Why are few willing to admit that the cycle top occurs at nearly an identical time each cycle?
I.e. Nov/Dec later this year?
— Many of the influencers trying to somehow sell you this insight, as if it’s a huge thing
Not exactly a big secret
Nov/Dec 2025 cycle top
Be ready
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I.e. Nov/Dec later this year?
— Many of the influencers trying to somehow sell you this insight, as if it’s a huge thing
Not exactly a big secret
Nov/Dec 2025 cycle top
Be ready
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DoomPosting
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American culture is prototypical "guilt culture" = fairness under threat of punishment
while Japanese is prototypical "shame culture" = social honor & threat of social ostracism
i.e. US thinking essentially independent of the question of whether huge boobs are bad, being irrelevant to questions of fairness, and not considering social factors
Japan thinking, though, could directly judge huge boobs negatively, for social reasons, not caring much at all about what’s fair
So, the Japanese man’s theory that it was socially unacceptable in the past, is in line with the latter values system
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while Japanese is prototypical "shame culture" = social honor & threat of social ostracism
i.e. US thinking essentially independent of the question of whether huge boobs are bad, being irrelevant to questions of fairness, and not considering social factors
Japan thinking, though, could directly judge huge boobs negatively, for social reasons, not caring much at all about what’s fair
So, the Japanese man’s theory that it was socially unacceptable in the past, is in line with the latter values system
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DoomPosting
Asian man’s research and theorizing on Asian lying: “Europeans are generally more honest than Asians, despite the fact that honesty and intelligence correlate.” “I ran a BMA a year ago to detect which variables were the most robustly associated with honesty…
See also previous post this is a reply to,
about the asian man’s research and theories about a biological lack of “conscience”, in the western sense.
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about the asian man’s research and theories about a biological lack of “conscience”, in the western sense.
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$Butthole, cheap $Fartcoin derivative or sufficiently novel?
Let’s consider some others,
$Fartcoin -> $Pisscoin
= Cheap derivative
$Pisscoin was equal or worse to $Fartcoin in essentially all ways.
Superior in no ways.
= Strictly-dominated
$Fartcoin -> $Butthole
= NOT a cheap derivative, despite being in the same theme.
Whereas $Fartcoin had one area where it really excelled = being a maximally funny name to try to force tradfi and MSM to say, without being censored, i.e. exactly one joke.
But $Butthole, unlike $Fartcoin, lends itself to a big range many off-color jokes, not just one.
In fact, you’d struggle to find a coin name that lends itself to a greater range of off-color jokes than $Butthole.
In this way, $Butthole is arguably better in at least one area than $Fartcoin was.
= NOT strictly-dominated
See also the range of pet coins, MEW, Doge, Shiba, Popcat — which are not cheap strictly-inferior clones of each other, and instead rather arguably have at least one arguably superior, or very distinct feature.
I.e.,
As they say in game theory, none of the top coins in a category can be “strictly-dominating” any of the other top coins in the same category.
None can be better at everything than any other of the top ones, or else the strictly-dominated ones get crushed.
See also Dexscreener’s Moonshot vs Pumpfun — Moonshot is essentially strictly-dominated by Pumpfun, better at absolutely nothing, equal or worse at everything.
Must be arguably better at at least SOMETHING.
Analogies, not copies.
Just say no to strictly-dominated derivative copycat coins.
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Let’s consider some others,
$Fartcoin -> $Pisscoin
= Cheap derivative
$Pisscoin was equal or worse to $Fartcoin in essentially all ways.
Superior in no ways.
= Strictly-dominated
$Fartcoin -> $Butthole
= NOT a cheap derivative, despite being in the same theme.
Whereas $Fartcoin had one area where it really excelled = being a maximally funny name to try to force tradfi and MSM to say, without being censored, i.e. exactly one joke.
But $Butthole, unlike $Fartcoin, lends itself to a big range many off-color jokes, not just one.
In fact, you’d struggle to find a coin name that lends itself to a greater range of off-color jokes than $Butthole.
In this way, $Butthole is arguably better in at least one area than $Fartcoin was.
= NOT strictly-dominated
See also the range of pet coins, MEW, Doge, Shiba, Popcat — which are not cheap strictly-inferior clones of each other, and instead rather arguably have at least one arguably superior, or very distinct feature.
I.e.,
As they say in game theory, none of the top coins in a category can be “strictly-dominating” any of the other top coins in the same category.
None can be better at everything than any other of the top ones, or else the strictly-dominated ones get crushed.
See also Dexscreener’s Moonshot vs Pumpfun — Moonshot is essentially strictly-dominated by Pumpfun, better at absolutely nothing, equal or worse at everything.
Must be arguably better at at least SOMETHING.
Analogies, not copies.
Just say no to strictly-dominated derivative copycat coins.
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Visually,
Red ones = Category leaders = NOT strictly-dominated
— Having some tradeoff that makes it superior in at least one way, versus all the others
Grey ones = Category losers = Strictly-dominated
— Being best at nothing derivative copycats. These you can expect to fade to zero, unless there’s somewhere that they excell that you missed.
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Red ones = Category leaders = NOT strictly-dominated
— Having some tradeoff that makes it superior in at least one way, versus all the others
Grey ones = Category losers = Strictly-dominated
— Being best at nothing derivative copycats. These you can expect to fade to zero, unless there’s somewhere that they excell that you missed.
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Zuckerberg:
"We're going to get rid of fact-checkers and replace them with community notes, similar to X."
"Fact-checkers have just been too politically biased and have destroyed more trust than they've created."
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"We're going to get rid of fact-checkers and replace them with community notes, similar to X."
"Fact-checkers have just been too politically biased and have destroyed more trust than they've created."
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Meet Web4
AI agents carrying out tasks on behalf of users, interacting with AI agents of other users, to negotiate and perform tasks, with crypto being used to pay for everything
For once, not bad
Some of us been calling for exactly this for years
Web4
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AI agents carrying out tasks on behalf of users, interacting with AI agents of other users, to negotiate and perform tasks, with crypto being used to pay for everything
For once, not bad
Some of us been calling for exactly this for years
Web4
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DoomPosting
What happened is THEY STOPPED ADVANCING STATE OF THE ART FOUNDATION MODELS 2 YEARS AGO Where tf is GPT5? Nothing beating GPT4, which completed traing 2 f&ing years ago TWO YEARS AGO Lifetime in tech AND THEN THEY JUST STOPPED, NOT EVEN BOTHERING TO…
AI Agent wave began taking off nearly 2 years ago
Then suddenly AI agents stalled hard
Stopped dead
Why? Not a real mystery
Viable AI agents needed just one more state-of-the-art upgrade to be viable
…but then, OPENAI JUST STOPPED MAKING ANY NEW SOTA MODELS, AT ALL, FOR 2 WHOLE YEARS
STOPPED. DEAD.
Until finally, just as competitors began catching up to GPT-4, OpenAI finally resumed work on the next batch of SOTA models,
e.g. the o1 line
With it, the AI Agent boom has finally resumed, as the github activity shows
And with that, the crypto “web4” boom has begun as well
OpenAI’s 2 year pause killed the boom for years, but now it has resumed
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
Then suddenly AI agents stalled hard
Stopped dead
Why? Not a real mystery
Viable AI agents needed just one more state-of-the-art upgrade to be viable
…but then, OPENAI JUST STOPPED MAKING ANY NEW SOTA MODELS, AT ALL, FOR 2 WHOLE YEARS
STOPPED. DEAD.
Until finally, just as competitors began catching up to GPT-4, OpenAI finally resumed work on the next batch of SOTA models,
e.g. the o1 line
With it, the AI Agent boom has finally resumed, as the github activity shows
And with that, the crypto “web4” boom has begun as well
OpenAI’s 2 year pause killed the boom for years, but now it has resumed
🄳🄾🄾🄼🄿🄾🅂🅃🄸🄽🄶
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