AMK Mapping
Kh-101 group 1 continues to fly west to Sarny. Kh-101 group 2 changes course to Dubno. Southeastern course. No changes to group 3.
All missiles are now flying to Dubno as expected.
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Another Kh-101 was probably shot down, this time over northern Zhytomyr Oblast.
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These were the ones from the northeast. The ones from the east disappeared on the approaches to the city.
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It seems the other one from that pair was shot down near Slavuta, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.
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AMK Mapping
It seems the other one from that pair was shot down near Slavuta, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.
The second one was shot down too. 3 impacts, 4 shoot downs. Pretty bad ratio for Russia, but not surprising considering the course the missiles took.
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A Kh-31P impacted the vicinity of Odesa City. An explosion was heard.
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Apparently this is a cruise missile. Another one is flying in the same direction.
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AMK Mapping
Apparently this is a cruise missile. Another one is flying in the same direction.
The second one disappeared over the Black Sea. Likely a misidentification.
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AMK Mapping
Activity on strategic combat frequencies has begun. A missile attack is almost certainly going to happen today.
My estimations for today's combined Russian missile attack on Ukraine:
Overview
18 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched, 0 intercepted.
7 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched, 4 intercepted.
4 Kh-22 cruise missiles launched, 0 intercepted
3 Kh-31P anti-radar missiles launched, 0 intercepted.
1 Kh-69 cruise missile launched, 1 intercepted.
33 missiles in total, 5 interceptions.
15.2% interception rate.
As for the targets/impacts:
Ballistic missiles:
16 Iskander-Ms targeted open areas in Kyiv, Chernihiv, Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts. All impacted.
2 Iskander-Ms targeted open areas in Poltava Oblast. Both impacted.
Cruise missiles:
7 Kh-101s targeted Dubno, Rivne Oblast. 3 impacted.
3 Kinzhals targeted Demydivka, Rivne Oblast. All impacted.
4 Kh-22s targeted Zmiiny Island, Odesa Oblast. All impacted.
1 Kh-69 was shot down over Poltava Oblast. Target unknown.
Anti-radar missiles:
2 Kh-31Ps targeted Dobroslav, Odesa Oblast. Both impacted.
1 Kh-31P targeted Lymanka, Odesa Oblast. It impacted.
Breakdown by missile type:
Ballistic missiles: 0% interceptions
Iskander-Ms: 0% interceptions
Kinzhals: 0% interceptions
Cruise missiles: 41.7% interceptions
Kh-101s: 57.1% interceptions
Kh-22s: 0% interceptions
Kh-69: 100% interceptions
Anti-radar missiles: 0% interceptions
Kh-31Ps: 0% interceptions
Note: The map of missile trajectories was made live during the attacks. It is not 100% accurate. For this attack, Iskander trajectories are approximate, and the lines end where the missiles disappeared.
These statistics will be updated if further relevant information/videos surface.
Overview
18 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched, 0 intercepted.
7 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched, 4 intercepted.
4 Kh-22 cruise missiles launched, 0 intercepted
3 Kh-31P anti-radar missiles launched, 0 intercepted.
1 Kh-69 cruise missile launched, 1 intercepted.
33 missiles in total, 5 interceptions.
15.2% interception rate.
As for the targets/impacts:
Ballistic missiles:
16 Iskander-Ms targeted open areas in Kyiv, Chernihiv, Vinnytsia and Zhytomyr Oblasts. All impacted.
2 Iskander-Ms targeted open areas in Poltava Oblast. Both impacted.
Cruise missiles:
7 Kh-101s targeted Dubno, Rivne Oblast. 3 impacted.
3 Kinzhals targeted Demydivka, Rivne Oblast. All impacted.
4 Kh-22s targeted Zmiiny Island, Odesa Oblast. All impacted.
1 Kh-69 was shot down over Poltava Oblast. Target unknown.
Anti-radar missiles:
2 Kh-31Ps targeted Dobroslav, Odesa Oblast. Both impacted.
1 Kh-31P targeted Lymanka, Odesa Oblast. It impacted.
Breakdown by missile type:
Ballistic missiles: 0% interceptions
Iskander-Ms: 0% interceptions
Kinzhals: 0% interceptions
Cruise missiles: 41.7% interceptions
Kh-101s: 57.1% interceptions
Kh-22s: 0% interceptions
Kh-69: 100% interceptions
Anti-radar missiles: 0% interceptions
Kh-31Ps: 0% interceptions
Note: The map of missile trajectories was made live during the attacks. It is not 100% accurate. For this attack, Iskander trajectories are approximate, and the lines end where the missiles disappeared.
These statistics will be updated if further relevant information/videos surface.
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It seems the 3 Kh-101 cruise missiles and the Geran-2 drones impacted Dubno Airbase in Rivne Oblast. NASA FIRMS data picked up a large fire there.
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