Forwarded from 🔻Warfare Analysis NEWS
We bombarded with a barrage of mortar shells a position of soldiers and vehicles of the Zionist enemy penetrating south of the Tal Al-Sultan neighborhood, west of the city of Rafah.
#Al-Aqsa Flood
[G&T]
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(part 1)
Geolocated footage and reliable reports from both sides indicate that Russian forces have made significant progress in the Toretsk direction. Let's break it down:
Russian infantry, likely concealed by the windbreaks on either side of the railway line advanced in two directions from the Mayorske checkpoint. They were able to advance ~1.83km northwest, capturring the key Ukrainian strongpoint at the Siversky-donets canal filtering station and advanced ~3.06km west entering the outskirts of Druzhba and Pivnichne, establishing themselves in positions in the houses on Hirnytskyi Lane and Zaliznychna Street.
As a result of these advances, Russian forces were able to occupy a series of strong trench fortifications between Pivnichne and Mayorske dating back to 2015-2016.
Geolocated footage and reliable reports from both sides indicate that Russian forces have made significant progress in the Toretsk direction. Let's break it down:
Russian infantry, likely concealed by the windbreaks on either side of the railway line advanced in two directions from the Mayorske checkpoint. They were able to advance ~1.83km northwest, capturring the key Ukrainian strongpoint at the Siversky-donets canal filtering station and advanced ~3.06km west entering the outskirts of Druzhba and Pivnichne, establishing themselves in positions in the houses on Hirnytskyi Lane and Zaliznychna Street.
As a result of these advances, Russian forces were able to occupy a series of strong trench fortifications between Pivnichne and Mayorske dating back to 2015-2016.
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AMK Mapping
(part 1) Geolocated footage and reliable reports from both sides indicate that Russian forces have made significant progress in the Toretsk direction. Let's break it down: Russian infantry, likely concealed by the windbreaks on either side of the railway…
(Part 2) Additionally, reliable reports indicate that Russian forces advanced from the Mayorske concrete plant and captured the village of Shumy, before advancing to and reportedly capturing the nearby Terykons (industrial waste heaps). Here they managed to advance by ~1.85km to the eastern outskirts of Pivnichne.
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Multiple smoke plumes are rising in Kharkiv city following Russian FAB strikes.
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Overnight, Ukrainian drones struck unknown targets in Belgorod city. There are reports of combined HIMARS and artillery strike s inside the city too. We might see some more footage of this later today.
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Rockets (likely fired from Gaza) targeted the southern Israeli port town of Eilat. Israeli air defences reportedly shot all of them down.
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AMK Mapping
The Sudanese armed forces are reportedly redeploying forces to the city of Sennar following the RSF seizure of the Jebel Moya area West of the city. The fears of an imminent RSF offensive of Sennar itself have now become real.
It appears that the RSF is attempting an encirclement of Sennar against the Blue Nile rather than a head on assault on the city. Following the capture of the hills around Jebel Moya, the RSF reportedly held their positions, repelling an SAF counterattack. Sudan War Monitor adjusted their report that it was a limited raid and instead believes that this is a sustained assault on the area.
This is because Geolocated footage indicates that the RSF is bringing heavy artillery into the Jebel Moya area. Civilians are also reportedly fleeing Sennar en masse indicating a lack of confidence in the SAF defences.
It is also possible that the RSF will assault Sennar from the north as there is heavy fighting ongoing near the Sennar Sugar factory. If that stronghold falls then the countryside to the south around the Old Sennar township will likely fall, collapsing a large buffer-zone around Sennar itself.
However in my opinion, an encirclement via attacks to the southeast is the most likely choice that the RSF will make as it avoids costly frontal assaults and will force the SAF to withdraw across the Blue Nile.
There is currently only one safe road into Sennar, that being the Sinjah-Sennar highway as the Rabak-Sennar highway is under fire control of the RSF. If the RSF cuts the Sinjah-Sennar highway, it will prevent re-suppliment into Sennar and will force the SAF to either withdraw from the city, or attempt risky river crossings.
This is because Geolocated footage indicates that the RSF is bringing heavy artillery into the Jebel Moya area. Civilians are also reportedly fleeing Sennar en masse indicating a lack of confidence in the SAF defences.
It is also possible that the RSF will assault Sennar from the north as there is heavy fighting ongoing near the Sennar Sugar factory. If that stronghold falls then the countryside to the south around the Old Sennar township will likely fall, collapsing a large buffer-zone around Sennar itself.
However in my opinion, an encirclement via attacks to the southeast is the most likely choice that the RSF will make as it avoids costly frontal assaults and will force the SAF to withdraw across the Blue Nile.
There is currently only one safe road into Sennar, that being the Sinjah-Sennar highway as the Rabak-Sennar highway is under fire control of the RSF. If the RSF cuts the Sinjah-Sennar highway, it will prevent re-suppliment into Sennar and will force the SAF to either withdraw from the city, or attempt risky river crossings.
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AMK Mapping
Missiles in the direction of Belgorod.
They were HIMARS and were reportedly shot down.
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AMK Mapping
A Kinzhal Hypersonic missile was launched.
It's unknown where it was launched to, but it could be at Starokostyantyniv as there are drones targeting the city.
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