In the Kostyantynivka direction, Russian forces continued to advance north of Toretsk, and have nearly encircled the remaining Ukrainian forces in the city.

Russian forces advanced northwest along the railway line and completed the capture of the village of Dyliivka (the southern one). To the west, they captured a treeline and crossed over the reservoirs in the low-lying ground to seize a small forest.

To the west, Russian forces advanced northwest from their spearhead to the highway and stormed Ukrainian strongpoints in the farm complex next to the reservoirs. They were able to establish control over it, putting them less than 900 metres from the last supply route into Toretsk.

+ ~3.12km² in favour of Russia.

In the Kostyantynivka direction, Russian forces continued their offensive and have made significant progress in multiple directions.

Russian forces advanced in three main areas. In the east, after eliminating the Ukrainian pocket in and around Stara Mykolaivka and Hnativka, they advanced north along both banks of the Kalynivka River from the central part of the village of Zorya, completing the capture of the settlement. They also established control over the agricultural complexes and treelines to the east.

To the west, Russian forces advanced on a wide front, pushing north and west to and along treelines on the tactical heights, capturing new positions towards the village of Oleksandro Kalynove. They also made further progress in the southwestern part of the village of Yablunivka, taking up new positions towards the centre despite fierce Ukrainian resistance. At the same time, Russian forces expanded their zone of control to the south of Yablunivka, seizing new treeline positions on the tactical heights.

To the northwest, Russian forces continued their advance in the vicinity of the highway, capturing the next residential area of Yablunivka, as well as an adjacent trench strongpoint. They also began advancing up 3 parallel treelines perpendicular to the highway, seizing new positions there.

+ ~17.40km² in favour of Russia.

On the eastern flank of Pokrovsk, Russian forces continued their advance and have captured new positions east of the Kazenyi Torets River.

Russian forces advanced in two areas. In the south, they continued the process of clearing out the Ukrainian salient south of the village of Malynivka. They pushed southwest and northwest from the tactical heights, capturing two new treelines, and reaching the forest plantations in the low-lying ground. From there, they began pushing west towards the next treeline, establishing control over the rest of the forest plantations and the adjacent agricultural complex.

To the northwest, Russian forces advanced from the western part of Malynivka, and under heavy artillery and drone cover, entered the village of Myrne, and established a foothold in the eastern houses. They also marginally advanced along the highway to the south.

+ ~3.35km² in favour of Russia.

Russian forces have captured the village of Dachne, Kostyantynivka direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~70
Total land area: ~0.65km²

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village of Radkivka, Kupyansk direction, Kharkiv Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~39
Total land area: ~0.15km²

The first Russian soldiers have crossed the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast on June 8, 2025. Based off some info @Playfra0 shared, this video was likely recorded just west of Horikhove.

While this location is not certain, advances had been taking place here to within a few hundred metres of the border, so it's more than likely.

Preparations for the next Russian missile strike on Ukraine are underway.

2 Tu-95MS strategic bombers redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase in Amur Oblast to Engels-2 Airbase in Saratov Oblast. They were equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, before them and 1 other redeployed to Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, joining the other Tu-95 there which was equipped with missiles earlier.

Additionally, 6 Tu-22M3 strategic bombers redeployed from Olenya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles. It's possible that they don't make a return flight to Olenya or Shaykovka Airbases and instead remain at Engels-2 until the next missile strike.

In addition to this, there are 2 Tu-95s and 1 Tu-160 stationed at Engels-2.

So overall, we have:
4 Tu-95s at Olenya, all 4 equipped with Kh-101 missiles
6 Tu-22M3s at Engels-2, all being equipped/have been equipped with Kh-22 missiles.
2 Tu-95s at Engels-2, 1 of which may be equipped with Kh-101 missiles.
1 Tu-160 at Engels-2, not equipped with missiles.

The total number of Geran-2 drones launches today could exceed 400. This, plus recent movements of strategic bombers could suggest a missile attack will take place today. I will monitor the situation and update with any new developments.

Zelensky: "special attention should be paid to air alerts in the coming days".

2 explosions were heard in Kerch, Crimea. Cause unknown.

Patterns observed over the past 24 hours suggest that a large-scale missile strike on Ukraine is more likely to take place in the next 6 hours than I previously thought.

No radio activity on the strategic comms has been recorded yet, and if none is recorded in the next 4 hours, there probably wont be an attack. Right now I'd put the chances at around 40%, but that can change at any time.

If there is an attack, it won't be anything special. The maximum number of Tu-95s which can be used right now is 5, while as many as 6 Tu-22M3s can be used. Of course, Kalibr launches would be likely if there was an attack. as well as Iskanders, but this still wouldn't be much different than the usual ones we see.

EXCLUSIVE 🇺🇦/🇷🇺

Satellite images from today shows no signs of the bombing of a train carrying armoured vehicles and fuel by Ukrainian drones in Kherson Oblast.

The area designated only shows a bush fire

Increasing the probability of a missile strike to 70%

Activity on strategic combat frequencies has begun. A missile attack is almost certainly going to happen today.

According to new information, 5 Tu-95s (not 4) have been equipped with missiles at Olenya, in addition to 1 Tu-95 being equipped at Engels-2. The Tu-22M3s are also being equipped with missiles, although it is unclear if that is for this attack or the next one.

A masker has been activated on one of the combat frequencies. Departures of Tu-95MS strategic bombers are expected in the next hour.

One of the frequencies with activity on it is combat frequency 4389 ㎑. This channel has been used for the last 3 attacks in a row.

Activity is normal for a missile strike and remains unchanged. The masker is continuing its work. Departures from Olenya Airbase are expected in under an hour.

MiG-31K flights are expected today, with possible Kinzhal launches.

There's a good chance today will set a new record for Geran-2 drone launches. More launches are being carried out, possibly exceeding 500.

Explosion in Kharkiv. A Russian KAB glide-bomb just impacted the city.