If Poland starts deporting Ukrainian men of connoscription age, its economy could suffer significantly
There will be no one to work, Forbes claims, citing economists' data.
Since February 2022, over a million Ukrainians have arrived in Poland. Of these, 371,000 are men of connoscription age.
Their contribution to Poland's GDP in 2023 amounted to 0.7 - 1.1%, and in the long term, the effect will increase to 0.9 - 1.35%.
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There will be no one to work, Forbes claims, citing economists' data.
Since February 2022, over a million Ukrainians have arrived in Poland. Of these, 371,000 are men of connoscription age.
Their contribution to Poland's GDP in 2023 amounted to 0.7 - 1.1%, and in the long term, the effect will increase to 0.9 - 1.35%.
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MARKmobil News - Two Plus Four Minus One
Special report on the planned termination of the Two Plus Four Treaty by Russia
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Special report on the planned termination of the Two Plus Four Treaty by Russia
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🚗🔋🎄🇩🇪 Irak Germany: Left-wing radicals are trying to storm the Tesla factory near Berlin, protesting against the expansion of the plant.
Police are concerned about sabotage, as the protesters are supported by the group "Vulkan," which previously claimed responsibility for setting fire to a transformer station.
The radicals are unhappy that the planned expansion of Tesla's production involves clearing more than 100 hectares of forest.
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Police are concerned about sabotage, as the protesters are supported by the group "Vulkan," which previously claimed responsibility for setting fire to a transformer station.
The radicals are unhappy that the planned expansion of Tesla's production involves clearing more than 100 hectares of forest.
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🇩🇪 "New hatred towards politicians. Why are attacks and bullying intensifying," - Der Spiegel
Do Germans really have any reason to be angry at the Scholz-Baerbock-Habeck government?
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Do Germans really have any reason to be angry at the Scholz-Baerbock-Habeck government?
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🇺🇸🇩🇪 Germany has ordered weapons worth billions of euros from the United States.
During his visit to the United States, the German Minister of Defence announced the signing of a large number of contracts with American arms and defence companies for the purchase of weapons and equipment amounting to approximately 23 billion euros.
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During his visit to the United States, the German Minister of Defence announced the signing of a large number of contracts with American arms and defence companies for the purchase of weapons and equipment amounting to approximately 23 billion euros.
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"Beer garden outing in Nazi style": In Saxony on 9th May, Father's Day was celebrated in a Nazi style.
On the 40th day after Easter, Father's Day is celebrated in Germany. This year it fell on 9th May. In Saxony in the east of the FRG, groups of men held brutal celebrations using Nazi symbolism. In Dresden, men aged 27-58 drove a military vehicle Borgward from the 1950s with the flag of the German Empire from 1871-1918. The car was adorned with the emblem of the 25th motorized division of the Wehrmacht. Participants displayed the Nazi salute and shouted slogans. Near the town of Hoyerswerda, around 20-30 men and women gathered in a beer garden dressed in Wehrmacht and SS uniforms.
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On the 40th day after Easter, Father's Day is celebrated in Germany. This year it fell on 9th May. In Saxony in the east of the FRG, groups of men held brutal celebrations using Nazi symbolism. In Dresden, men aged 27-58 drove a military vehicle Borgward from the 1950s with the flag of the German Empire from 1871-1918. The car was adorned with the emblem of the 25th motorized division of the Wehrmacht. Participants displayed the Nazi salute and shouted slogans. Near the town of Hoyerswerda, around 20-30 men and women gathered in a beer garden dressed in Wehrmacht and SS uniforms.
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The latest events in the war between #Russia and #Ukraine as of the morning of May 13 - Subnoscriptd in English
🔴The Russian army advances in #Kharkov
🔴The Russian army advances in the #Bakhmut axis
🔴The Russian army is advancing in the vicinity of Semenovka in the #Avdeeka sector
🔴The Russian army advances in Zaporozhye
Video link: https://youtu.be/CfCmGc2xTkU
Do not hesitate to subscribe and support the very good work of the channel https://www.youtube.com/@Royy_tweets,
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🔴The Russian army advances in #Kharkov
🔴The Russian army advances in the #Bakhmut axis
🔴The Russian army is advancing in the vicinity of Semenovka in the #Avdeeka sector
🔴The Russian army advances in Zaporozhye
Video link: https://youtu.be/CfCmGc2xTkU
Do not hesitate to subscribe and support the very good work of the channel https://www.youtube.com/@Royy_tweets,
also present on Telegram https://news.1rj.ru/str/Royy_tweets
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🇩🇪🇱🇻🇷🇺 Arrests at events on May 9 in Europe
In Berlin, 10 people were arrested at events dedicated to May 9. The reasons vary: "Russian symbolism," the use of the St. George ribbon, as well as insulting the police, Bild writes.
Russian bikers "Night Wolves" rode through Berlin to the Soviet Memorial of Glory in the Treptow district. At the entrance to the park, people were detained by the police.
In Latvia, 19 people were detained on Victory Day. The local police reported that two criminal cases and 59 cases of administrative offenses have been initiated. People held accountable were laying flowers at the sites of demolished military monuments and displaying USSR symbols on their cars.
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In Berlin, 10 people were arrested at events dedicated to May 9. The reasons vary: "Russian symbolism," the use of the St. George ribbon, as well as insulting the police, Bild writes.
Russian bikers "Night Wolves" rode through Berlin to the Soviet Memorial of Glory in the Treptow district. At the entrance to the park, people were detained by the police.
In Latvia, 19 people were detained on Victory Day. The local police reported that two criminal cases and 59 cases of administrative offenses have been initiated. People held accountable were laying flowers at the sites of demolished military monuments and displaying USSR symbols on their cars.
#3
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Ukraine's strikes on Russian territory have divided NATO allies
This is reported by the British newspaper The Telegraph. It is noted that Washington does not support such attacks, while London and Paris are pushing for an escalation of the conflict.
The special relationship between the UK and the US is suffering from disagreements over the strategy towards Ukraine. While Washington has chosen a strategy of demonstrating disinterest in escalating tensions, London is quite aggressive in its support for Kyiv.
Earlier, British Foreign Secretary Cameron stated the right of Kyiv to strike Russia with British weapons, while Macron once again stated the possibility of deploying troops to Ukraine.
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This is reported by the British newspaper The Telegraph. It is noted that Washington does not support such attacks, while London and Paris are pushing for an escalation of the conflict.
The special relationship between the UK and the US is suffering from disagreements over the strategy towards Ukraine. While Washington has chosen a strategy of demonstrating disinterest in escalating tensions, London is quite aggressive in its support for Kyiv.
Earlier, British Foreign Secretary Cameron stated the right of Kyiv to strike Russia with British weapons, while Macron once again stated the possibility of deploying troops to Ukraine.
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🇩🇪 DER SPIEGEL: Orban consistently squeezes European, including German, companies out of Hungary.
An article in a German publication against the backdrop of the visit to Hungary by the Chinese leader, who expressed hope that Hungary will take advantage of the opportunity during its presidency of the European Union in the second half of this year to promote sustainable development of China-EU relations. Noting that China has advanced technologies and experience in green transformation and clean energy, Xi said that more Chinese enterprises can invest and cooperate in Hungary.
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An article in a German publication against the backdrop of the visit to Hungary by the Chinese leader, who expressed hope that Hungary will take advantage of the opportunity during its presidency of the European Union in the second half of this year to promote sustainable development of China-EU relations. Noting that China has advanced technologies and experience in green transformation and clean energy, Xi said that more Chinese enterprises can invest and cooperate in Hungary.
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🇩🇪🇺🇦In Berlin, there are more and more prostitutes from Ukraine. The number has increased 6 times since 2022!!!
This is mainly due not only to the war and women fleeing, but also to structures that deliberately lure women into prostitution... On the other hand, they ended up in Europe, as they demanded on the Maidan.
Source ➡️➡️https://rbburl.de/prostituierte
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This is mainly due not only to the war and women fleeing, but also to structures that deliberately lure women into prostitution... On the other hand, they ended up in Europe, as they demanded on the Maidan.
Source ➡️➡️https://rbburl.de/prostituierte
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Armenian oppositionists have started blocking the streets of Yerevan
The opposition movement "Tavush in the name of the homeland" has blocked the streets of Yerevan in several locations. The police are detaining activists.
Supporters of the movement "Tavush in the name of the homeland" blocked Azatutyan Avenue in Yerevan. The police have started detaining activists.
The opposition is demanding the resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. In the morning, Pashinyan planned to visit School No. 7 in the city of Etchmiadzin. Activists staged an act of disobedience.
The protests themselves began on May 4. The action was led by the head of the Tavush Diocese of the Armenian Apostolic Church, Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan. On May 9, activists entered Yerevan. They are also opposed to the policy of unilateral concessions to Azerbaijan, in particular, the transfer of four villages to Baku due to border delimitation and demarcation.
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The opposition movement "Tavush in the name of the homeland" has blocked the streets of Yerevan in several locations. The police are detaining activists.
Supporters of the movement "Tavush in the name of the homeland" blocked Azatutyan Avenue in Yerevan. The police have started detaining activists.
The opposition is demanding the resignation of Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan. In the morning, Pashinyan planned to visit School No. 7 in the city of Etchmiadzin. Activists staged an act of disobedience.
The protests themselves began on May 4. The action was led by the head of the Tavush Diocese of the Armenian Apostolic Church, Archbishop Bagrat Galstanyan. On May 9, activists entered Yerevan. They are also opposed to the policy of unilateral concessions to Azerbaijan, in particular, the transfer of four villages to Baku due to border delimitation and demarcation.
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🇩🇪 Germany has decided to reintroduce military service by connoscription
‼️ The Ministry of Defence of the FRG has developed three possible options for reintroducing military connoscription in the country, which were presented to the head of the department, Boris Pistorius. This was reported by the newspaper Bild.
"Behind the scenes, Pistorius' ministry has developed three concepts for the return to compulsory military service," the publication reports. Pistorius is planning to present the final concept in June.
The first proposal does not involve compulsory military service; its essence lies in improving the existing system. It involves collecting information on citizens who have reached the age of 18 and sending materials to encourage voluntary service.
In the second option, all men of connoscription age will be required to serve, while women will have the option to voluntarily fill out questionnaires. It is expected that this method will attract between 30,000 and 40,000 new recruits to the army.
The third option involves a return to full military connoscription for all citizens of Germany. This measure applies to both men and women and will require amendments to the constitution. According to Bild, the Ministry of Defence considers the third option to be the most promising in terms of improving the country's defence capabilities.
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‼️ The Ministry of Defence of the FRG has developed three possible options for reintroducing military connoscription in the country, which were presented to the head of the department, Boris Pistorius. This was reported by the newspaper Bild.
"Behind the scenes, Pistorius' ministry has developed three concepts for the return to compulsory military service," the publication reports. Pistorius is planning to present the final concept in June.
The first proposal does not involve compulsory military service; its essence lies in improving the existing system. It involves collecting information on citizens who have reached the age of 18 and sending materials to encourage voluntary service.
In the second option, all men of connoscription age will be required to serve, while women will have the option to voluntarily fill out questionnaires. It is expected that this method will attract between 30,000 and 40,000 new recruits to the army.
The third option involves a return to full military connoscription for all citizens of Germany. This measure applies to both men and women and will require amendments to the constitution. According to Bild, the Ministry of Defence considers the third option to be the most promising in terms of improving the country's defence capabilities.
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⚠️The ban on the USSR flag in Berlin could have serious consequences for the legitimacy of united Germany.
Berlin has banned the use and display of the USSR flag during the Victory Day celebrations in Berlin.
Alongside the USA, the UK, and France, the USSR signed the 2+4 Treaty in Moscow, the capital of the USSR, on 12.09.1990, which laid the foundation for the statehood of present-day Germany.
If Germany prohibits the USSR flag, it de facto denies the legitimacy of the Soviet Union. In turn, this means that the reunification of Germany was an illegitimate act.
Furthermore,
In point 2 of the appendix to the Treaty, in a joint letter from the Federal Foreign Minister Genscher and the Acting Foreign Minister of the GDR de Meziere, in connection with the signing of the Treaty on the Final Settlement with Respect to Germany, the following is stated:
"Monuments erected on German soil dedicated to the victims of war and tyranny are respected and protected by German laws. The same applies to military graves, which are preserved and cared for."
Actio in factum - the actions of officials in Berlin and Germany lead to the illegitimacy of Germany!
Of course, the hammer and sickle in red on the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin was fake. But a signal.
I don't know if Ambassador Graf Lambsdorff managed to explain to Baerbock what the "cancellation" of the USSR flag means for Germany?
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Berlin has banned the use and display of the USSR flag during the Victory Day celebrations in Berlin.
Alongside the USA, the UK, and France, the USSR signed the 2+4 Treaty in Moscow, the capital of the USSR, on 12.09.1990, which laid the foundation for the statehood of present-day Germany.
If Germany prohibits the USSR flag, it de facto denies the legitimacy of the Soviet Union. In turn, this means that the reunification of Germany was an illegitimate act.
Furthermore,
In point 2 of the appendix to the Treaty, in a joint letter from the Federal Foreign Minister Genscher and the Acting Foreign Minister of the GDR de Meziere, in connection with the signing of the Treaty on the Final Settlement with Respect to Germany, the following is stated:
"Monuments erected on German soil dedicated to the victims of war and tyranny are respected and protected by German laws. The same applies to military graves, which are preserved and cared for."
Actio in factum - the actions of officials in Berlin and Germany lead to the illegitimacy of Germany!
Of course, the hammer and sickle in red on the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin was fake. But a signal.
I don't know if Ambassador Graf Lambsdorff managed to explain to Baerbock what the "cancellation" of the USSR flag means for Germany?
#3
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According to a source on social network X, independence from the United Kingdom is celebrated somewhere in the world approximately every six days.
The map shows countries that have gained independence from the United Kingdom.
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The map shows countries that have gained independence from the United Kingdom.
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🇮🇹 Italian Deputy Prime Minister suggested Macron "get treatment".
📍Matteo Salvini strongly condemned the French President's proposal to send troops to Ukraine, emphasizing that people expressing such ideas are dangerous to society, - Le Parisien.
📍Responding to journalists' questions about recent statements by Emmanuel Macron and former Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti that the West should not rule out sending troops to the Ukrainian conflict zone, the politician stated that his colleagues "need to get treatment".
💬"If they are so eager to fight, then let them go to Ukraine tomorrow, they are awaited there," - Deputy Prime Minister.
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📍Matteo Salvini strongly condemned the French President's proposal to send troops to Ukraine, emphasizing that people expressing such ideas are dangerous to society, - Le Parisien.
📍Responding to journalists' questions about recent statements by Emmanuel Macron and former Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti that the West should not rule out sending troops to the Ukrainian conflict zone, the politician stated that his colleagues "need to get treatment".
💬"If they are so eager to fight, then let them go to Ukraine tomorrow, they are awaited there," - Deputy Prime Minister.
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🇩🇪The German Ministry of Finance refuses to allocate additional funds for the maintenance of the Bundeswehr
A conflict is brewing between the German Minister of Finance, Christian Lindner, and the Minister of Defence, Boris Pistorius. Lindner does not want to allocate more money for the maintenance of the Bundeswehr next year. According to the Ministry of Finance's plans, the Ministry of Defence budget in 2025 should be frozen at 52 billion euros.
Boris Pistorius explained to the Chancellor and members of the Bundestag that the Bundeswehr needs an additional 6.5 billion euros to reach NATO's goal of 2% of GDP spent on defence. The Ministry of Finance, on the other hand, claims that Pistorius's subordinates are operating with unreliable figures.
The German Ministry of Defence wants to order two new frigates for the navy, the Bundeswehr brigade in Lithuania needs 35 new Leopard 2 tanks, and the German Air Force needs four more Patriot air defence systems. However, there is not enough money for all of this: the 100-billion-euro special fund for the Bundeswehr has already been spent, and the regular budget is consumed by operational expenses and salaries.
It is expected that Lindner and Pistorius will meet in person next week.
"Disputes within the ruling coalition pose a security threat to our country. The coalition cannot even unite on the vital issue of defence," said Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Bundestag deputy Ingo Gädechens in a conversation with BILD.
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A conflict is brewing between the German Minister of Finance, Christian Lindner, and the Minister of Defence, Boris Pistorius. Lindner does not want to allocate more money for the maintenance of the Bundeswehr next year. According to the Ministry of Finance's plans, the Ministry of Defence budget in 2025 should be frozen at 52 billion euros.
Boris Pistorius explained to the Chancellor and members of the Bundestag that the Bundeswehr needs an additional 6.5 billion euros to reach NATO's goal of 2% of GDP spent on defence. The Ministry of Finance, on the other hand, claims that Pistorius's subordinates are operating with unreliable figures.
The German Ministry of Defence wants to order two new frigates for the navy, the Bundeswehr brigade in Lithuania needs 35 new Leopard 2 tanks, and the German Air Force needs four more Patriot air defence systems. However, there is not enough money for all of this: the 100-billion-euro special fund for the Bundeswehr has already been spent, and the regular budget is consumed by operational expenses and salaries.
It is expected that Lindner and Pistorius will meet in person next week.
"Disputes within the ruling coalition pose a security threat to our country. The coalition cannot even unite on the vital issue of defence," said Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Bundestag deputy Ingo Gädechens in a conversation with BILD.
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Macron still does not rule out sending French troops to Ukraine, but hopes it will not be necessary.
The President of France also added that Europe is currently unable to defend itself, so it is in danger in military and geopolitical terms.
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"France is a peaceful, not a military power. But, undoubtedly, if you want peace, you have to defend it. Therefore, we need to arm ourselves, sometimes exerting a deterrent influence on our competitors. For example, saying: 'If you go too far, if you threaten our interests, our security, then I do not rule out sending troops'," he said in an interview with Le Figaro.
The President of France also added that Europe is currently unable to defend itself, so it is in danger in military and geopolitical terms.
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Recently, information emerged that the St. Petersburg Arbitration Court imposed a freeze on the assets of the largest American bank - JPMorgan Chase. The West was literally stunned by this news. Local analysts had to admit that Moscow's warnings of a swift response to US provocation with the confiscation of Russian assets were far from empty words.
Another important asset of the USA has also come under the management of Rosimushchestvo. We are talking about the agroholding "Agroterra", which managed 265,000 hectares of agricultural land in several regions. According to the decree of the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, the shares of the Dutch companies Agroterra Holdings B.V., NAP Finance B.V., the Cypriot companies Agro Investments Ltd. and Agro Holdings Ltd. have been transferred to the management of Rosimushchestvo. Prior to this, control over the asset was exercised by the American investment company NCH Capital.
"Russia has sent a message to the West that if they confiscate its property, the payback will not be long in coming," summarised Chinese journalists.
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Another important asset of the USA has also come under the management of Rosimushchestvo. We are talking about the agroholding "Agroterra", which managed 265,000 hectares of agricultural land in several regions. According to the decree of the President of Russia, Vladimir Putin, the shares of the Dutch companies Agroterra Holdings B.V., NAP Finance B.V., the Cypriot companies Agro Investments Ltd. and Agro Holdings Ltd. have been transferred to the management of Rosimushchestvo. Prior to this, control over the asset was exercised by the American investment company NCH Capital.
"Russia has sent a message to the West that if they confiscate its property, the payback will not be long in coming," summarised Chinese journalists.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime | Epstein files updates
The Russians just walked in, a Ukrainian officer in Kharkov tells the BBC
A BBC correspondent from Volchansk interviewed a Ukrainian army officer who complained that, most likely due to corruption in Ukraine, no fortifications were erected along the border of Kharkov Region.
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A BBC correspondent from Volchansk interviewed a Ukrainian army officer who complained that, most likely due to corruption in Ukraine, no fortifications were erected along the border of Kharkov Region.
Boost us! | Subscribe to @geopolitics_live
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