Vodka Echo
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Yes, Ukraine has actually lost all of their radars and relies on foreign telegram channels to intercept missiles 😁
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Here is the current missile map, which I adjusted slightly from my earlier reports due to information I have clarified.
So far, 12 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 4 Kinzhals have been used:
5 Iskanders on Zelenodolsk, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
3 Iskanders on Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast
3 Iskanders on Dnipro
1 Iskanders on Pivdenne, Odesa Oblast
3 Kinzhals on southwestern Khmelnytskyi Oblast
1 Kinzhal on Makariv, Kyiv Oblast
1 Iskander-M flying to Kyiv was shot down over the Kyiv Reservoir.
So far, 12 Iskander-M ballistic missiles and 4 Kinzhals have been used:
5 Iskanders on Zelenodolsk, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast
3 Iskanders on Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast
3 Iskanders on Dnipro
1 Iskanders on Pivdenne, Odesa Oblast
3 Kinzhals on southwestern Khmelnytskyi Oblast
1 Kinzhal on Makariv, Kyiv Oblast
1 Iskander-M flying to Kyiv was shot down over the Kyiv Reservoir.
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According to updated information, a total of 9 (!) Tu-95MS strategic bombers are airborne and are either circling near the launch lines or flying to them.
3 Tu-160s are also flying to the launch lines.
This means that a MAXIMUM of 108 Kh-101 cruise missiles can be used (the actual number of launches will be smaller).
This will likely be the largest missile attack of 2025.
3 Tu-160s are also flying to the launch lines.
This means that a MAXIMUM of 108 Kh-101 cruise missiles can be used (the actual number of launches will be smaller).
This will likely be the largest missile attack of 2025.
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Mass launches of Geran-2 drones have begun again.
This will be the main wave that attacks alongside Kh-101 cruise missiles.
This will be the main wave that attacks alongside Kh-101 cruise missiles.
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Remember, there is still 1 "Varshavyanka" Submarine at sea, just outside Novorossiysk Bay. It can launch a total of 6 Kalibr cruise missiles.
Reports of an "Admiral Makarov" Frigate and a second submarine exiting Novorossiysk Naval Base are false, however they can still launch up to 14 additional Kalibrs from within the naval base.
Reports of an "Admiral Makarov" Frigate and a second submarine exiting Novorossiysk Naval Base are false, however they can still launch up to 14 additional Kalibrs from within the naval base.
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3 Tu-160s and 5 Tu-95MS from Ukrainka and Belaya Airbases in the far east are 2-2.5 hours away from the first set of launch lines over the village of Uzmore, Saratov Oblast.
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Forgot to report this earlier:
The Geran strikes on Fastiv, Kyiv Oblast, targeted the city's railway station.
The Geran strikes on Fastiv, Kyiv Oblast, targeted the city's railway station.
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The 5 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s are about 1 hour, 40 minutes from their launch lines in Engels District, Saratov Oblast.
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AMK Mapping
The 5 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s are about 1 hour, 40 minutes from their launch lines in Engels District, Saratov Oblast.
Remember, there are another 4 Tu-95MS circling in Saratov Oblast right now, waiting for the bombers from the far east. They are the ones which took off from Engels-2 Airbase.
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Its likely that at least a significant portion of the Kh-101s will indeed target the western regions of Ukraine.
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Currently, there are only ~45 Geran-2 drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.
However, a lot more will begin flying in shortly, to take part in strikes with the Kh-101 missiles.
However, a lot more will begin flying in shortly, to take part in strikes with the Kh-101 missiles.
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AMK Mapping
Currently, there are only ~45 Geran-2 drones detected in Ukrainian airspace. However, a lot more will begin flying in shortly, to take part in strikes with the Kh-101 missiles.
The number of Gerans detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to ~60.
The 5 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s are expected to reach the launch lines in less than an hour.
The 5 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s are expected to reach the launch lines in less than an hour.
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Multiple Geran-2 drones struck the Ladyzhyn Thermal Power Plant in Vinnytsia Oblast.
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The first large groups of Geran-2 drones are entering the western regions of Ukraine. This will be the primary focus for Kh-101 missiles, which will strike energy infrastructure there.
An unknown number of Tu-95MS carried out launch maneuvers in Engels District, Saratov Oblast
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AMK Mapping
An unknown number of Tu-95MS carried out launch maneuvers in Engels District, Saratov Oblast
So far, only the 4 Tu-95MS from Engels-2 Airbase are confirmed to carried out launch maneuvers.
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One "Admiral Makarov" Frigate has been deployed to the waters of the Black Sea.
Total possible salvo: 8 Kalibr cruise missiles.
Total possible salvo: 8 Kalibr cruise missiles.
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~10 Kalibr cruise missiles were launched from 1 "Varshavyanka" Submarine and 1 "Admiral Makarov" Frigate off the coast of Cape Myskhako, Krasnodar Krai.
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The first Kh-101 cruise missiles are expected to enter Ukrainian airspace in 40-60 minutes.
Its likely that additional strategic bombers have carried out launch maneuvers.
Its likely that additional strategic bombers have carried out launch maneuvers.
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Kalibrs are expected to enter Ukrainian airspace in the next 30-40 minutes.
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