Many asked me for early voting insights. The truth is, it’s far more interesting to share when it goes in your favor. Which is why I was pretty quiet this year.

I post this to not to discourage, but to go on record for what I honestly thought the data pointed towards. @SeanTrende

This time last year, Charlie made me calculate the margin on several key states the minimal amount of votes his team needed to turn out on E-Day to guarantee a win. PA and AZ particularly.

That was so much pressure. He was all about getting out the vote early, but if not, then figuring out what was needed on e-Day to win anyway.

To put in perspective how huge that is - I worked for a viral, up-and-coming social media company in its heyday.

Snapchat, Inc. Pulled in barely a billion dollars in revenue at the time, and yet had enormous influence.

We are so used to the government making a billion dollars look small when in reality just one billion dollars is enough to be a major corporation

As an example, look at Indivisible job postings (for context, Indivisible organized NoKings). Their postings speak an entirely different vocabulary of expertise which is foreign to anyone who's working in the private sector.

The problem with Republican donors playing catch-up is that it's also structural.

If you gave me a hundred million dollars, I would have no idea how to spend it to mobilize voters.

But Open Society would know how to squeeze every last penny for maximum inpact.

https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/1985910044622561370?t=F9jNJtyQ-EQTVuuT4552yg&s=19
I think most of people on "both sides" have a caricature of the other side. As in, the pro-Israel people think that the other sides hates Jews at all costs, whereas the less-pro-Israel people thinks the other side worships Israel at all costs.

Maybe, just maybe, the reality is - most of "both sides" are actually America first and have a caricature impression of the other side.

My husband and I would not have been Saved if not for James Lindsay. Period. Full stop. And that's why I can't join in the bash-fest.

Pray for him, love him, know he will be a mighty warrior when he does believe.

https://x.com/DataRepublican/status/1985908878530527674?t=c1i-hC7IGmruF5NGr5lOsA&s=19
No.
Iran bombing proved that micro-targeted strikes could bring peace without war.
Gaza -- frankly, that President Trump made a deal, proved that Hamas could have stopped all that destruction simply by accepting a few easy terms. And even then, didn't we find out afterwards that there were huge food inventories, just not distributed by Hamas?

Hamas leaders are not human beings. Hamas leaders do not value life. If you did not blame us for entering war against Taliban in 2001, you cannot blame Israel for entering war against Hamas. By all accounts, Israel handled Gaza in a way more moral manner than we did Afghanistan.

Hello Alex,

Your father spent the 1980s fighting Communism, or at least pretending to. You've chosen to praise what he claimed to oppose.

That’s your life's accomplishment: collapsing so far you make George Soros look consistent.

You and your father destroyed America until it was ready for foreign subversives like Mamdani to rise. You don’t believe he’ll fix New York. You just want to see it fall.

The difference between you and your father is that he had a mind worth wasting.

As far as I know, I was one of the few who expected a clean D sweep, and hopefully that gives me at least a little credibility in talking about why it happened. This is a structural problem and one that’s only going to intensify as the Buffett heirs begin spending their father’s fortune. That'll be worth a couple billion dollars pumped into the civic engagement network annually.

That said, listen closely to what @honestpollster is saying. The same structural issues also drive outrage and add to a feeling of "everything's rigged." A lot of people, especially younger ones, feel like the system is stacked against them. And honestly, they're not wrong.

I think the Israel stuff is mostly a way of externalizing that blame.

Easy.

The 2003 SARS outbreak exposed how outdated WHO's disease rules were, since the old International Health Regulations only covered a few named diseases. In response, the World Health Assembly launched a revision process.

By 2004, avian flu drove CDC and global experts to draft the Manhattan Principles, which coined "One Health," a plan to unite human, animal, and environmental health to stop zoonotic outbreaks before they start.

In 2005, WHO member states unanimously adopted the updated International Health Regulations (IHR 2005), legally binding all countries to detect, report, and respond to any event that might become a global health emergency.

That framework began taking shape in practice with USAID's PREDICT program (2009), which hunted new zoonotic viruses worldwide and trained scientists in the One Health approach. One of its partners was EcoHealth Alliance, which later collaborated with the Wuhan Institute of Virology to study bat coronaviruses under a 2014 NIH grant.

Meanwhile, WHO, FAO, and OIE formalized their Tripartite Concept Note in 2010, turning One Health into an institutional partnership. This tripartite later became a key partner in the Global Health Security Agenda (GHSA), launched in 2014 by the U.S. and allies to accelerate IHR 2005 compliance.

EcoHealth Alliance and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security both participated in GHSA networks. Hopkins would go on to stage the infamous Clade X (2018) and Event 201 (2019) pandemic simulations which happened just months before the COVID-19 outbreak.

At the same time, the Sendai Framework (2015) wove biological threats into global disaster planning and introduced the "Build Back Better" language for post-crisis recovery, further cementing IHR 2005 principles in international policy.

So by the mid-2010s, the global outbreak response framework and the virus discovery networks had fused into one system.

In other words: the same institutions doing the gain-of-function COVID-19 research were also heavily involved in creating the response playbook and doing the scenario games. It was all happening in parallel. We likely would not have had COVID-19 in the first place if we had never adopted the IHR 2005 regulations in the first place.

The pandemic created its response, but the response also created the pandemic. That's the cover-up.

Now go end the filibuster.