AMK Mapping
3 Tu-95s are currently airborne. They took off from Olenya airbase in Murmansk Oblast and are flying south to Engels-2 airbase in Saratov. It doesn’t look like a combat flight, but instead for redeployment and equipping Kh-101 cruise missiles. I will monitor…
All three Tu-95s landed at Engels-2 airbase a few minutes ago.
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AMK Mapping
There are reports that HTS fighters have entered Aleppo.
Pro-Assad sources deny these claims.
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There are unconfirmed reports of HTS fighters capturing the key town and logistical hub of Saraqib, east of Idlib. Pro Assad-sources deny these claims.
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“Iran has warned Turkey not to interfere in Syria, saying its presence is illegitimate, while Russia and Iran are there with the permission of the Syrian government” - IRGC
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇸🇾/ 🇸🇾 NEW: Almost all gains from the SAA counter-offensive yesterday have now been recaptured by HTS, and they have now entered the Western suburbs of Aleppo
Heavy fighting is taking place between government forces and HTS in Hamadaniyah district, Tishreen, and Halab al-Jadidah.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Heavy fighting is taking place between government forces and HTS in Hamadaniyah district, Tishreen, and Halab al-Jadidah.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Footage from western Aleppo as HTS fighters reportedly enter the city. Civilians are evacuating their horns as the fighting nears.
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Forwarded from Clash Report
#BREAKING Assad regime forces completely withdrew from Aleppo al-Jeddah (New Aleppo) neighborhood in western Aleppo.
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Clash Report
#BREAKING Assad regime forces completely withdrew from Aleppo al-Jeddah (New Aleppo) neighborhood in western Aleppo.
Unconfirmed but big if true
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
🇸🇾 — Pro-HTS outlets claims to have captured Hamadinyeh and New Aleppo neighborhoods of Aleppo city!
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Probability of a Russian missile attack on Ukraine involving Tu-95/Tu-160 bombers:
For the next 24 hours, I estimate that there is a 15% chance of this occurring.
There has been no activity noted by Ukrainian monitor channels of preparations for Russian attacks.
Over the past 24 hours, there were three main actions by Russia that were noted
- Training of several Tu-95s and Tu-160s from Engels-2 airbase
- Redeployment of 2 Tu-95s from Olenya airbase Engels-2 airbas
- Training of 1 Tu-95 from Olenya airbase.
There are also still 3 Kalibr missile-carriers in the Black
Sea with a total possible salvo of up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles.
Disclaimer: the percentage estimate is very approximate, and based off previous patterns that I and others have observed. Do not use this as an early warning system.
For the next 24 hours, I estimate that there is a 15% chance of this occurring.
There has been no activity noted by Ukrainian monitor channels of preparations for Russian attacks.
Over the past 24 hours, there were three main actions by Russia that were noted
- Training of several Tu-95s and Tu-160s from Engels-2 airbase
- Redeployment of 2 Tu-95s from Olenya airbase Engels-2 airbas
- Training of 1 Tu-95 from Olenya airbase.
There are also still 3 Kalibr missile-carriers in the Black
Sea with a total possible salvo of up to 16 Kalibr cruise missiles.
Disclaimer: the percentage estimate is very approximate, and based off previous patterns that I and others have observed. Do not use this as an early warning system.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
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— 🇸🇾 NEW: A pro-Assad civilian has now entered the Aleppo Citadel, filming a video, saying that there is nothing out of the ordinary and 'those who entered are liars', and that there is no HTS presence there
I honestly have no clue what is going on anymore, and in any case, this is an important strategic location that should be swarming with SAA soldiers by now.
Even if we assume the 'HTS members' we saw here before were actually some sleeper cells, they should have never been able to simply enter this place and film a video.
@Middle_East_Spectator
I honestly have no clue what is going on anymore, and in any case, this is an important strategic location that should be swarming with SAA soldiers by now.
Even if we assume the 'HTS members' we saw here before were actually some sleeper cells, they should have never been able to simply enter this place and film a video.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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The rebel assault on Tadif, northeast of Aleppo has begun. It looks like they are trying to encircle the city.
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“Trump wants a ceasefire and hostage deal in Gaza before his inauguration” - Axios
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