Forwarded from 21st Capital (Snz)
UPDATE: Volatility-Adjusted Power Law Index
- The chart got a new look & rescaled to 0-100.
- VPLI is at 42 right now, indicating the market is cool, and Bitcoin is undervalued.
- The Power Law fair value at $73K, significantly higher than the current price of $61K.
- The chart got a new look & rescaled to 0-100.
- VPLI is at 42 right now, indicating the market is cool, and Bitcoin is undervalued.
- The Power Law fair value at $73K, significantly higher than the current price of $61K.
👍1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Snz)
1008 institutions have already reported holding Bitcoin ETFs in Q2 in their 13F disclosures.
This compares to 874 institutions in Q1, or a 15% increase.
This is despite the market trading downward in Q2.
This compares to 874 institutions in Q1, or a 15% increase.
This is despite the market trading downward in Q2.
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
What Is the Power Law Index - Part 1
https://21stcapital.com/power-law-series-part-1-what-is-the-power-law-model-of-bitcoins-price/
https://21stcapital.com/power-law-series-part-1-what-is-the-power-law-model-of-bitcoins-price/
21st Capital
Power Law Series (Part 1): What is the Power Law model of Bitcoin's Price? - 21st Capital
Unlocking the Mystery of the Power Law: What It Means for Bitcoin Ever heard of the “Power Law” but found it tricky to grasp? Let’s break it down. In this post, we’ll explore what the Power Law is, why it shows up in everything from nature to economics, and…
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This is our Nostr pubkey!
We're now available on Nostr!
Show us some love! 🧡💜
We're now available on Nostr!
Show us some love! 🧡💜
npub1zxsucpq7g3a9m4dzlgqc69rwc7pra5nz0hsgrnya5wg46nuatj5qus2knw
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
YouTube
How Price Controls Can Push the U.S. Towards a Venezuelan Crisis
Price Controls – One of the most dangerous economic ideas is back in fashion to bring us shortages, starvation, long lines, and black markets.
Kamala Harris has promised to pass a federal ban on price gouging.
In this video, I’ll explain how such policies…
Kamala Harris has promised to pass a federal ban on price gouging.
In this video, I’ll explain how such policies…
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Snz)
Is Mr. 100 for real?
https://x.com/sina_21st/status/1825962704319950872?s=46&t=6I9aEqV-RwcladB-FBo9kg
https://x.com/sina_21st/status/1825962704319950872?s=46&t=6I9aEqV-RwcladB-FBo9kg
X (formerly Twitter)
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital (@Sina_21st) on X
This whole Mr. 100 thing is going too far.
JFC, this is an Upbit exchange address, buying on behalf of clients, not a diamond hand whale.
They execute the sells on other addresses so you only see buys here.
Their clients dumped 2 weeks ago and now reaccumulating.
JFC, this is an Upbit exchange address, buying on behalf of clients, not a diamond hand whale.
They execute the sells on other addresses so you only see buys here.
Their clients dumped 2 weeks ago and now reaccumulating.
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
Bitcoin Futures Traders Go Short Again: Will They Get It Right This Time?
https://youtu.be/Q0REnvWLxTE
https://youtu.be/Q0REnvWLxTE
YouTube
Bitcoin Futures Traders Go Short Again: Will They Get It Right This Time?
Bitcoin futures traders have just flipped short for the first time since September 2023. But is this a sign of a Bitcoin crash, or have they simply made another wrong call?
In this video, we dive deep into Bitcoin futures traders' historical performance.…
In this video, we dive deep into Bitcoin futures traders' historical performance.…
❤2
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
The Fed is Finally Cutting the Interest Rate. Is it Bullish for Asset Prices?
In today's video, I'll discuss the Jackson Hole meeting, Fed rate cuts, inflation data, labor market, recession risks, and what the market might do next.
Everything you need to about the Fed actions in 16 minutes.
Check it out!
@TwentyFirstCapital
https://youtu.be/gCeZdgYbt8g
In today's video, I'll discuss the Jackson Hole meeting, Fed rate cuts, inflation data, labor market, recession risks, and what the market might do next.
Everything you need to about the Fed actions in 16 minutes.
Check it out!
@TwentyFirstCapital
https://youtu.be/gCeZdgYbt8g
YouTube
The Fed is Finally Cutting the Interest Rate. Is it Bullish for Asset Prices?
In this video, I'll break down the latest developments from the Jackson Hole meeting, including the Fed's shift to rate cuts, the impact on inflation, the labor market, and the risks of a recession.
Don't miss out—watch now!
----------------------------…
Don't miss out—watch now!
----------------------------…
❤1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Snz)
X (formerly Twitter)
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital (@Sina_21st) on X
Saylor Went From All Models Destroyed to All Models Welcome!
On August 30th, Michael Saylor unveiled a suite of Bitcoin models forecasting its price over the coming decades under bear, base, and bull scenarios.
@Giovann35084111 and I dive into these models…
On August 30th, Michael Saylor unveiled a suite of Bitcoin models forecasting its price over the coming decades under bear, base, and bull scenarios.
@Giovann35084111 and I dive into these models…
👍2
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
On August 30th, Michael Saylor unveiled a suite of Bitcoin models forecasting its price over the coming decades under bear, base, and bull scenarios.
Giovanni Santostasi and Sina dive into these models, exploring their assumptions and price predictions.
Giovanni is the creator of the Bitcoin Power Law theory, which is a powerful tool for modeling and predicting Bitcoin price.
https://youtu.be/v6QObGxqMCM
@TwentyFirstCapital
Giovanni Santostasi and Sina dive into these models, exploring their assumptions and price predictions.
Giovanni is the creator of the Bitcoin Power Law theory, which is a powerful tool for modeling and predicting Bitcoin price.
https://youtu.be/v6QObGxqMCM
@TwentyFirstCapital
YouTube
Michael Saylor's New Bitcoin Models: Are All Models Destroyed? #bitcoin #saylor
On August 30th, Michael Saylor unveiled a suite of Bitcoin models forecasting its price over the coming decades under bear, base, and bull scenarios.
Giovanni Santostasi and Sina dive into these models, exploring their assumptions and price predictions.…
Giovanni Santostasi and Sina dive into these models, exploring their assumptions and price predictions.…
👍2
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Snz)
Bitcoin Price follows an interest pattern
What really matters for Bitcoin's price appreciation is its age, not pure calendar time!
The rate of return is proportional to age.
Here I show that Bitcoin goes 15x higher with every 85% increase in age.
After all, Bitcoin's growth is not that volatile.
https://x.com/sina_21st/status/1831492454748713342
What really matters for Bitcoin's price appreciation is its age, not pure calendar time!
The rate of return is proportional to age.
Here I show that Bitcoin goes 15x higher with every 85% increase in age.
After all, Bitcoin's growth is not that volatile.
https://x.com/sina_21st/status/1831492454748713342
👍2❤1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
🚨 New Video Alert! 🚨
I had a fascinating chat with Dr. Stephen Perrenod, a Harvard & MIT alumnus, about Saylor's Bitcoin models. Stephen, with his background in astrophysics and high-performance computing, offers an in-depth critique and analysis.
🎥 Watch the full interview now!
🔗 https://youtu.be/_xKA6qPWwME
I had a fascinating chat with Dr. Stephen Perrenod, a Harvard & MIT alumnus, about Saylor's Bitcoin models. Stephen, with his background in astrophysics and high-performance computing, offers an in-depth critique and analysis.
🎥 Watch the full interview now!
🔗 https://youtu.be/_xKA6qPWwME
YouTube
Michael Saylor's Bitcoin24: A Deep Dive with Dr. Stephen Perrenod #bitcoin #saylor #bitcoin24
Dr. Perrenod offers a detailed critique of Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin models (Bitcoin24), diving into the key insights and potential limitations.
Dr. Stephen Perrenod is a Harvard and MIT alumnus with a rich background in astrophysics and high-performance…
Dr. Stephen Perrenod is a Harvard and MIT alumnus with a rich background in astrophysics and high-performance…
👍1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Snz)
Bitcoin Scale-Invariance
Bitcoin grows 6x with every 40% growth in its age.
It is now 15 years old. The next 40% growth will be in 2030 (21 years old) and $360K.
Age is what matters, not calendar year!
Bitcoin grows 6x with every 40% growth in its age.
It is now 15 years old. The next 40% growth will be in 2030 (21 years old) and $360K.
Age is what matters, not calendar year!
❤3
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Stephen Perrenohd Shares His Journey from Money Transfers to Maximalism
👍1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
👍1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
What If A Nation State Embraces Bitcoin - Bitcoin Game Theory with Stack Hodler
Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/12XHWGp2xGU?si=QZdFqKlknpK3F7DK
@TwentyFirstCapital
Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/12XHWGp2xGU?si=QZdFqKlknpK3F7DK
@TwentyFirstCapital
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
Optimal Bitcoin Allocation: Maximizing Returns with Controlled Risk
How much of your portfolio should you allocate to Bitcoin to maximize your returns without taking on too much risk?
Using the Kelly criterion, Stephen Perrenod, Ph.D., calculates the optimal Bitcoin allocation to be at least 75%.
The Kelly formula helps you determine the optimal size of an investment, balancing the potential for growth with the risk of losing your capital.
By calculating the proportion of your portfolio to invest based on the probability of success and expected returns, the Kelly Criterion allows you to maximize long-term growth while avoiding the trap of overexposure to a single source of risk.
https://youtu.be/Q8lMkyWidDw?si=oJp5jYOGjKvgpgQB
@TwentyFirstCapital
How much of your portfolio should you allocate to Bitcoin to maximize your returns without taking on too much risk?
Using the Kelly criterion, Stephen Perrenod, Ph.D., calculates the optimal Bitcoin allocation to be at least 75%.
The Kelly formula helps you determine the optimal size of an investment, balancing the potential for growth with the risk of losing your capital.
By calculating the proportion of your portfolio to invest based on the probability of success and expected returns, the Kelly Criterion allows you to maximize long-term growth while avoiding the trap of overexposure to a single source of risk.
https://youtu.be/Q8lMkyWidDw?si=oJp5jYOGjKvgpgQB
@TwentyFirstCapital
YouTube
Optimal Bitcoin Allocation: Maximizing Returns with Controlled Risk #bitcoin #investing
How much of your portfolio should you allocate to Bitcoin to maximize your returns without taking on too much risk?
Using the Kelly criterion, Stephen Perrenod, Ph.D., calculates the optimal Bitcoin allocation to be at least 75%.
The Kelly formula helps…
Using the Kelly criterion, Stephen Perrenod, Ph.D., calculates the optimal Bitcoin allocation to be at least 75%.
The Kelly formula helps…
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
👍3
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
From 1K to 80K followers in 9 months - how did Fred Krueger achieve such rapid growth in the Bitcoin community?
Tune in to uncover his social media secrets and the strategies behind his success!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuTtPZGg0Zs
@TwentyFirstCapital
Tune in to uncover his social media secrets and the strategies behind his success!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MuTtPZGg0Zs
@TwentyFirstCapital
YouTube
Building Influence in the Bitcoin Space - Krueger Series 01 #bitcoin #socialmediamarketing
From 1K to 80K followers in 9 months - how did Fred Krueger achieve such rapid growth in the Bitcoin community?
Tune in to uncover his social media secrets and the strategies behind his success!
----------------------------------------------------------…
Tune in to uncover his social media secrets and the strategies behind his success!
----------------------------------------------------------…
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
👍1
Forwarded from 21st Capital (Mo Tahmasbi)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM