Multiple smoke plumes are rising in Kharkiv city following Russian FAB strikes.

The Sudanese armed forces are reportedly redeploying forces to the city of Sennar following the RSF seizure of the Jebel Moya area West of the city. The fears of an imminent RSF offensive of Sennar itself have now become real.

It appears that the RSF is attempting an encirclement of Sennar against the Blue Nile rather than a head on assault on the city. Following the capture of the hills around Jebel Moya, the RSF reportedly held their positions, repelling an SAF counterattack. Sudan War Monitor adjusted their report that it was a limited raid and instead believes that this is a sustained assault on the area.

This is because Geolocated footage indicates that the RSF is bringing heavy artillery into the Jebel Moya area. Civilians are also reportedly fleeing Sennar en masse indicating a lack of confidence in the SAF defences.

It is also possible that the RSF will assault Sennar from the north as there is heavy fighting ongoing near the Sennar Sugar factory. If that stronghold falls then the countryside to the south around the Old Sennar township will likely fall, collapsing a large buffer-zone around Sennar itself.

However in my opinion, an encirclement via attacks to the southeast is the most likely choice that the RSF will make as it avoids costly frontal assaults and will force the SAF to withdraw across the Blue Nile.

There is currently only one safe road into Sennar, that being the Sinjah-Sennar highway as the Rabak-Sennar highway is under fire control of the RSF. If the RSF cuts the Sinjah-Sennar highway, it will prevent re-suppliment into Sennar and will force the SAF to either withdraw from the city, or attempt risky river crossings.

Missiles in the direction of Belgorod.

Ballistic missiles were reportedly launched from Crimea. Waiting on confirmation.

Meanwhile air raid alerts were declared for a number of regions.

They were HIMARS and were reportedly shot down.

MiG-31K airborne. Air raid alerts for all regions of Ukraine.

A Kinzhal Hypersonic missile was launched.

It's unknown where it was launched to, but it could be at Starokostyantyniv as there are drones targeting the city.

Yep, I was right. Kinzhal in the direction of Starokostyantyniv.

Explosions in Kyiv Oblast. Possibly air defence.

Explosions in Khmelnytskyi oblast.

Explosion in Poltava

Ballistic missile in the direction of Odesa.

Meanwhile in Myanmar, the civil war continues to rage. The rebel "TNLA" group today launched a surprise offensive in the northern Shan state of Myanmar. They successfully captured the town of Kyaukme and have seized the hills overlooking the ruby-rich town of Mogok which is said to be one of the main targets of the offensive.

I am currently working on a control map of Myanmar which should hopefully be ready in the coming weeks.