AMK Mapping
4-6 MiG-31K fighters have been equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles at Savasleika Airbase and have been carrying out active training missions over the past week, including with simulated launches.
Well, there go the 4 MiG-31Ks I reported on before.
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Forwarded from WillyOAM
Wake up... First thing I see is AMK Mapping rationing ISW regarding that war is not linear.
Today's going to be a good day
Today's going to be a good day
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WillyOAM
Wake up... First thing I see is AMK Mapping rationing ISW regarding that war is not linear. Today's going to be a good day
Professional think tank vs teenage BROSINTter.
Who wins?
Who wins?
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1 "Varshavyanka" submarine has been deployed from Novorossiysk Naval Base to the Black Sea.
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It would make sense if there were a missile attack on Ukraine tonight, excluding strategic bombers.
3-4 Tu-22m3 bombers are airborne right now, redeploying back to Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast.
Keep in mind, my probability reports are primarily based on strategic aviation movement, which is why there can be attacks excluding Kh-101 missiles even when I say they are unlikely.
I will continue to monitor.
3-4 Tu-22m3 bombers are airborne right now, redeploying back to Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast.
Keep in mind, my probability reports are primarily based on strategic aviation movement, which is why there can be attacks excluding Kh-101 missiles even when I say they are unlikely.
I will continue to monitor.
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There is activity on Russian strategic frequencies, but it is likely related to training/redeployment in western Russia.
We will see.
We will see.
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These movements are really weird. It isn't adding up right now.
It seems that the 4 Tu-95MS from Ukrainka Airbase were already equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles prior to arriving at Diaghilev Airbase this evening.
There are reports of aircraft in the air, but I cannot confirm this right now. It's possible that the Tu-95MS redeployed to Engels-2 airbase instead of Diaghilev.
Meanwhile, mass launches of Geran-2 drones have begun.
There are reports of aircraft in the air, but I cannot confirm this right now. It's possible that the Tu-95MS redeployed to Engels-2 airbase instead of Diaghilev.
Meanwhile, mass launches of Geran-2 drones have begun.
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As for the frequency activity, they are indeed related to combat operations, but its unclear which airbase command and control in Moscow is communicating with.
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Launches of Geran-2 have been reported from the following launch sites:
Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast (x2)
Hvariiske Training Ground, Crimea (x2)
Navlya Test Site, Bryansk Oblast (x2)
Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast (x2)
Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast (x2)
Primorsko-Akhtarsk Airbase, Krasnodar Krai (x1)
Tsumbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast (x2)
Hvariiske Training Ground, Crimea (x2)
Navlya Test Site, Bryansk Oblast (x2)
Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast (x2)
Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast (x2)
Primorsko-Akhtarsk Airbase, Krasnodar Krai (x1)
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Multiple Russian KAB glide-bombs struck the eastern suburbs of Kharkiv and the city of Derhachi. Power outages are reported.
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More conflicting reports on Russian strategic bomber movements and activity.
Things will become clearer later on. Any launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles wont take place for at least 7 more hours.
Things will become clearer later on. Any launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles wont take place for at least 7 more hours.
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In my opinion, the most likely thing that happened was that 2 of the 4 Tu-95MS were already equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.
These two landed at Engels-2 Airbase.
The other two landed at Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast.
The 2 Tu-95MS from Diaghilev redeployed to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with missiles, while the two from Engels-2, redeployed to Diaghilev.
This is only a possibility right now. As I said, these movements are very unusual.
All other signs suggest that a large attack will take place tonight, but nothing is confirmed at this moment.
These two landed at Engels-2 Airbase.
The other two landed at Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast.
The 2 Tu-95MS from Diaghilev redeployed to Engels-2 Airbase to be equipped with missiles, while the two from Engels-2, redeployed to Diaghilev.
This is only a possibility right now. As I said, these movements are very unusual.
All other signs suggest that a large attack will take place tonight, but nothing is confirmed at this moment.
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Explosions in Kherson. The KAB glide-bombs likely impacted the Kherson Combined Heat and Power Plant (CHP).
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