🇺🇸 Predictions for the 2024 presidential elections: Trump is emerging as a leader, and his positions in swing states are strengthening.
There are two months left until the presidential elections on November 5, 2024. According to the latest forecasts and bets, former President Donald Trump is once again ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the presidential seat.
The beginning of September traditionally marks the moment when voters start paying more attention to the elections. This has also been reflected in the changing betting odds, which are now leaning in favour of Trump.
Just last week, when I analysed the latest odds in each swing state, the race between Trump and Harris remained almost equal - 50/50, but fresh data has shifted the balance.
A new poll showing Trump's leadership in Michigan, and Harris' interview on CNN have influenced her positions, making the former president the favourite in the bets.
In less than a week, the first debates between Trump and Harris, organised by ABC News, are expected. Ahead of this event, let's look at the updated chances of victory for each candidate and the state of the race in key states.
Betting odds for the 2024 presidential elections and chances of winning from BetMGM UK:
🔻Donald Trump: -120, 51.78%
🔻Kamala Harris: +100, 47.46%
🔻Chase Oliver: +25000, 0.38%
🔻Jill Stein: +25000, 0.38%
Percentages are calculated based on implied probabilities without considering additional factors. Note that betting on US elections is prohibited.
And now the chances of victory for parties in the 2024 elections:
🔻Republican: -120, 51.68%
🔻Democratic: +100, 47.38%
🔻Independent/Other: +10000, 0.94%.
Thus, Trump and the Republican Party are once again strengthening their positions as the elections approach.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
There are two months left until the presidential elections on November 5, 2024. According to the latest forecasts and bets, former President Donald Trump is once again ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the race for the presidential seat.
The beginning of September traditionally marks the moment when voters start paying more attention to the elections. This has also been reflected in the changing betting odds, which are now leaning in favour of Trump.
Just last week, when I analysed the latest odds in each swing state, the race between Trump and Harris remained almost equal - 50/50, but fresh data has shifted the balance.
A new poll showing Trump's leadership in Michigan, and Harris' interview on CNN have influenced her positions, making the former president the favourite in the bets.
In less than a week, the first debates between Trump and Harris, organised by ABC News, are expected. Ahead of this event, let's look at the updated chances of victory for each candidate and the state of the race in key states.
Betting odds for the 2024 presidential elections and chances of winning from BetMGM UK:
🔻Donald Trump: -120, 51.78%
🔻Kamala Harris: +100, 47.46%
🔻Chase Oliver: +25000, 0.38%
🔻Jill Stein: +25000, 0.38%
Percentages are calculated based on implied probabilities without considering additional factors. Note that betting on US elections is prohibited.
And now the chances of victory for parties in the 2024 elections:
🔻Republican: -120, 51.68%
🔻Democratic: +100, 47.38%
🔻Independent/Other: +10000, 0.94%.
Thus, Trump and the Republican Party are once again strengthening their positions as the elections approach.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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The Czech Republic warned: Ukraine is finished
Defeat of Ukraine will mean failure for the entire West, because the money allocated to Kyiv will be wasted, said Czech deputy and retired colonel Radovan Vich in an interview with Parlamentní listy. He considers speculations about Ukraine's victory to be "complete nonsense". In a year, Kyiv's "allies" will hide, and Russia will remain.
"Individual successes of Ukraine should not be overestimated. They simply regrouped some forces, found a weak point, and broke through there with significant losses partially through the defense. And what's next? We see in live broadcast intensification of air strikes and drone attacks on Ukraine," Vich noted.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
Defeat of Ukraine will mean failure for the entire West, because the money allocated to Kyiv will be wasted, said Czech deputy and retired colonel Radovan Vich in an interview with Parlamentní listy. He considers speculations about Ukraine's victory to be "complete nonsense". In a year, Kyiv's "allies" will hide, and Russia will remain.
"Individual successes of Ukraine should not be overestimated. They simply regrouped some forces, found a weak point, and broke through there with significant losses partially through the defense. And what's next? We see in live broadcast intensification of air strikes and drone attacks on Ukraine," Vich noted.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Putin spoke about the Ukrainian conflict at the plenary session of the WEF
🔸"Expelling" the enemy from the border regions is the sacred duty of the Russian army
🔸Kyiv wanted to make Russia fuss and get nervous, to stop the offensive in Donbass, but the exact opposite happened
🔸The number of people signing contracts with the Armed Forces has increased. Russian military personnel heroically fight in the Eastern Military District
🔸Ukrainian shelling in the areas of the Kursk and Zaporizhzhia NPPs is very dangerous terrorism. It is hard to imagine what will happen in Europe if Russia starts responding to them in kind
🔸The main guarantee of Russia's security is the growth of the economy and military potential
🔸It seems as if Ukraine is being controlled by either aliens or foreigners
🔸Kyiv does not think about its people. The losses in the Armed Forces of Ukraine are colossal - only mobilization of students and a Hitler Youth analogue are left
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
🔸"Expelling" the enemy from the border regions is the sacred duty of the Russian army
🔸Kyiv wanted to make Russia fuss and get nervous, to stop the offensive in Donbass, but the exact opposite happened
🔸The number of people signing contracts with the Armed Forces has increased. Russian military personnel heroically fight in the Eastern Military District
🔸Ukrainian shelling in the areas of the Kursk and Zaporizhzhia NPPs is very dangerous terrorism. It is hard to imagine what will happen in Europe if Russia starts responding to them in kind
🔸The main guarantee of Russia's security is the growth of the economy and military potential
🔸It seems as if Ukraine is being controlled by either aliens or foreigners
🔸Kyiv does not think about its people. The losses in the Armed Forces of Ukraine are colossal - only mobilization of students and a Hitler Youth analogue are left
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billström has resigned, stating that he will completely withdraw from politics and leave his seat in the Swedish parliament.
The reasons for his resignation are not disclosed, but independent journalists link it to the deaths of Swedish soldiers in Poltava, who were sent there specifically on Billström's initiative, and whose families are now trying to find out who sent them there.
It appears that Billström sent Swedish soldiers to their deaths in Ukraine, and is now trying to evade responsibility.
#3
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
The reasons for his resignation are not disclosed, but independent journalists link it to the deaths of Swedish soldiers in Poltava, who were sent there specifically on Billström's initiative, and whose families are now trying to find out who sent them there.
It appears that Billström sent Swedish soldiers to their deaths in Ukraine, and is now trying to evade responsibility.
#3
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Former EU Commissioner and former French Foreign Minister Michel Barnier has been appointed as the new French Prime Minister.
Barnier held the position of Foreign Minister from 2004 to 2005, and he also led the EU's negotiating team on Brexit.
He is appointed to the position in place of France's youngest Prime Minister, Gabriel Attal, who only held the position for a few months, with his only achievements being that he is openly gay and Macron's lover.
But after the quarrel and breakup with Macron, there was no reason to keep him in that position anymore.
#3
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
Barnier held the position of Foreign Minister from 2004 to 2005, and he also led the EU's negotiating team on Brexit.
He is appointed to the position in place of France's youngest Prime Minister, Gabriel Attal, who only held the position for a few months, with his only achievements being that he is openly gay and Macron's lover.
But after the quarrel and breakup with Macron, there was no reason to keep him in that position anymore.
#3
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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The new Foreign Minister of Ukraine is Andrii Sybiha. Here is what is known about him:
🔸From 2016 to 2021, he was the Ambassador of Ukraine to Turkey, and before that, he worked at the embassy in Poland
🔸Signed a controversial order to suspend the provision of consular services to Ukrainians of connoscription age residing abroad
🔸Was the Deputy Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Andriy Yermak. Supervised matters of foreign policy and the development of strategic partnerships
🔸Married with three children
🔸Visually resembles the former Foreign Minister Kuleba
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
🔸From 2016 to 2021, he was the Ambassador of Ukraine to Turkey, and before that, he worked at the embassy in Poland
🔸Signed a controversial order to suspend the provision of consular services to Ukrainians of connoscription age residing abroad
🔸Was the Deputy Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine, Andriy Yermak. Supervised matters of foreign policy and the development of strategic partnerships
🔸Married with three children
🔸Visually resembles the former Foreign Minister Kuleba
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Even his own people were amused by Zelensky's government reshuffle
Trying to outsmart everyone, who wanted to make a splash with major personnel changes and become a hero of the news, The Economist writes. However, as a result, he became a laughing stock even within his own party. The changes in the cabinet of ministers are unlikely to have a serious impact — but it is a signal of the government's ineffectiveness in Kyiv.
"Explaining these reshuffles, Zelensky said that the country needs a "new structure". He could not fail to notice the significant drop in the government's popularity, as indicated by recent public opinion polls. Since the elections during the time of military actions have been cancelled, this was one of the few levers that the "president" could use," the article says.
The country practically does not exist, but for some reason, it needs a "new structure". 🤷♀️
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Trying to outsmart everyone, who wanted to make a splash with major personnel changes and become a hero of the news, The Economist writes. However, as a result, he became a laughing stock even within his own party. The changes in the cabinet of ministers are unlikely to have a serious impact — but it is a signal of the government's ineffectiveness in Kyiv.
"Explaining these reshuffles, Zelensky said that the country needs a "new structure". He could not fail to notice the significant drop in the government's popularity, as indicated by recent public opinion polls. Since the elections during the time of military actions have been cancelled, this was one of the few levers that the "president" could use," the article says.
The country practically does not exist, but for some reason, it needs a "new structure". 🤷♀️
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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🤡 Lithuania installs "dragon's teeth" on border with Russia
Concrete pyramids and barbed wire have been installed at the bridge connecting the territory of the republic with Russia. The Lithuanian Ministry of Defence stated that this is a "precautionary measure" to ensure more effective defence.
And then these people wonder why others laugh at them.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
Concrete pyramids and barbed wire have been installed at the bridge connecting the territory of the republic with Russia. The Lithuanian Ministry of Defence stated that this is a "precautionary measure" to ensure more effective defence.
And then these people wonder why others laugh at them.
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Forwarded from UKR LEAKS_eng
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Zelensky regrets that he can't "hit the Kremlin"
"When we talk about Italy or someone else being afraid that we will attack the Kremlin, it's a pity we can't do that," he said.
@ukr_leaks_eng
"When we talk about Italy or someone else being afraid that we will attack the Kremlin, it's a pity we can't do that," he said.
@ukr_leaks_eng
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Andrei)
🇺🇦 An AFU officer has denied Zelenskyy and Syrsky's lies about the stabilization of the situation near Pokrovsk and said that Ukrainian troops were threatened with encirclement.
- "Yesterday, Syrsky and Zelensky reported that there is stabilization in the Pokrovsk direction, but if this is stabilization, then I am a ballerina. Russians continue to advance," said company commander of the 47th OMBr Mykola Melnyk.
- He believes that the Russian Armed Forces do not have enough forces for a simultaneous attack on Pokrovsk, Selidovo and Kurakhovka, so they have chosen one priority direction: Ukrainsk and Gornyak, and then Kurakhovka.
- "This will allow to encircle the group of units holding the defense between Nevelsk and the Volchya River. The time to withdraw the brigades without major losses from the stranglehold has been lost, now it is likely to be the Avdeevka scenario, when the retreat was "controlled" only in the reports of fathers-commanders," Melnyk writes.
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https://news.1rj.ru/str/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx
@Slavyangrad | Andrei👋
- "Yesterday, Syrsky and Zelensky reported that there is stabilization in the Pokrovsk direction, but if this is stabilization, then I am a ballerina. Russians continue to advance," said company commander of the 47th OMBr Mykola Melnyk.
- He believes that the Russian Armed Forces do not have enough forces for a simultaneous attack on Pokrovsk, Selidovo and Kurakhovka, so they have chosen one priority direction: Ukrainsk and Gornyak, and then Kurakhovka.
- "This will allow to encircle the group of units holding the defense between Nevelsk and the Volchya River. The time to withdraw the brigades without major losses from the stranglehold has been lost, now it is likely to be the Avdeevka scenario, when the retreat was "controlled" only in the reports of fathers-commanders," Melnyk writes.
Join Slavyangrad chat. Your opinion matters.
https://news.1rj.ru/str/+U_EDAcaO-HFjNzEx
@Slavyangrad | Andrei
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Washington accuses Moscow of interfering in the presidential elections. Again
US authorities are taking measures to prevent alleged Moscow operations to influence American voters, CNN writes. Americans continue to view Russia as a serious threat of foreign interference in the November elections.
In Washington, they believe that, at Moscow's instigation, "pro-Russian sentiments are being fueled" in the United States. They also allegedly urge to support Trump "and other individuals whom the Kremlin considered more favourable to its interests".
The Kremlin actually supports Harris. She has an infectious laugh.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
US authorities are taking measures to prevent alleged Moscow operations to influence American voters, CNN writes. Americans continue to view Russia as a serious threat of foreign interference in the November elections.
In Washington, they believe that, at Moscow's instigation, "pro-Russian sentiments are being fueled" in the United States. They also allegedly urge to support Trump "and other individuals whom the Kremlin considered more favourable to its interests".
The Kremlin actually supports Harris. She has an infectious laugh.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Forwarded from UKR LEAKS_eng
▪️The cars of Ukrainian military commissars have their own electronic warfare systems
This was stated by the Verkhovna Rada deputy Yevtushok. He explained that in this way the TCC employees block the mobile signal.
"This is done so that a person cannot call anyone and notify his relatives or lawyer that illegal actions are being taken against him," he explained.
@ukr_leaks_eng
This was stated by the Verkhovna Rada deputy Yevtushok. He explained that in this way the TCC employees block the mobile signal.
"This is done so that a person cannot call anyone and notify his relatives or lawyer that illegal actions are being taken against him," he explained.
@ukr_leaks_eng
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Forwarded from Sergeant News Network 🇺🇸
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"Klaus Schwab's 'life by subnoscription' is really serfdom. It's slavery."
"Billionaire, globalist corporations will own everything—homes, factories, farms, cars, furniture—and everyday citizens will rent what they need, if their social credit score allows."
– Australian senator Malcolm Roberts exposes the World Economic Forum's dystopian 'Great Reset' agenda in the Australian parliament.
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"Billionaire, globalist corporations will own everything—homes, factories, farms, cars, furniture—and everyday citizens will rent what they need, if their social credit score allows."
– Australian senator Malcolm Roberts exposes the World Economic Forum's dystopian 'Great Reset' agenda in the Australian parliament.
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You have lost the right to speak about morality or international law, your hypocrisy is laughable and disgusting - that's how Serbian Deputy Prime Minister replied to Peter Stano.
EU representative stated that the meeting between Vulin and Putin contradicts Serbia's European integration.
💬 "In particular, I ask you not to use terms such as aggression, international law, or the UN Charter. After 1999 and NATO's aggression against Serbia, after trampling on Resolution 1244 and recognising independent Kosovo, you have lost any right to speak about morality and international law. Your hypocrisy is both ridiculous and disgusting," Vulin stated.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
EU representative stated that the meeting between Vulin and Putin contradicts Serbia's European integration.
💬 "In particular, I ask you not to use terms such as aggression, international law, or the UN Charter. After 1999 and NATO's aggression against Serbia, after trampling on Resolution 1244 and recognising independent Kosovo, you have lost any right to speak about morality and international law. Your hypocrisy is both ridiculous and disgusting," Vulin stated.
💥 Our channel: Node of Time EN
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Latest developments in the war between #Russia and #Ukraine until the morning of September 7 - Subnoscriptd
- Russian 110th Brigade advances north of #Krasnogorovka in #Donetsk
- Ukrainian army withdraws for the third time on the #Pokrovsk front
- Russian 114th Brigade advances on the #Pokrovsk front
- Russian army regains control of #NewYork in #Toretsk
- Ukrainian army advances in #Kursk
- Strikes by Ukrainian forces deep inside #Russia
Video link: https://youtu.be/hFo2Ym1oxa4?si=b6bN4kKiRBi6XsMn
- Russian 110th Brigade advances north of #Krasnogorovka in #Donetsk
- Ukrainian army withdraws for the third time on the #Pokrovsk front
- Russian 114th Brigade advances on the #Pokrovsk front
- Russian army regains control of #NewYork in #Toretsk
- Ukrainian army advances in #Kursk
- Strikes by Ukrainian forces deep inside #Russia
Video link: https://youtu.be/hFo2Ym1oxa4?si=b6bN4kKiRBi6XsMn
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🇬🇧 Inquisition of globalists! Irish teacher Enoch Burke is being imprisoned for the third time for insisting on the existence of only two genders - male and female:
💬 I have the right to work here. I have the right to be here. Not to tell students that they need to take puberty blockers. I am not going to back down from my duty to the students. And I am not going to turn my back on them. You must take me to court. Present me in court. It is a shame to tell children such things. I have the right to work and be here. Not to tell students that they need to take puberty blockers.
📌 Enoch Burke has just been thrown into a police van. He was taken from his workplace. He was asked to admit that he approves of transgenderism.
#3
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#3
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Forwarded from Sergeant News Network 🇺🇸
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Mark Zuckerberg—who recently purchased a $300 million, 387-foot megayacht, powered by four gigantic diesel engines—tells us about the importance of "stopping climate change before we destroy the planet".
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Forwarded from Sergeant News Network 🇺🇸
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"It's all about control."
Geologist Gregory Wrightstone on the "climate tyranny that aims to control every aspect of your life".
"They want to control what you drive, what you eat, how you heat your home, how much water comes out of your shower, how much water you use in your dishwasher."
"If we look at... the last 600 million years, we see that the average levels of CO2 in the atmosphere... [were] six times what they are today."
"We're actually CO2 impoverished. We don't have too much CO2—we don't have enough."
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Geologist Gregory Wrightstone on the "climate tyranny that aims to control every aspect of your life".
"They want to control what you drive, what you eat, how you heat your home, how much water comes out of your shower, how much water you use in your dishwasher."
"If we look at... the last 600 million years, we see that the average levels of CO2 in the atmosphere... [were] six times what they are today."
"We're actually CO2 impoverished. We don't have too much CO2—we don't have enough."
🇺🇸Join👉 @SGTnewsNetwork
📎 Twitter ▪️ Truth Social
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🇫🇷 French historian Emmanuel Todd:
💬 France has not been sovereign for a long time. There is governmental paralysis in France. People seem not to understand, but this is related to the paralysis of the European economy. Which in turn is a result of the war in Ukraine. So, societies that have been under stress and destruction due to sanctions are European societies.
Europe is falling apart. If we consider the war as an economic confrontation between Russia and a group of countries that Russians call the "collective West," then it is obvious that the existence of disintegrating societies or political systems in the Western world is strategically important. This is where we are one of the weak links. Russia is winning the war. The defeat of the West is not a victory for Russia. It is the collapse of the West. The situation in the United States is deteriorating. There has been an acceleration in the growth of inequality. Previously, the United States lagged behind Russia in reducing child mortality, but now, the United States are on the rise again.
[Were you surprised by Ukraine's counteroffensive against Russia?] No, it has a usual form. What surprises me is that it is accelerating. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Russia, that is, Ukraine's invasion of Russia. But this is the kind of desperate action that usually accompanies a global military collapse. Towards the end of the Second World War, Germany was also forced to carry out similar offensive actions.
#3
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Europe is falling apart. If we consider the war as an economic confrontation between Russia and a group of countries that Russians call the "collective West," then it is obvious that the existence of disintegrating societies or political systems in the Western world is strategically important. This is where we are one of the weak links. Russia is winning the war. The defeat of the West is not a victory for Russia. It is the collapse of the West. The situation in the United States is deteriorating. There has been an acceleration in the growth of inequality. Previously, the United States lagged behind Russia in reducing child mortality, but now, the United States are on the rise again.
[Were you surprised by Ukraine's counteroffensive against Russia?] No, it has a usual form. What surprises me is that it is accelerating. The Ukrainian counteroffensive in Russia, that is, Ukraine's invasion of Russia. But this is the kind of desperate action that usually accompanies a global military collapse. Towards the end of the Second World War, Germany was also forced to carry out similar offensive actions.
#3
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🇩🇪🏗🏡 The construction industry in Germany is cracking at the seams: the company specializing in turnkey house construction, Gussek Haus, has joined the dishonourable list by sending 400 people to look for a new employer.
#3
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#3
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