Russian forces have captured the village of Dachne, Kostyantynivka direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~70
Total land area: ~0.65km²

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village of Radkivka, Kupyansk direction, Kharkiv Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~39
Total land area: ~0.15km²

The first Russian soldiers have crossed the border with Dnipropetrovsk Oblast on June 8, 2025. Based off some info @Playfra0 shared, this video was likely recorded just west of Horikhove.

While this location is not certain, advances had been taking place here to within a few hundred metres of the border, so it's more than likely.

Preparations for the next Russian missile strike on Ukraine are underway.

2 Tu-95MS strategic bombers redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase in Amur Oblast to Engels-2 Airbase in Saratov Oblast. They were equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, before them and 1 other redeployed to Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, joining the other Tu-95 there which was equipped with missiles earlier.

Additionally, 6 Tu-22M3 strategic bombers redeployed from Olenya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles. It's possible that they don't make a return flight to Olenya or Shaykovka Airbases and instead remain at Engels-2 until the next missile strike.

In addition to this, there are 2 Tu-95s and 1 Tu-160 stationed at Engels-2.

So overall, we have:
4 Tu-95s at Olenya, all 4 equipped with Kh-101 missiles
6 Tu-22M3s at Engels-2, all being equipped/have been equipped with Kh-22 missiles.
2 Tu-95s at Engels-2, 1 of which may be equipped with Kh-101 missiles.
1 Tu-160 at Engels-2, not equipped with missiles.

The total number of Geran-2 drones launches today could exceed 400. This, plus recent movements of strategic bombers could suggest a missile attack will take place today. I will monitor the situation and update with any new developments.

Zelensky: "special attention should be paid to air alerts in the coming days".

2 explosions were heard in Kerch, Crimea. Cause unknown.

Patterns observed over the past 24 hours suggest that a large-scale missile strike on Ukraine is more likely to take place in the next 6 hours than I previously thought.

No radio activity on the strategic comms has been recorded yet, and if none is recorded in the next 4 hours, there probably wont be an attack. Right now I'd put the chances at around 40%, but that can change at any time.

If there is an attack, it won't be anything special. The maximum number of Tu-95s which can be used right now is 5, while as many as 6 Tu-22M3s can be used. Of course, Kalibr launches would be likely if there was an attack. as well as Iskanders, but this still wouldn't be much different than the usual ones we see.

EXCLUSIVE 🇺🇦/🇷🇺

Satellite images from today shows no signs of the bombing of a train carrying armoured vehicles and fuel by Ukrainian drones in Kherson Oblast.

The area designated only shows a bush fire

Increasing the probability of a missile strike to 70%

Activity on strategic combat frequencies has begun. A missile attack is almost certainly going to happen today.

According to new information, 5 Tu-95s (not 4) have been equipped with missiles at Olenya, in addition to 1 Tu-95 being equipped at Engels-2. The Tu-22M3s are also being equipped with missiles, although it is unclear if that is for this attack or the next one.

A masker has been activated on one of the combat frequencies. Departures of Tu-95MS strategic bombers are expected in the next hour.

One of the frequencies with activity on it is combat frequency 4389 ㎑. This channel has been used for the last 3 attacks in a row.

Activity is normal for a missile strike and remains unchanged. The masker is continuing its work. Departures from Olenya Airbase are expected in under an hour.

MiG-31K flights are expected today, with possible Kinzhal launches.

There's a good chance today will set a new record for Geran-2 drone launches. More launches are being carried out, possibly exceeding 500.

Explosion in Kharkiv. A Russian KAB glide-bomb just impacted the city.

3 Kalibr carriers have been deployed to the waters of the Black Sea. Total possible salvo of up to 24 Kalibr cruise missiles.

The majority of the Geran-2 drones are flying to the western regions of Ukraine. Primarily Zhytomyr, Khmelnytskyi and Ternopil Oblasts. This will probably be where the Kalibrs fly.

There are currently ~130 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace. More are flying in.