The IFP indicator is in red territory, means liquidity flow between exchanges is slowing down.
When IFP is healthy, liquidity is strong & order books are thick, helps price reacts smoothly.
But when IFP drops, even small trades can move price sharply.
At the same time, exchange balances are already at historic lows. Low supply may support price short term, but it also means thin order books. Once price starts moving, slippage increases fast and volatility spikes.
Low IFP + low exchange balances making Bitcoin vulnerable to sudden volatility risks.
When IFP is healthy, liquidity is strong & order books are thick, helps price reacts smoothly.
But when IFP drops, even small trades can move price sharply.
At the same time, exchange balances are already at historic lows. Low supply may support price short term, but it also means thin order books. Once price starts moving, slippage increases fast and volatility spikes.
Low IFP + low exchange balances making Bitcoin vulnerable to sudden volatility risks.
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Yesterday, BitMine acquired 102,259 ETH.
Yesterday, Strategy added 10,645 BTC.
Today, Bitcoin drops to $86K.
GM
Yesterday, Strategy added 10,645 BTC.
Today, Bitcoin drops to $86K.
GM
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🚨 $HYPE Supply Update
Hyper Foundation has proposed a validator vote to officially recognize the Assistance Fund $HYPE as burned 🔥
The address holds 37 million HYPE. If approved, these tokens will be treated as burned, reducing circulating supply by ~11%.
The final decision will be made through stake-weighted consensus, with voting concluding on Dec 24.
Hyper Foundation has proposed a validator vote to officially recognize the Assistance Fund $HYPE as burned 🔥
The address holds 37 million HYPE. If approved, these tokens will be treated as burned, reducing circulating supply by ~11%.
The final decision will be made through stake-weighted consensus, with voting concluding on Dec 24.
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Ethereum whales currently have almost no unrealized profit, meaning their average buying price is very close to the current ETH price.
Even after the recent price drop, they haven’t been selling instead, they have continued accumulating more ETH.
This behavior suggests they don’t see the cycle as over; if they did, they would be taking profits, not buying more. From the whales’ point of view, the current price range looks like a good accumulation zone, close to local lows
Even after the recent price drop, they haven’t been selling instead, they have continued accumulating more ETH.
This behavior suggests they don’t see the cycle as over; if they did, they would be taking profits, not buying more. From the whales’ point of view, the current price range looks like a good accumulation zone, close to local lows
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Long-term Bitcoin holders have sold close to 1 million BTC in the last 30 days, which is the highest level ever. In past cycles, this kind of selling usually shows up when the market is already deep into a bull run, and early buyers start booking profits instead of adding more risk.
At the same time, Bitcoin sharks have bought 269,822 BTC during the same period, the biggest accumulation seen in 13 years. This tells us that while older holders are taking money off the table, new large players are stepping in confidently and buying at these price levels.
When both things happen together, it usually means the market is changing hands, not breaking down. Bitcoin appears to be in a late-bull transition phase, where volatility picks up, leadership rotates from early holders to new strong hands, and price action becomes slower and more selective. This kind of phase usually comes with sharp moves in both directions, but it doesn’t mean the market has topped or a straight-line crash.
At the same time, Bitcoin sharks have bought 269,822 BTC during the same period, the biggest accumulation seen in 13 years. This tells us that while older holders are taking money off the table, new large players are stepping in confidently and buying at these price levels.
When both things happen together, it usually means the market is changing hands, not breaking down. Bitcoin appears to be in a late-bull transition phase, where volatility picks up, leadership rotates from early holders to new strong hands, and price action becomes slower and more selective. This kind of phase usually comes with sharp moves in both directions, but it doesn’t mean the market has topped or a straight-line crash.
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U.S. Core CPI slowed to 2.6% in November, the lowest since March 2021. 🔥
Low inflation and high unemployment mean more rate cuts are coming...
Low inflation and high unemployment mean more rate cuts are coming...
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GM all ☀️
BoJ hike is finally done. now feels good to get that out of the way finally..
They went with 25 bps.
many were already expecting more, so this didn’t really surprise anyone. And the reaction kind of shows that.
Japan stocks were up, yen didn’t do much, and crypto is holding up fine.
no meltdown. which almost everyone expected
as i have been sharing with you since last few days, majority of the fear of rate hike is priced in already. this played out well
even crypto is holding up well $BTC up around 1.5%, $ETH around 3%.
lets see how price behaves without this constant BoJ fear and uncertainty in the background.
BoJ hike is finally done. now feels good to get that out of the way finally..
They went with 25 bps.
many were already expecting more, so this didn’t really surprise anyone. And the reaction kind of shows that.
Japan stocks were up, yen didn’t do much, and crypto is holding up fine.
no meltdown. which almost everyone expected
as i have been sharing with you since last few days, majority of the fear of rate hike is priced in already. this played out well
even crypto is holding up well $BTC up around 1.5%, $ETH around 3%.
lets see how price behaves without this constant BoJ fear and uncertainty in the background.
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Bearish Sentiment Spiking Across Social Media (X, Reddit, and Telegram.)
This is historically a good sign, because Crypto prices move opposite to the crowd's expectations.
We saw the same pattern between Nov 15-21, people were expecting lower prices but the market reversed and price moved from $85K to $92K.
Right now, social volume and sentiment are showing a very similar structure again. Worth paying attention.
This is historically a good sign, because Crypto prices move opposite to the crowd's expectations.
We saw the same pattern between Nov 15-21, people were expecting lower prices but the market reversed and price moved from $85K to $92K.
Right now, social volume and sentiment are showing a very similar structure again. Worth paying attention.
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We are heading into the December 26, 2025 options expiry, with nearly $35.6B worth of contracts on the line.
Until expiry, market makers will likely try to pin price around the Max Pain zone at $88k-$90k, where the maximum number of options expire worthless.
This scenario changes only if forced buying kicks in. Shift to a real trend would require a closing above $96k.
Until expiry, market makers will likely try to pin price around the Max Pain zone at $88k-$90k, where the maximum number of options expire worthless.
This scenario changes only if forced buying kicks in. Shift to a real trend would require a closing above $96k.
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A class-action lawsuit has been filed directly against Pump. fun and this one isn’t minor noise.
The core accusation is insider advantage by design. Early buyers had built-in priority faster execution, cheaper entries, and near-guaranteed exits while retail traders repeatedly ended up as exit liquidity.
What really raises the stakes is the Solana angle.
The lawsuit argues Solana’s infrastructure itself enabled unfair transaction ordering. Validator setup and transaction-priority mechanics are directly cited, pushing legal risk straight onto the chain layer.
The case is being framed as a $5.5B lawsuit, based on alleged total investor losses. The final liability, will ultimately be decided by the court.
The core accusation is insider advantage by design. Early buyers had built-in priority faster execution, cheaper entries, and near-guaranteed exits while retail traders repeatedly ended up as exit liquidity.
What really raises the stakes is the Solana angle.
The lawsuit argues Solana’s infrastructure itself enabled unfair transaction ordering. Validator setup and transaction-priority mechanics are directly cited, pushing legal risk straight onto the chain layer.
The case is being framed as a $5.5B lawsuit, based on alleged total investor losses. The final liability, will ultimately be decided by the court.
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On 7 Oct, Open Interest topped near $240B. Since then it has been cut exactly in half to $120B the same level we saw back in April.
OI and price have always walked together..
When OI expands, leverage builds and price trends, When it collapses, excess leverage gets flushed and the market resets.
A large portion of open interest has already been flushed and the long short ratio has cooled down. From here, open interest should start rebuilding, typically allows room for a rebound.
OI and price have always walked together..
When OI expands, leverage builds and price trends, When it collapses, excess leverage gets flushed and the market resets.
A large portion of open interest has already been flushed and the long short ratio has cooled down. From here, open interest should start rebuilding, typically allows room for a rebound.
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2025 has been one of the weakest years for crypto liquidity in the last 5 years, especially for altcoins.
Liquidity is selective and mostly sitting in Bitcoin. Altcoin volumes are thin and speculation has clearly cooled off.
The transition phase driven by tight monetary conditions and missing retail flow.
Historically, phases like this don’t last forever. They usually lead to repricing or a liquidity expansion, not a collapse.
Liquidity is selective and mostly sitting in Bitcoin. Altcoin volumes are thin and speculation has clearly cooled off.
The transition phase driven by tight monetary conditions and missing retail flow.
Historically, phases like this don’t last forever. They usually lead to repricing or a liquidity expansion, not a collapse.
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