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Open Source Intelligence Monitor focused on Europe and Conflicts across the World. RT ≠ Endorsement. Want to Support my Work? https://ko-fi.com/osintdefender
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Iran has now been under a total nationwide internet blackout for over two week, 350 hours without cell service, data, web access, or nearly any other communication to the outside world, besides occasional messages and videos sent via Starlink.
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Horrific footage captured by a security camera in the Iranian capital of Tehran, which shows members of the Basij Force, a paramilitary volunteer militia within the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), along with other plainclothes operatives, brutally attacking a woman with knives and batons during the recent crackdown on anti-regime protests in Iran.
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New footage published by the French Navy from yesterday’s interception, boarding, and seizure of the stateless sanctioned crude oil tanker, M/T GRINCH - part of Russia’s Shadow Fleet - in the Western Mediterranean near the Strait of Gibraltar between Spain and Morocco.
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New construction maps have been released of the reclamation work underway at the previous site of North Field on Tinian Island in the Northern Mariana Islands, roughly 100 miles to the northeast of Guam in the Northern Pacific. Under the current construction plan, Tinian Air Base will become one of the largest modern airfields for the U.S. Air Force and Navy, featuring over 250 spots for aircraft; bombers, fighters, and other support aircraft, with the base set to become a major launching point in a future conflict with China.
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Former Canadian Olympic snowboarder and the largest cocaine distributor in Canada, Ryan Wedding, on the list of FBI’s Ten Most Wanted Fugitives for allegedly running a criminal enterprise stretching across the United States, Canada, Mexico and Colombia, was captured overnight Thursday in a joint operation by the FBI and Mexican Government in Mexico. According to FBI Director Kash Patel, Wedding is on the way to the United States to face charges of running a continuing criminal enterprise, committing murder in connection with a continuing criminal enterprise and assorted drug crimes, after being indicted by a Federal Court in California.
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Air France, British Airways, Lufthansa, KLM, and several other international airlines have begun to cancel flights tonight and over the weekend to and from Israel, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates, citing the “security situation” in the Middle East.
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The Dutch flagship airline KLM has announced that it will be suspending all flights to and from the Middle East until further notice, citing the “geopolitical situation” in the region and following discussions with officials in The Hague. KLM has directed international flights to avoid the airspace over Iraq, Iran, Israel, and several Gulf Nations, while all flights have been canceled to Tel Aviv, Dubai, Dammam, and Riyadh.
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According to Jennifer Griffin with Fox News, the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) and her Carrier Strike Group have not yet arrived in the U.S. Central Command Area-of-Responsibility in the Indian Ocean, and are still several days if not a week away from from arriving in the Gulf of Oman, within safe striking distance of Iran.
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Iranian Airspace is not currently closed despite claims being made by several accounts on X.
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U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) has announced that, at the direction of Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, military forces under Joint Task Force-Southern Spear (JTF-SS) carried out a strike earlier today, January 23, against an apparent narco-trafficking vessel in the Eastern Pacific operated by a Designated Terrorist Organization (DTO). According to SOUTHCOM, intelligence indicated that the vessel was transiting along a known narco-trafficking route and participating in cartel operations, with two male narco-terrorists killed in the strike, while a third survived and is currently being searched for by the U.S. Coast Guard.
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U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer has responded to this week’s “appalling” statement by President Donald J. Trump during the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, in which he stated that NATO Forces had stayed “a little off the front lines” in Afghanistan. “We’ve never needed them. We have never really asked anything of them,” Trump said regarding NATO, despite the United States being the only member of the alliance to ever invoke Article 5 after the attacks on 9/11.

In his response to the statement by President Trump, Starmer stated today during an interview: “Let me start by paying tribute to the 457 of our armed services who lost their lives in Afghanistan. I will never forget their courage, their bravery and the sacrifice that they made for their country. There are many also who were injured, some with life-changing injuries. And so I consider President Trump's remarks to be insulting and frankly appalling. And I'm not surprised they've caused such hurt to the loved ones of those who were killed or injured and in fact across the country… If I had misspoken in that way or said those words, I would certainly apologize.”
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The U.S. Department of Defense has published its 2026 National Defense Strategy, featuring four key lines of effort under the Department’s Strategic Approach:

1. Defend the U.S. Homeland
2. Deter China in the Indo-Pacific Through Strength, Not Confrontation
3. Increase Burden-Sharing with U.S. Allies and Partners
4. Supercharge the U.S. Defense Industrial Base
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Under the U.S. Department of Defense’s 2026 National Defense Strategy, Russia “will remain a persistent but manageable threat to NATO’s eastern members for the foreseeable future… The Department will ensure that U.S. forces are prepared to defend against Russian threats to the U.S. Homeland. The Department will also continue to play a vital role in NATO itself, even as we calibrate U.S. force posture and activities in the European theater to better account for the Russian threat to American interests as well as our allies’ own capabilities. Moscow is in no position to make a bid for European hegemony. European NATO dwarfs Russia in economic scale, population, and, thus, latent military power… Although we are and will remain engaged in Europe, we must—and will—prioritize defending the U.S. Homeland and deterring China. Fortunately, our NATO allies are substantially more powerful than Russia—it is not even close. Germany’s economy alone dwarfs that of Russia. At the same time, under President Trump’s leadership, NATO allies have committed to raise defense spending to the new global standard of 5% of GDP in total, with 3.5% of GDP invested in hard military capabilities. Our NATO allies are therefore strongly positioned to take primary responsibility for Europe’s conventional defense, with critical but more limited U.S. support. This includes taking the lead in supporting Ukraine’s defense.”
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Four KC-135R/T “Stratotanker” Aerial-Refueling Tankers with U.S. Air Force have departed Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar and are currently heading west across Saudi Arabia, likely returning to the United States, suggesting that the arrival this week of additional KC-135s at Al Udeid was part of a regular rotation and not a buildup related to Iran.
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The 2026 National Defense Strategy states that although Iran has “suffered severe setbacks over recent months,” including as a result of Operation MIDNIGHT HAMMER, it appears intent on reconstituting its conventional military forces and potentially continuing its development of nuclear weapons, while refusing to engage in meaningful negotiations with the United States.
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As the possibility of U.S. strikes against Iran continue to rise, chances on Polymarket’s betting market of Israeli strikes on Iran by January 31, 2026 are also on the rise, currently sitting at 26%.
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