also, it is usually when you think all hope is lost and people stop yelling "buy the dip" that the market moves

came across this post mentioning that recently the social volume mentions of "buy the dip" has faded as people are slowly exiting the market and losing hope

horrible macro conditions currently tho

the only plus side I see so far for this year is that things are overly bearish (too exaggerated) such that slight hints of improvements or subsiding of these bearish events would possibly lead to a more than proportionate bullish sentiment

just my take of course

for now just keeping my head down and educating myself more

anyw, rain or shine, bull or bear market

I'll still be here and I hope to see you around too :-)

cheers

LUNA really be like what war?? 🌕

really agree w this

if btc can show a strong move up despite what's going on rn, it'll possibly spark a new narrative that btc can truly act as "digital gold" in uncertain times such as rn and it is NOT just speculations

if there's a time to decouple from equities I think now would be a really great time

https://twitter.com/gametheorizing/status/1496859073991438336?s=20&t=o0DOC9YrUq7o-h1t3KDAWw

2x 😳

"So it’s not a huge leap in logic to think that he sees this invasion as a win-win for him: if the US cuts Russia from SWIFT, and Russia uses cryptocurrencies to get around it, the US has less influence politically. If the US doesn’t cut them off, and doesn’t take some kind of forceful action to compensate, Putin demonstrates to the world that the US is in decline and is too weak to stop him."

https://drewestes.substack.com/p/putin-is-attacking-more-than-just?r=itwb7&utm_source=url

Russia's POV for a more balanced view

US is putting missiles at Russia's doorstep and Russia has to defend itself

+ the continuous eastward expansion of NATO which made Russia feel betrayed

https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSe3CbuVR/

always looking for good reads, if any to share you can send them over in the discord general chat as well

if you're not in:
https://discord.gg/Zd7JftdDWD

no restriction on reading topics 👌🏼

"Russia's sensitivities over NATO's possible eastward expansion were well known. "No matter how nuanced, if NATO adopts a policy which envisions expansion into Central and Eastern Europe without holding the door open to Russia, it would be universally interpreted in Moscow as directed against Russia," US diplomat James Collins wrote in a State Department cable in 1993.

But since 1990, NATO has gone through five rounds of enlargement to include former parts of the Soviet Union and several former Warsaw Pact states. "

https://www.dw.com/en/nato-why-russia-has-a-problem-with-its-eastward-expansion/a-60891681

some analytics on the users that have locked up their UST/duration/wallet age etc. in Mars Protocol

https://share.streamlit.io/incioman/mars_lockdrop

from this clip

if Russia allows Ukraine to join NATO,
1. missiles at Russia's doorstep which is a security threat
2. breaking of promise in the eastward expansion of NATO
3. puts Russia in a losing position should Ukraine take back Crimea by force AFTER joining NATO

on point 3, I think he refers to invoking the NATO Article 5 (instead of treaty of Rome) where it mentions collective defence i.e. an attack on an ally country = an attack against all allies

and in this case all the other countries in NATO will be unwillingly dragged into a conflict w Russia, leading to a much larger scale war and possibly nuclear fall out

worse case scenario MAD (mutually assured destruction) which is a global scale nuclear war as we were taught in secondary school history

imo there's no good guys or bad guys in this conflict

western media will keep pushing the narrative that Russia is bad and US/NATO are the good guys, but from what I've gathered thus far I think US is fanning the flames from outside, while Russia is protecting her own security interests, and Ukraine is unfortunately stuck in the middle

and ofc war is bad without a doubt

just my take and sharing of course

brain drain

https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/goldman-sachs-operations-chief-quits-for-crypto-exchange-coinbase-20220225

thread to read

https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1497919817109573634?s=20&t=J289_-JR61IO6mb0NK0dCg

sorry for the slight deviation from crypto to updates about the Russian-Ukraine conflict

but I think that's more important as of where we are rn

Putin has escalated by putting nukes on alert

when one party standbys the nukes, opposing parties will ready their nukes in response

tbh idt it'll be used but the entire situation is just sad to see w this war

have we really not learned from history?

anyw, since the invasion the market has priced in (imo) that it's a civil conflict rather than a global scale war hence the recovery

but if this escalates further w more countries getting involved in the war then do expect markets to tank further

as long as the war is contained then we should remain ranging in this area

pending rate hikes in march next

hopium

stagflation -

slow GDP growth, high inflation, high unemployment