Ukraine has reportedly redeployed the 47th mechanised brigade from the rear to Sudzha. If this is true, then from there they will likely be deployed to the western flank of the Kursk salient in an attempt to slow the Russian advance.

The 47th mechanised brigade has suffered heavy losses during its defence of the stretch of territory between Avdiivka and Pokrovsk, and is well known for their failed rotation in Ocheretyne which I regard as the main reason for the Russian breakthrough towards Pokrovsk.

They have been in the rear for only a few months, although their "Strike drone company" remained in the Pokrovsk direction. This leads me to believe that the Strike drone company will remain in Pokrovsk for the time being while the parts of the brigade which still maintain combat capability will be sent to Kursk Oblast. I seriously doubt that all of the 47th will be sent there due to the high losses that they suffered.

But let's break down what the 47th mechanised brigade looks like:

The 47th mechanised brigade contains the:
- 1st Mechanized Infantry Battalion (armed with Bradleys)
- 2nd Mechanised Infantry Battalion
- 3rd Mechanised Infantry Battalion
- 47th Tank Battalion (armed with M1 Abrams)
- 25th Separate Assault Battalion
- 26th Rifle Battalion
- 1st Self-Propelled Artillery Battalion
- 2nd Artillery Battalion
Among others

Troops from the 1st and 3rd mechanised infantry battalions were surrounded near Prohres back in late July of this year, likely resulting in many soldiers being captured, and others being wounded or killed while escaping.

The 2nd mechanised infantry battalion appears to be largely intact, as there have been no reports indicating significant events with them, although they did take part in the failed 2023 counteroffensive and likely suffered heavy casualties there before being deployed to Avdiivka.

The 47th Tank battalion has seen more than half of its Abrams destroyed in battles between Avdiivka and Pokrovsk.

The 25th Separate Assault Battalion was reportedly the last battalion to withdraw from Avdiivka, even withdrawing after the 3rd assault brigade conducted their counterattack. They were likely heavily degraded as a result of FAB strikes and conducted a very chaotic withdrawal, with many of the soldiers that were captured in the city likely being from this battalion.

The 26th rifle battalion fought alongside battalions from the 110th mechanised brigade in the villages of Keramik, Novokalynove and Arkhanhelske, north of Avdiivka. The 110th brigade was significantly degraded during battles in this area, so we can assume that the 26th rifle battalion was also hit hard.

There isn't much information on the 1st Self-Propelled Artillery Battalion and the 2nd Artillery Battalion, but considering it isn't usually mentioned which battalion's artillery is hit in videos, we cannot rule out that these battalions suffered significant losses.

In conclusion: the 2nd mechanised infantry battalion is the most likely battalion to be sent to Kursk Oblast, while the 1st Mechanized Infantry Battalion may also be sent due to the usefulness of Bradleys in defensive operations as seen on the northern flank of Avdiivka during the Russian offensive operations at the beginning of the year.

Keep in mind that the information on the 47th brigade being sent to Kursk is unconfirmed and may turn out to be false. This analysis is just to give you an idea of what may have been sent if anything was sent at all.

Two Israeli soldiers were reportedly killed and two others injured by an anti-tank missile in the Yiron settlement on the border between Israel and Lebanon. Two Israeli soldiers were reportedly killed and two others injured by an anti-tank missile fired from Lebanon at the village of Yiron.

A recent report states that Russian forces have begun assault operations on Tolstyi Lug in Kursk Oblast.

Considering the reports of the capture of Liubimovka, it is possible that these attacks took place from the rear as either way the Russians would have to cross the Snagost' river. This direction makes more sense as it gets behind the Ukrainian positions.

This information has not been confirmed, however.

A new report suggests that Russian forces have advanced and entered the city of Kurakhove.

To do this, the Russians needed to clear the rest of Ostrivske, which they reportedly completed, before advancing into the dachas and the eastern-most residential area of Kurakhove along Skhidna street. They also apparently captured the local cemetary as well as a section of the railway line.

Multiple sources are reporting that Ukrainian forces conducted a counterattack in Kamyanske (Zaporizhzhia Oblast) and eliminated the Russian bridgehead on the northern bank of the inlet.

Local Palestinian forces report an unusual increase in activity between Khan Younis and Rafah, with footage showing the aftermath of an airstrike. There are also reports of violent exchanges of fire between Israeli forces and Hamas fighters.

More to come.

Israeli media report shootings in Kerem Shalom, just south of the Gaza strip.

Violent gun battles between Israeli forces and Hamas fighters are now being reported east of Rafah city.

Today's Russian Geran attack has been ongoing for over 15 hours now. 3 drones are still in the airspace of Ukraine. If anyone knows what the record length of a Russian Shahed/Geran attack is, let me know.

Israel has decided to reinforce several companies in the occupied parts of the West Bank “as part of preparations for various scenarios.”

It’s over. The attack lasted a total of 17 hours. The next one will probably start in 4-7 hours time.

At least 22 people were killed in a new Israel airstrike on Jabalia-al-Balad, Gaza. 30 others were injured. There are still people under the rubble.

The airstrike targeted 4 residential buildings, all of which were inhabited.

I knew Israel was going to struggle in Lebanon, but not to this extent…

Recent reliable reports suggest that Russian forces have likely advanced in the Glushkovsky district of Kursk Oblast and recaptured the settlements of Veseloe and Obukhovka.

The reports state that the AFU was pushed back to the international border and now only controls the Novyi Put tract.

This comes as Russian sources stated that Russian forces were bombarding Ukrainian positions and strongholds in and around Veseloe and Obukhovka. This was likely a predecessor to the main assault operations.

If these reports of Russian advances are true, then it would indicate the end of Ukraine's Glushkovo offensive. It would also free up Russian troops for the offensive on Sudzha.

A new report from Pro-Ukrainian source "Deepstate" suggests that Russian forces have made a small advance north of Novohrodivka, capturing a section of the railway line which leads to Pokrovsk, as well as a section of the railway line which leads to Myrnohrad.

This advance - if true - threatens the village of Sukhyi yar from not only the south, but also the east.

Another report by Pro-Ukrainian source "Deepstate" suggests that Russian forces made a ~500m advance northeast of Novooleksandrivka, and captured most if not all of a treeline.

Another report by Pro-Ukrainian source "Deepstate" suggests that Russian forces advanced west of Niu-York and captured new Ukrainian treeline positions.

If true, this advance was likely conducted with a main assault vector to the north, while others attacked west to capture Ukrainian positions in the grove. The treelines adjacent to the northern end of the treeline with the main attack vector are likely in the grey zone or under Russian control by now.

It appears that the Russians may be attempting to flank Nelipivka from the west, unless Nelipivka has already fallen, which is a possibility.

A recent report by a reliable Russian source states that a Ukrainian counterattack has pushed the Russians out of the last part of Selydove.

Ukrainian forces reportedly advanced from positions in the eastern streets of Selydove, recapturing the last residential area on Myru street. Building on their momentum, they were also reportedly able to recapture the mine and the concrete plant, capturing the last section of the city that was still under Russian control.

The same source also reported that Russian forces were forced to withdraw from the massive Terykon to the northeast of Selydove. While they didn't state that Ukrainian forces established positions there, it wouldn't make sense for the Russians to randomly withdraw from it considering the tactical advantage it offered in the form of surveillance over all of, and fire control over part of the city.

This leads me to believe that if the Ukrainians did recapture the easternmost part of Selydove (which has not been confirmed), then it is likely that they recaptured the Terykon too. This will significantly impede Russian offensive operations on the city, specifically the flanking maneuver from the north which is being conducted. The Ukrainians would have surveillance over the E50 highway and will be able to spot Russian assault groups long before they reach the frontline.

The Russians will likely respond by bombarding the Terykon with FABs and artillery, trying to destroy any firing positions and kill the Ukrainians on it turning it into a death zone.

Overview of the casualties reported by Gaza’s civil defence spokesperson over the 24 hours preceding 9am local time:

Northern Governorate:
11 people were killed as a result of Israeli shelling and airstrikes, including a single airstrike on an unspecified target in the Bir al-Na'ja area which killed 5 people. 4 people were also killed after Israeli artillery shells struck several residential buildings in the Al-Falouja

Gaza Governorate:
4 people were killed, all as a result of a single Israeli airstrike on a residential building near the “Islamic Complex” in the Sabra neighbourhood.

Middle Governorate:
4 people were killed, all as a result of two Israeli airstrikes on residential buildings, one of which in Deir-Al-Balah and another in the Nuseirat refugee camp.

Khan Younis Governorate:
No recorded deaths.

Rafah Governorate:
Several bodies were recovered from different areas of Rafah city.

That’s a total of at least 22 people killed in the past 24 hours.