🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Admin does believe that Hezbollah will - eventually - retaliate. Iran probably will as well. But, at this point, it will require near pin-point precise calculations and decision making on behalf of Hezbollah and Iran in order to avoid an all-out war.

On a purely tactical and strategic basis, Hezbollah has an immense edge against Israel, especially if Israel decided to invade Lebanon. It would be a bloody and brutal war, for both sides, but Hezbollah would likely come out on top in a painful but nonetheless pyrrhic victory. This is only if Hezbollah decides to take decisive and bold action, which they have yet to do.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Two airstrikes against the town of Dhahira, southern Lebanon

🇫🇷🇱🇧⚡️- France has reportedly warned the Lebanese government on the impending dangers of an Israeli war in Lebanon: "If a war starts, it will not be a third Lebanon war, it will be the last Lebanon war"

🇯🇴🇱🇧⚡️- Jordan has asked its citizens to immediately leave Lebanon

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Israel has extended the closure of the airspace north of Hadera until Tuesday, September 23rd

🇵🇸🇮🇱⚡️- Massive demonstrations in Jerusalem demanding a hostage exchange deal. Police are making numerous arrests and attempting to disperse the protests

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡- "Hezbollah is waving red flags as a symbol of revenge in southern Da'iyah and several other cities in the south," -Channel 12.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "The beeper attack is a prelude to a large-scale attack in Lebanon, its purpose was to cause great chaos in Hezbollah." -The Washington Post

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Rambam Hospital in Haifa, the fifth largest hospital in Israel and the largest hospital in northern Israel, has partially cancelled multiple services due to the security situation

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Prime Minister Netanyahu has cancelled his schedule visit to New York for the UN General Assembly meeting amid the ongoing security situation.

🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡- Russian forces have entered Makarovka – Velikaya Novosyolka direction.

Russian troops have advanced 1,900 meters north of Staromaiorskoe, entering the first few houses of Makarovka. UAV footage shows Russian troops at 47.77044, 36.80116.

Russian forces have also advanced north of Urozhainoe by 500 meters.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Initial reports of explosions in Haifa.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Hebrew channels reporting the cause of the explosion is fighter jets breaking the sound barrier above the city

🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡- Massive Russian advance in the Toretsk direction.

Ukrainian UAV footage shows Russian BMPs driving through Leonidovka, at 48.37325, 37.79595. Therefore Russian troops advanced 4,800 meters north.

Russian forces have secured New York and have captured Nelipovka as well as Leonidovka.

At the moment it's unknown whether Russian troops have crossed the Kazenniy Torets river into the large town of Shcherbinovka.

It's also unknown whether Ukrainian forces have remained in the pockets south of Toretsk city, where they are at risk of encirclement. It's likely Ukraine has withdrawn from this position.

🇺🇸🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- The Pentagon has declared a state of alert in the Middle East for all overseas bases due to rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Massive red alerts across northern Israel and central Galilee. Red alerts are reported near Haifa.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- Sirens sounding Haifa and Nazareth, the furthest south of any attack Hezbollah has started since October 8th.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- All of central Galilee is under red alert

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇱🇧⚡- The US sanctioned China's walkie-talkie manufacturer Hytera just when Hezbollah was searching to purchase thousands of units.

The sanctions were lifted by the US at the end of the month (April 2024), immediately after Hezbollah purchased the units from a Taiwanese-based company.