The last time a team did that (Porsche, with their 919 Evo), we got a 5.19.5 Nurburgring lap which beat the previous record by over ONE MINUTE!

The W11 Evo would beat the 919 Evo, as the standard W11 can already compete with it.

Las Vegas GP might be the coldest F1 race EVER, if the temperature drops below 5°C (41°F)❄️🥶

Effects on performance:
-Denser air➡️Drag, Downforce📈(Ferrari advantaged vs Merc)
-Hard to heat tyres➡️Larger wings and toe angles🔥
-Easier cooling➡️Smaller outlets

Predictions?🤔

Which races had the quickest pit stops, on average?⏱🤔

🥇UK
🥈Qatar
🥉Miami

Pitting in Monaco was hardest due to the rain, the changeable conditions and the very narrow pit area!

Singapore, another city circuit, had the 2nd slowest pits.

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Over a single lap, Ferrari improved in every aspect in Brazil:

+8km/h top speed📈
+9 km/h fast turn📈
+4 km/h slow turn📈
-0.636s laptime✅

Still, they got far fewer points: 37 (2022) vs 13 (2023): other teams improved much more, especially concerning race pace!

Temperature in the races so far (Purple dots) vs prediction for Las Vegas (Blue Dot). ❄️🥶

Even though the daytime average will be 19°C, the night race will be less than 10°C due to the large temperature swing in the desert!

A real outlier!

📸 @weathernetwork

Mercedes was over 1s/lap quicker on a single lap vs. last year despite running higher to avoid disqualification!🧐

+7km/h top speed📈
+11 km/h fast turn📈
+3 km/h slow turn📈
-1.052 laptime✅

That change, though, made tyre wear terrible! 📉

In the first few races, Aston as by far the most improved team
At the end of the season, though, McLaren takes the spot!👌

+2km/h top speed📈
+16 km/h fast turn📈(!!!)
+4 km/h slow turn📈
-1.356 laptime✅(!!!)

2 points in 2022, 26 points in 2023 !📈

🗒Notes on Las Vegas GP!

Frequent and long straights➡️Minimising drag will be crucial! Baku-Monza wings.

❄️Record-low temps predicted➡️Will the higher mandated pressure be enough to heat up the softest compounds (C3-C5)?

The combination of high altitude (610m) and, therefore, less dense air, very long straights, and low-load rear wings should produce mighty top-speed figures!

Pirelli increased the minimum inflation pressures for Las Vegas GP. 🛞

Operating pressure is higher than inflation pressure, but less so here due to the extremely low temperatures. ❄️
⬇️
Operating pressure will remain reasonably high, but heating the tyres will become even harder! 🔥

Higher inflation pressure makes the tyre stiffer and decreases the area of the contact patch.

A stiffer tyre deforms less, dissipating less energy into heat.

The reduced heat produced makes it harder to keep it over the lower threshold of its ideal temperature range.

📸 Pirelli Sport

What's your prediction? 🤔

🟠McL's pits improved significantly: from 3.3s/pit in the first 6 races up to 2.6s/pit!

🟢Mercedes improved too but remains slowest over the season

🔵RedBull has been both quickest AND most consistent

🔴Ferrari and 🟢Aston fluctuated

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Leclerc's top speed in FP1:

Las Vegas FP1: 338km/h🚀
Monza FP1: 337km/h

Teams are running slightly more loaded rear wings than at Monza; however, the lower air density (due to the higher altitude) should provide higher top speeds than even in the 'Temple of Speed'!

In qualifying, he reached 346km/h in Monza, and an impressive 351km/h in Mexico! (Due to the very high altitude).

Ferrari is evaluating two different rear wings:

- A more loaded version (seen above on Carlos Sainz's car),
- A less loaded one (similar to that seen in Monza shown below).

Las Vegas might favour running slightly more wing than Monza.

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