Alpha updates. 🪓 – Telegram
Alpha updates. 🪓
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Welcome to the Alpha Updates Telegram! 🌟

Here, you'll receive the latest scoop on upcoming IDOs, airdrops, altcoins, including lowcap gems, narrative-driven coins, meme coins etc

My twitter: https://twitter.com/axel_bitblaze69
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65 days have passed since the All-time High.

After yesterday’s bounce, Bitcoin still needs 36% to break into new ATH territory again.

So the big question is, do we see a new peak soon… or is it a next-cycle story?

The market is quiet. Sentiment is mixed. Everyone’s waiting for that one spark that sets things off.

But if there’s one thing we’ve learned over the years… Bitcoin loves to surprise in both directions.
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The FOMC did exactly what the market expected, a 25 bps cut.

But the real headline is something bigger: the Fed will buy $40B in Treasury bills over the next 30 days, starting December 12. These are “reserve management purchases,” meant to keep liquidity stable and bank reserves in the “ample” zone.

Some people are calling this QE because the balance sheet will expand but this is not real QE. True QE is when the Fed pumps hundreds of billions every month.

The bigger picture is the U.S. has to refinance nearly $9T in 2026. A rollover of that size can only be managed through some combo of rate cuts, QE, or money printing.

During COVID, rates were near 0%. Today they’re still above 3.5%. If the Fed doesn’t bring rates lower and later start QE, U.S. interest costs could cross $1 trillion per year by FY2026, bigger than the entire defense budget.

That’s why, in my opinion, QE will definitely start sometime between Q1–Q2 2026, and before that window, we’ll likely see more rate cuts before real QE kicks in.
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The top is not a fixed place It is just a station that more than one player passes through over time

Today, Lighter has inched past Hyperliquid. But the real story isn’t the number…

It’s how quickly liquidity follows the trader when they find a better experience.
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Breaking above $95K won’t be easy.
Orderbook is showing a massive sell wall from $93.5K to $96.5K, nearly $100M sell liquidity stacked in that zone.

This is the kind of block where market makers and large holders slow price momentum unless a real spot-driven bid steps in.
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Binance has now recorded three consecutive weeks of stablecoin net outflows, a sign that short-term buying power is weakening as institutional liquidity continues to exit the exchange.
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There are no major sell orders until 92,500, the price may attempt to move back toward this level soon.
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Despite the price action, the total amount of Bitcoin held by public and private companies has continued to grow, rising from 197,000 BTC to 1.08 million BTC, an increase of around 450% since January 2023.
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The IFP indicator is in red territory, means liquidity flow between exchanges is slowing down.

When IFP is healthy, liquidity is strong & order books are thick, helps price reacts smoothly.
But when IFP drops, even small trades can move price sharply.

At the same time, exchange balances are already at historic lows. Low supply may support price short term, but it also means thin order books. Once price starts moving, slippage increases fast and volatility spikes.

Low IFP + low exchange balances making Bitcoin vulnerable to sudden volatility risks.
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Yesterday, BitMine acquired 102,259 ETH.

Yesterday, Strategy added 10,645 BTC.

Today, Bitcoin drops to $86K.

GM
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🚨 $HYPE Supply Update

Hyper Foundation has proposed a validator vote to officially recognize the Assistance Fund $HYPE as burned 🔥

The address holds 37 million HYPE. If approved, these tokens will be treated as burned, reducing circulating supply by ~11%.

The final decision will be made through stake-weighted consensus, with voting concluding on Dec 24.
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Ethereum whales currently have almost no unrealized profit, meaning their average buying price is very close to the current ETH price.

Even after the recent price drop, they haven’t been selling instead, they have continued accumulating more ETH.

This behavior suggests they don’t see the cycle as over; if they did, they would be taking profits, not buying more. From the whales’ point of view, the current price range looks like a good accumulation zone, close to local lows
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Long-term Bitcoin holders have sold close to 1 million BTC in the last 30 days, which is the highest level ever. In past cycles, this kind of selling usually shows up when the market is already deep into a bull run, and early buyers start booking profits instead of adding more risk.

At the same time, Bitcoin sharks have bought 269,822 BTC during the same period, the biggest accumulation seen in 13 years. This tells us that while older holders are taking money off the table, new large players are stepping in confidently and buying at these price levels.

When both things happen together, it usually means the market is changing hands, not breaking down. Bitcoin appears to be in a late-bull transition phase, where volatility picks up, leadership rotates from early holders to new strong hands, and price action becomes slower and more selective. This kind of phase usually comes with sharp moves in both directions, but it doesn’t mean the market has topped or a straight-line crash.
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U.S. Core CPI slowed to 2.6% in November, the lowest since March 2021. 🔥

Low inflation and high unemployment mean more rate cuts are coming...
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GM all ☀️

BoJ hike is finally done. now feels good to get that out of the way finally..

They went with 25 bps.

many were already expecting more, so this didn’t really surprise anyone. And the reaction kind of shows that.

Japan stocks were up, yen didn’t do much, and crypto is holding up fine.

no meltdown. which almost everyone expected

as i have been sharing with you since last few days, majority of the fear of rate hike is priced in already. this played out well

even crypto is holding up well $BTC up around 1.5%, $ETH around 3%.

lets see how price behaves without this constant BoJ fear and uncertainty in the background.
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