🇷🇸 - An analysis of current traffic patterns and roadblocks in Belgrade reveals a severe and coordinated disruption across the capital. At least 18 key intersections and arteries are blocked, including all major access points to the city center, bridges over the Sava and Danube Rivers, and segments of the main southbound highway (Autoput za Niš).

The blockade pattern effectively divides the city into multiple isolated zones, crippling logistical movement between Zemun, Novi Beograd, Stari Grad, Voždovac, and central government zones near the Belgrade Fortress and administrative core.

Belgrade’s urban layout—non-grid, decentralized, and with limited rapid deployment corridors—does not favor regime countermeasures in the event of urban unrest. If hostile actors hold these chokepoints, the central government may find itself encircled and tactically immobilized.
Conclusion: Based on current mobility data, the Serbian regime appears to be in a state of acute vulnerability. Unless aerial or armored units are rapidly deployed, command and control capacities in the capital are likely degraded.

—NOTE: The location “Mostarska Petlja – Belgrade Fair” refers to a key area in central Belgrade where the Mostarska Petlja interchange connects directly to the Belgrade Fair (Beogradski Sajam)—one of the city’s main exhibition and event venues.

Strategically positioned in the Savski Venac municipality, this corridor links several major urban and transit routes, including access to the Gazela Bridge, highways E‑75 and E‑70, and the southern districts of the city. It is both a logistical hub and a symbolic gateway into the heart of Belgrade’s business and cultural zones.

🇷🇸 - BREAKING — Vučić whereabouts currently unknown. Sources indicates to observers aligned to GIW that the presidential convoy did not reach Dedinje residence following his return from his Spain visit as expected.

🇷🇸 - Still no movement from police forces at major blockades despite rumors of it being "imminent". Conflicting chatter among protestors and observers: is the regime hesitating, or preparing a last-minute show of force?

🇷🇸 - Ušće Interchange is blocked. Large presence of youth-led demonstrators; no police intervention observed despite previous rumors which were disseminated by the regime.

🇨🇱 - Jeanette Jara wins left-wing primary in Chile. She is from the communist party.

🇬🇧 - The BBC have admitted it regrets not pulling the Bob Vylan Glastonbury live stream, which contained "utterly unacceptable" and "antisemitic sentiments".

🇸🇾🇺🇸- The White House: U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order ending sanctions on Syria.

The executive order signed by President Trump will be executed tomorrow, on Tuesday

🇺🇸 - Elon Musk talking about donating to Massie.

🇹🇭 - The "coup" in Thailand ended up happening: no military in the streets, just a judicial decision suspending Shinawatra and installing a pro-business, army-friendly member of Pheu Thai as interim PM.

Happy Canada Day!

🇹🇷🇦🇲🇦🇿 - Caucasus War Report: We won’t comment too much until the official details are released, but Armenia, Turkey, and Azerbaijan have reached an agreement on the Zangezur corridor during Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan’s recent visit to Turkey. Under this deal, Russia will have zero control over the corridor effectively being cut out entirely.

In response, Moscow attempted a failed coup against Pashinyan through clerical channels last week to disrupt the ongoing negotiations. Now, it’s trying to pressure Azerbaijan, but those efforts are also falling flat. In essence, Turkey, Armenia, and Azerbaijan are forming a new regional axis that openly challenges Russian influence.

🇺🇸 - US Secretary of State Rubio officially announces that USAID has ceased all operations.

🇺🇸🇮🇶🇹🇷 - State Dept spokesperson called the continued closure of Iraq-Turkey pipeline "unacceptable" due to its stifling effect on Iraq's economic development, direct harm to American businesses.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 - Trump administration has HALTED some weapon shipments to Ukraine - POLITICO

🇺🇸🇨🇺 - The Trump administration formalized and hardened U.S. policy toward Cuba through a comprehensive national security memorandum. This directive reasserts the embargo and lays down a clear institutional roadmap to prevent future normalization with the Cuban regime until strict democratic conditions are met.

At its core, the document prohibits U.S. financial transactions with Cuban military and intelligence-linked entities (notably GAESA). This effectively cuts off state-controlled sectors from international capital flows, reinforcing isolation.

The policy mandates tight control over U.S. travel to Cuba. Tourism remains banned. All visits must involve direct civil society engagement, and all travelers must keep detailed logs for potential audits.

The memorandum pushes for a private-sector-oriented future. Aid and remittances should be funneled only through independent Cuban businesses, not state-linked institutions. This reflects a clear desire to engineer a post-Castro economic order from the outside.

It calls for expanding free internet access and media tools for Cuban citizens, hinting at long-term information warfare goals—empowering bottom-up dissent while bypassing regime control.

It orders the State and Treasury Departments to publish a blacklist of prohibited Cuban entities and enforce transaction bans. U.S. agencies are tasked with regular oversight and reporting.

The memo also restates U.S. opposition to any international effort—especially at the UN—to lift the embargo, reinforcing diplomatic consistency across administrations.

Democracy-promotion programs (USAID, etc.) are to be reviewed and aligned with stricter anti-regime criteria. This signals a shift from soft diplomacy to targeted political influence operations.

The document instructs annual inter-agency reviews of Cuba policy implementation, making it structurally difficult for future presidents to reverse course quickly.

In short, this directive outlines a long-game strategy: block regime survival via economic pressure, promote internal fracture through civil society and media, and prepare for regime change led by a U.S.-aligned Cuban diaspora.

🇺🇸🇺🇦 - I think that in the last month things were difficult in the Middle East, and that it had an impact on US stocks, Politico seems to think this is temporary and that Ukraine will get its shipments back soon, before that people hope Europe will help.

🇺🇸 - Smoke-filled room primaries need to come back ASAP before the country turns communist.

🇬🇧🇩🇪 - UK and Germany to sign mutual defense treaty. The treaty is said to include a mutual assistance clause in the case of a threat to either nation.