I've added a new layer to the interactive map showing the evacuation zone imposed by Ukrainian authorities on frontline settlements.

https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=49.81803016284687%2C33.63210332439323&z=7

Currently there are 2 Russian Tu-95MS strategic bombers airborne from Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast. They are flying south to the launch lines and will arrive at the likely points to launch cruise missiles in Engels District of Saratov Oblast in roughly 1 hour 10 mins.

There is also 1 Tu-95MS airborne from Engels-2 Airbase which took off around 20 minutes ago and will link up with the 2 bombers from Olenya. It is currently circling somewhere in Saratov Oblast.

2 Tu-160s are also in the air from Borsiglebskoye Airbase in the Republic of Tatarstan, although these may be training or redeploying.

As for Geran-2 drones, there are around 75 in Ukrainian airspace, most of which seem to be flying to the western regions of Ukraine.

If the Tu-95s are still flying their usual course directly south, then they should arrive at the Engels launch lines in around 30 minutes.

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇸 Jerusalem Post: Following a deadlock over a partial deal that would have seen 10 hostages released in exchange for a 60-day ceasefire, both Washington and Jerusalem are reassessing their strategy.

Several figures in the Trump administration now believe the moment may be right to pursue a comprehensive deal with Hamas—one that would end the war in Gaza and secure the release of all Israeli hostages.

Israeli officials are reportedly weighing an ultimatum to Hamas: accept the deal or face consequences. An Israeli official however did admit that current humanitarian efforts by Israel were due to international pressure.

@wfwitness

The 2 Tu-160s from Borsiglebskoye Airbase have linked up with the Tu-95MS from Engels-2, and are now circling in northeastern Saratov Oblast, waiting for the 2 Tu-95s from Olenya.

The 2 Tu-95s from Olenya Airbase have entered northern Saratov Oblast, approaching the launch lines in Engels District. An IL-78 Tanker is airborne from Diaghilev Airbase in Ryazan Oblast, refueling the Tu-95s.

The other Tu-95 from Engels-2 Airbase is circling in southern Saratov Oblast, near the airbase, and the other 2 Tu-160s are circling elsewhere. Its unclear if these will take part in launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles.

The Tu-160s have flown out of Saratov Oblast, and are now in Volgograd Oblast flying southwest.

The 2 Tu-95s from Olenya carried out launch maneuvers from the Engels launch lines. If the launches were real and not simulated, then we should expect Kh-101 cruise missiles in Ukrainian airspace in 50-70 minutes.

The Tu-95MS from Engels-2 Airbase also carried out a launch maneuver at the same time as the other 2 bombers.

The 2 Tu-160s from Borsiglebskoye Airbase, Republic of Tatarstan may have also carried out launch maneuvers from the launch lines in Kalachyovksy District, Volgograd Oblast, at the same time as the Tu-95s.

The Kh-101 cruise missiles will likely fly to the far western regions of Ukraine. Lviv, Rivne, Lutsk, Khmelnytskyi, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil. Geran-2 drones will be attacking simultaneously to saturate Ukrainian air defence.

Airspace restrictions have been imposed over sectors in Russia’s Lipetsk and Tambov regions, suggesting a high possibility of MiG-31K combat sorties tonight

Note: This area is commonly used for launching Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles

Geran-2 drones are currently attacking Starokostyantyniv Airbase, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.

Impacts are recorded. At least 16 Gerans are flying to the city

~45 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace.

Geran-2 drones are also attacking Kropyvnytskyi City in Kirovohrad Oblast. 8 are flying in - 6 from the south, 2 from the north.