Jonathan Schanzer – Telegram
Jonathan Schanzer
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Sr VP Research @FDD. Former @USTreasury terror finance analyst. Coiner of Schanzerisms. Author of 4 books on the Middle East. Host of FDD Morning Brief.
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I've said it before & I'll say it again: Israel has its mojo back. Its Iran strike has succeeded in weakening the regime — but what's next for the region? Fmr. Israeli NatSec Advisor Eyal Hulata is letting me pick his brain on today's @FDD Morning Brief. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Will #Iran respond to #Israel's strike on regime military targets? If so, how and when? These are still unanswered questions, but I'm glad to be joined by award-winning Israeli journalist @Nadav_Eyal to help me ponder them. Grab a hot beverage & tune in. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Amazing how this administration tip-toes around the sensitivities of the political “elite” in Lebanon, deferring to a feckless caretaker government that has been co-opted by Hezbollah.
US message reported sent to Islamic Republic of Iran: If you strike again, we will not be able to restrain the Israelis as we have done in the past.

Me: this is the right message. The question is whether Khamenei is hearing it.
Jump into your week w/ the @FDD Morning Brief. Today, we have a repeat offender — er, repeat guest — on the show: Sr. VP of @afpc @ilanberman. Excited to bring him back on to discuss the opposition in Iran. Maximum pressure + maximum support is the motto. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Anything important happening in America today? Can’t tell from the headlines.
Hezbollah rocket in Ranana.
Crazy night last night. Lots to unpack. The big question here: what can we anticipate from U.S. foreign policy, esp. related to the #MidEast, going forward? Today, I'm speaking w/ @rolltidebmz of @cufi for his take. Tune in. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Hezbollah training center discovered 200 meters from a UNIFIL base.

IDF found launchers, documents, instructional materials, maps of Israel, info on IDF equipment, tunnel shafts, and assorted weapons.
Today, we have a smart British cookie on the show: Natasha Hausdorff of @UKLFI has been debunking the skewed legal claims against Israel as it fights an Iran-backed war on 7 fronts. Listen to the @FDD Morning Brief for her thoughts. Gonna be a good one. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Between Trump’s expected return to maximum pressure and reports that Qatar may be kicking Hamas out of the country, I think it’s safe to say:

The Israelis are looking at what can be, unburdened by what has been.
The key now is to ensure Hamas does not settle in Turkey. Not acceptable for a NATO ally.

Iran is likely. Not bad for messaging. It would convey that Hamas can only find a HQ among toxic rogues.

Algeria or Malaysia also possible. Far away from Israel, yet within reach of Mossad
Understanding #MidEast dynamics isn't rocket science; today's @FDD Morning Brief guest, Ari Sacher, would know. He's a real-life rocket scientist who'll share his 2 cents on #Israel's missile defense capabilities. Gonna be ... well ... a blast. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
We're taking a field trip to India on today's @FDD Morning Brief. Joining me is @MD_Nalapat, UNESCO Peace Chair @MAHE_Manipal. We'll chat about India's response to 10/7, its role in the #AbrahamAccords, the India-Israel relationship & more. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Unclear what this means for hostages or Gaza end state, but I’m heartened by the news. The region could benefit from an end to hostilities.

But don’t get too optimistic. A showdown between Israel and Iran is still coming. Iran can’t unring that bell. Israel won’t forget.
Turkey is no better than Qatar. Both countries are state sponsors of terrorism. Neither should be treated as US allies. One can only hope that US policy will change. Both countries need to be held to account for sponsoring the terror group that brought war to the Middle East
Happy Monday, folks. On today's @FDD Morning Brief, we’re crossing #Israel’s northern border for a status check on #Hezbollah. FDD’s @DavidADaoud, an expert on all things Lebanon, breaks down why #Iran’s most formidable proxy is losing its edge. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Qatar says the Hamas political office is not permanently closed in Doha, even after the terror group’s leaders moved to Turkey.
Hezbollah’s new secretary-general, Naim Qassem, to make a speech shortly. In Israel, the media is asking: Will he declare an end of fighting?
According to the ⁦@CIA⁩ World Factbook, the population of Gaza grew an estimated 2.02% in 2024.

In case it wasn’t clear before, the people claiming a “genocide” in Gaza are gaslighting you.

H/T ⁦@HaisamHassanei1⁩ ⁦@FDD⁩ cia.gov/the-world-fact
I'm going back to the future on today's @FDD Morning Brief & visiting my old stomping ground: terror financing. Today's guest, @ATAlawyer, is a terror financing lawyer taking #Iran to court for making 10/7 possible. That's what I call a pursuit of justice. x.com/i/broadcasts/1