Crypto Mumbles – Telegram
Crypto Mumbles
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things I mumble to myself about crypto

basically my transparent crypto diary

education, analysis, and trades 🙂

Twitter: https://twitter.com/dpycm
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"Russia's sensitivities over NATO's possible eastward expansion were well known. "No matter how nuanced, if NATO adopts a policy which envisions expansion into Central and Eastern Europe without holding the door open to Russia, it would be universally interpreted in Moscow as directed against Russia," US diplomat James Collins wrote in a State Department cable in 1993.

But since 1990, NATO has gone through five rounds of enlargement to include former parts of the Soviet Union and several former Warsaw Pact states. "

https://www.dw.com/en/nato-why-russia-has-a-problem-with-its-eastward-expansion/a-60891681
Crypto Mumbles
thread on Mars Protocol https://twitter.com/ZeMariaMacedo/status/1490714332589658118
some analytics on the users that have locked up their UST/duration/wallet age etc. in Mars Protocol

https://share.streamlit.io/incioman/mars_lockdrop
do you think sanctions on Russia will be good for crypto?
Anonymous Poll
50%
yes
50%
no
from this clip

if Russia allows Ukraine to join NATO,
1. missiles at Russia's doorstep which is a security threat
2. breaking of promise in the eastward expansion of NATO
3. puts Russia in a losing position should Ukraine take back Crimea by force AFTER joining NATO

on point 3, I think he refers to invoking the NATO Article 5 (instead of treaty of Rome) where it mentions collective defence i.e. an attack on an ally country = an attack against all allies

and in this case all the other countries in NATO will be unwillingly dragged into a conflict w Russia, leading to a much larger scale war and possibly nuclear fall out

worse case scenario MAD (mutually assured destruction) which is a global scale nuclear war as we were taught in secondary school history

imo there's no good guys or bad guys in this conflict

western media will keep pushing the narrative that Russia is bad and US/NATO are the good guys, but from what I've gathered thus far I think US is fanning the flames from outside, while Russia is protecting her own security interests, and Ukraine is unfortunately stuck in the middle

and ofc war is bad without a doubt

just my take and sharing of course
👍4
sorry for the slight deviation from crypto to updates about the Russian-Ukraine conflict

but I think that's more important as of where we are rn

Putin has escalated by putting nukes on alert

when one party standbys the nukes, opposing parties will ready their nukes in response

tbh idt it'll be used but the entire situation is just sad to see w this war

have we really not learned from history?
anyw, since the invasion the market has priced in (imo) that it's a civil conflict rather than a global scale war hence the recovery

but if this escalates further w more countries getting involved in the war then do expect markets to tank further

as long as the war is contained then we should remain ranging in this area

pending rate hikes in march next
stagflation -

slow GDP growth, high inflation, high unemployment
market is pumping from the negotiations talks between Ukraine and Russia

also, Feb max pain @ 40k which ties in perfectly

idt a resolution will come from this first talk so don't go all bullish yet

if anything then it's likely a skem pump as of now
mb the options have expired on 25 feb just after the brief touch of 40k

this pump is from the negotiation talks
received my first paycheck in USDC today lfg
🔥7
a squeeze coupled with retails fomo-ing in

people have been realizing the importance/use of crypto over the course of war

how it raised over millions in donations without intervention and 100% of it going to Ukraine with transparency

how ECB pres encourages quick regulation of crypto (which is a touch on acknowledging it)

even if Russia tries to use crypto to bypass sanctions, it's still hard to bypass hard exports as shared by a fellow pal

and with the decoupling of crypto from equities yesterday, I'd say it's a further step ahead showing that crypto is different

dollar is weakened if it can't effectively impose sanctions as it's one of the strongest measure that the US has

sanctions on Russia also hits US hard with the oil shortage

net sentiments might be heading to the positive side here for crypto

as usual, always ready to be wrong