My latest memecoin launch success rate charts

Also did cactus style survival plots, which can give you more immediate estimates of current market conditions, without having to wait for a delay to measure success

— but this one gives you a clearer picture of how memecoin launch success relates to market conditions in general

= Massively improved success rates & ROIs soon after big surges, and the bigger the surge the bigger that increase

Wave analogy theory — when it comes to new launches, timing the market really does matter

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

Korea

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

Koreans loading up on $XRP

This is going to turn out just great

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

Longish-term downward slide of $SOL/$BTC over past few days

IIRC often tends to lead up to dumps…

Will see later if I can chart the accuracy of such SOL/BTC-based predictions

There’s some trickiness in that it’s very unclear the timespan over which such “predictions” by the SOL/BTC price apply, even if totally real, it’s likely that the timespan is non-stationary, varying over time, and predicting over multiple timeframes at once.

Will think about it

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

🚨🚨🚨 Massive spike in $SOL prices

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

🚨🚨🚨 Grayscale files for $SOL ETF with NYSE

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶

$SOL continuing to fly upward on $ETF news

🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶