khyber Pakhtunkhwa
Swat (Matta, KP):
- Pakistani Army raid against TTP militants reportedly failed.
- In clashes: 4 soldiers killed, 3 injured.
- Militants allegedly seized bodies, captured 2 Kalashnikovs, and detained 3 soldiers, moving them to an undisclosed location.
Reports say militants also pursued fleeing soldiers.
Swat (Matta, KP):
- Pakistani Army raid against TTP militants reportedly failed.
- In clashes: 4 soldiers killed, 3 injured.
- Militants allegedly seized bodies, captured 2 Kalashnikovs, and detained 3 soldiers, moving them to an undisclosed location.
Reports say militants also pursued fleeing soldiers.
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🚨 POV: Arab Lobby is involved in derailing India-USA Relationship.
⭐India is offering USA to lower Tariff on all imported goods. Still Trump is obsessed with India's purchase of Russian Oil.
⭐India purchase of Russian Oil affects revenue of Saudi Arabia and other OPEC Countries.
⭐ Saudi Arabia PIF is directly funding Trump's Family business Empire.
⭐India is offering USA to lower Tariff on all imported goods. Still Trump is obsessed with India's purchase of Russian Oil.
⭐India purchase of Russian Oil affects revenue of Saudi Arabia and other OPEC Countries.
⭐ Saudi Arabia PIF is directly funding Trump's Family business Empire.
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Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
🚨 POV: Arab Lobby is involved in derailing India-USA Relationship. ⭐India is offering USA to lower Tariff on all imported goods. Still Trump is obsessed with India's purchase of Russian Oil. ⭐India purchase of Russian Oil affects revenue of Saudi Arabia…
🗡Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 has long history of working against India's interest including funding terrorist groups through Pakistan.
We are restraining ourself due to India's cordial ties with them after 2014. But one day we will put up their whole history of 50 years. India should be careful with Qatar, Saudi and Malaysia.
We are restraining ourself due to India's cordial ties with them after 2014. But one day we will put up their whole history of 50 years. India should be careful with Qatar, Saudi and Malaysia.
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Third Eye OSINT & Analysis
❗❗Lashkar-e-Tayyiba Nasr Javed is more focused on Terrorist training and radicalization activities across Pakistan. PS: You could see young children in front row. Instead of going to school they attend these radicalization lectures.
⁉️Nasr Javed who has trained more than 2000+ Lashkar-e-Taiba Terrorist visited Saudi Arabia 🇸🇦 for Umrah earlier this year.
⭐Another Top Lashkar Launch Commander S### I### C### is currently hiding in Riyadh.
⭐Saifullah Kasuri, Deputy Lashkar Chief regularly visits Saudi Arabia.
⭐Another Top Lashkar Launch Commander S### I### C### is currently hiding in Riyadh.
⭐Saifullah Kasuri, Deputy Lashkar Chief regularly visits Saudi Arabia.
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❗❗Lashkar-e-Taiba Head Quarter demolished for reconstruction in Muridke, Pakistan.
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❗️Who is Anastasia Lavrina? Azerbaijan journalist ‘hired’ by Pakistan to further Kashmir propaganda?
https://www.financialexpress.com/world-news/who-is-anastasia-lavrina-azerbaijan-journalist-hired-by-pakistan-to-further-kashmir-propagandanbsp/3965393/
https://www.financialexpress.com/world-news/who-is-anastasia-lavrina-azerbaijan-journalist-hired-by-pakistan-to-further-kashmir-propagandanbsp/3965393/
The Financial Express
Who is Anastasia Lavrina? Azerbaijan journalist ‘hired’ by Pakistan to further Kashmir propaganda
Anastasia Lavrina, who is ‘hired’ by Pakistan to further Kashmir propaganda, is a TV presenter, political analyst, and filmmaker from Azerbaijan with nearly a decade of experience in journalism.
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Other pointers left out by this report of Financial Express:
1. AMAN Exercises started from 7 to 11 February. She arrived on 6th Feb in Pakistan & started covering the exercise from 10th Feb. It means she came to Pakistan with another motive & plan.
2. On February 23, 2025, AnewsZ TV aired a 24 min long documentary that echoed narratives aligned with the Pakistani perspective. Interestingly, Anastasia played a major role in this documentary.
3. During India-Pakistan conflict in May, she invited Pakistani panelists to her show spitting venom against India, interviewed Pakistani Ambassador to Azerbaijan - Qasim Mohiudin and raised questions like "Why India supply arms to Armenia?"
4. On 6th Feb Anastasia Lavrin landed at Islamabad airport.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887410141315621107
5. On 6th Feb, She had a meeting with Ehsan ul Haq (Former Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee of Pakistan).
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887478794987929816
6. On 6th Feb, She had a meeting with Syed Fakhar Imam (Former Chairman - Kashmir Parliamentary Committee) in the cabinet of Imran Khan govt.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887728006648549596
7. On 7th Feb, She visited POJK.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887784492556775602
8. On 8th Feb, She had a meeting with Mushahid Hussain Sayed
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887941587604586877
9. On 9th Feb, She visited the Azerbaijan Embassy & had a meeting with the ambassador Khazar Farhadov.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1888298685773287783
10. On 10th Feb, She had a meeting with Rear Admiral (retd) Faisal Shah, the first Two Star Officer of Pak Marines – Pakistan Navy.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1888657473390678240
11. On 10th Feb, She got the news byte of Khawaja Asif (Pakistan Defence Minister) while covering Aman Ex.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1888983033123877100
12. On 11th Feb, She had a meeting with Masood Khan (Former President - POJK) & Former Ambassador of Pakistan to USA.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1889066069123543418
13. On 11th Feb, She had a meeting with Sultan Ahmed Ali Sahib (Chairman - Muslim Institute and Secretary General of the Islahee Jamaat movement. As a tenth-generation descendant of the 17th-century Sufi saint Sultan Bahoo)
1. AMAN Exercises started from 7 to 11 February. She arrived on 6th Feb in Pakistan & started covering the exercise from 10th Feb. It means she came to Pakistan with another motive & plan.
2. On February 23, 2025, AnewsZ TV aired a 24 min long documentary that echoed narratives aligned with the Pakistani perspective. Interestingly, Anastasia played a major role in this documentary.
3. During India-Pakistan conflict in May, she invited Pakistani panelists to her show spitting venom against India, interviewed Pakistani Ambassador to Azerbaijan - Qasim Mohiudin and raised questions like "Why India supply arms to Armenia?"
4. On 6th Feb Anastasia Lavrin landed at Islamabad airport.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887410141315621107
5. On 6th Feb, She had a meeting with Ehsan ul Haq (Former Chairman Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee of Pakistan).
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887478794987929816
6. On 6th Feb, She had a meeting with Syed Fakhar Imam (Former Chairman - Kashmir Parliamentary Committee) in the cabinet of Imran Khan govt.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887728006648549596
7. On 7th Feb, She visited POJK.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887784492556775602
8. On 8th Feb, She had a meeting with Mushahid Hussain Sayed
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1887941587604586877
9. On 9th Feb, She visited the Azerbaijan Embassy & had a meeting with the ambassador Khazar Farhadov.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1888298685773287783
10. On 10th Feb, She had a meeting with Rear Admiral (retd) Faisal Shah, the first Two Star Officer of Pak Marines – Pakistan Navy.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1888657473390678240
11. On 10th Feb, She got the news byte of Khawaja Asif (Pakistan Defence Minister) while covering Aman Ex.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1888983033123877100
12. On 11th Feb, She had a meeting with Masood Khan (Former President - POJK) & Former Ambassador of Pakistan to USA.
https://x.com/ALavrina/status/1889066069123543418
13. On 11th Feb, She had a meeting with Sultan Ahmed Ali Sahib (Chairman - Muslim Institute and Secretary General of the Islahee Jamaat movement. As a tenth-generation descendant of the 17th-century Sufi saint Sultan Bahoo)
X (formerly Twitter)
Anastasia Lavrina (@ALavrina) on X
#Islamabad #Pakistan - Our journey starts here 🇵🇰 @Anewz_tv
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