Explosion in Makariv, Kyiv Oblast.

Power surges in Dnipro
Power and water outages in Zaporizhzhia City

Power outages in Kherson too

Meanwhile on twitter

Yes, Ukraine has actually lost all of their radars and relies on foreign telegram channels to intercept missiles 😁

Here is the current missile map, which I adjusted slightly from my earlier reports due to information I have clarified.

So far, 12 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 4 Kinzhals have been used:

5 Iskanders on Zelenodolsk, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
3 Iskanders on Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast
3 Iskanders on Dnipro
1 Iskanders on Pivdenne, Odesa Oblast

3 Kinzhals on southwestern Khmelnytskyi Oblast
1 Kinzhal on Makariv, Kyiv Oblast

1 Iskander-M flying to Kyiv was shot down over the Kyiv Reservoir.

According to updated information, a total of 9 (!) Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne and are either circling near the launch lines or flying to them.

3 Tu-160s are also flying to the launch lines.

This means that a MAXIMUM of 108 Kh-101 cruise missiles can be used (the actual number of launches will be smaller).

This will likely be the largest missile attack of 2025.

Mass launches of Geran-2 drones have begun again.

This will be the main wave that attacks alongside Kh-101 cruise missiles.

Remember, there is still 1 "Varshavyanka" Submarine at sea, just outside Novorossiysk Bay. It can launch a total of 6 Kalibr cruise missiles.

Reports of an "Admiral Makarov" Frigate and a second submarine exiting Novorossiysk Naval Base are false, however they can still launch up to 14 additional Kalibrs from within the naval base.

3 Tu-160s and 5 Tu-95MS from Ukrainka and Belaya Airbases in the far east are 2-2.5 hours away from the first set of launch lines over the village of Uzmore, Saratov Oblast.

The 5 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s are about 1 hour, 40 minutes from their launch lines in Engels District, Saratov Oblast.

Remember, there are another 4 Tu-95MS circling in Saratov Oblast right now, waiting for the bombers from the far east. They are the ones which took off from Engels-2 Airbase.

Its likely that at least a significant portion of the Kh-101s will indeed target the western regions of Ukraine.

Currently, there are only ~45 Geran-2 drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.

However, a lot more will begin flying in shortly, to take part in strikes with the Kh-101 missiles.

The number of Gerans detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to ~60.

The 5 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s are expected to reach the launch lines in less than an hour.

Multiple Geran-2 drones struck the Ladyzhyn Thermal Power Plant in Vinnytsia Oblast.

The first large groups of Geran-2 drones are entering the western regions of Ukraine. This will be the primary focus for Kh-101 missiles, which will strike energy infrastructure there.

An unknown number of Tu-95MS carried out launch maneuvers in Engels District, Saratov Oblast

So far, only the 4 Tu-95MS from Engels-2 Airbase are confirmed to carried out launch maneuvers.