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Grayscale CEO Steps Down

In an interview last month with @dotkrueger, we discussed that GBTC is in crisis mode and needs to do something soon or die.

Today, Grayscale announced, "Michael Sonnenshein ... has stepped down from the position to pursue other interests."

The graphs show why!

Losing 50%+ of your fund in 90 trading days is not something you see often.

Sonnenshein miscalculated the market's willingness to tolerate high mgt fees; their (est.) monthly mgt. fee has plummeted even though Bitcoin has massively appreciated.

They were the ones to fight the battle with the SEC and pay all the legal fees, only to become losers.

The new CEO is Peter Mintzberg, effective August 15, 2024

Interestingly, Sonnenshein will not even stay in the company for the transition period. They had to hire someone else for the interim. This is not how you depart when you are on friendly terms.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0uoOh5ogOa8
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Bitcoin ETFs bought $236M today
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"Consulting with substance"

Our team of experienced Bitcoin educators is ready to help you with any questions.

Take advantage of our free introductory session to discuss your concerns and learn more about our services.

Schedule here: https://21st.capital/free-consultation/
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Blackrock's $IBIT catches up to Grayscale's $GBTC in AUM
Bitcoin has become less volatile over time

The chart shows the standard deviation of daily percentage changes in Bitcoin's price computed on a rolling 365-basis.

Bitcoin's growth is getting more predictable and stable over time.
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Blackrock's $IBIT becomes the fastest ETF to reach $20B

At Bitcoin News Research, we analyze Bitcoin ETFs, institutional investors, the futures market, on-chain data, and more. Find our reports at: https://bitcoinnewsresearch.beehiiv.com
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Twitter Spaces

We are going deep on the Power Law as we break down the latest edition of Bitcoin News Research 🔬

Today at 3:00 PM Eastern Time (in less than an hour)

Join @Sina_21st, @dotkrueger, @hcburger1 and more for a mathematical discussion on the growth of #Bitcoin

Set reminders 👇
https://x.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1799142116750147982

Subscribe to our research newsletter 👇
https://bitcoinnewsresearch.beehiiv.com
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Introducing Volatility-Adjusted Power Law Index

An actionable metric for judging over/undervaluation of Bitcoin.

The metric is derived from the Power Law model and is adjusted for volatility to correct for changes in Bitcoin's market structure over time.


1/ High Accuracy
It correctly identifies the bottoms and tops of all prior cycles.

2/ Stable Range Over Time
A problem with many of the existing indicators and oscillators is that their meaning and ranges change over time. Take MVRV (one of the current bests) for example. It went as high as 7 in cycle 1 but went only up to 3.95 in the cycle 4. This makes judgement for the next cycle very challenging.

However, VPLI's oscillation range remains stable over all four past cycles because it is adjusted by market structure in each period.


3/ Regions of Overvaluation and Undervaluation
- Deep Value (<-10): 10% of time
- Value (-10, -5): 25%
- Cool (-5, 0): 25%
- Warm (0, 5): 20%
- Hot (5, 10): 15%
- Extreme Bubble (>10): 5%

* The percentages indicate the % of time the index spends in each region


The article detailing this metric and its methodology will be published in the next edition of the Bitcoin News Research newsletter. Subscribe using this link!

If you liked our content, please share your thoughts. Same article on twitter.

Bitcoin News Research is a collaboration between @BitcoinNewsCom and @21st_capital
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📣Is Bitcoin Undervalued Right Now?📣

📚 In this 15-minute YouTube video, we discuss our newly developed Bitcoin valuation model that indicates where Bitcoin stands at any point in time relative to the "fair price".

PS: This is our new YouTube channel with new branding. We will post video summaries of our research there. Please give it a follow if you are interested in this content.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3vfteUjnHs
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Blackrock's $IBIT bought $260M of Bitcoin today
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Trump: "On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler."
The crowd goes ecstatic.
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