Jonathan Schanzer – Telegram
Jonathan Schanzer
2 subscribers
6 photos
1 video
35 links
Sr VP Research @FDD. Former @USTreasury terror finance analyst. Coiner of Schanzerisms. Author of 4 books on the Middle East. Host of FDD Morning Brief.
Download Telegram
Today, we have a smart British cookie on the show: Natasha Hausdorff of @UKLFI has been debunking the skewed legal claims against Israel as it fights an Iran-backed war on 7 fronts. Listen to the @FDD Morning Brief for her thoughts. Gonna be a good one. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Between Trump’s expected return to maximum pressure and reports that Qatar may be kicking Hamas out of the country, I think it’s safe to say:

The Israelis are looking at what can be, unburdened by what has been.
The key now is to ensure Hamas does not settle in Turkey. Not acceptable for a NATO ally.

Iran is likely. Not bad for messaging. It would convey that Hamas can only find a HQ among toxic rogues.

Algeria or Malaysia also possible. Far away from Israel, yet within reach of Mossad
Understanding #MidEast dynamics isn't rocket science; today's @FDD Morning Brief guest, Ari Sacher, would know. He's a real-life rocket scientist who'll share his 2 cents on #Israel's missile defense capabilities. Gonna be ... well ... a blast. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
We're taking a field trip to India on today's @FDD Morning Brief. Joining me is @MD_Nalapat, UNESCO Peace Chair @MAHE_Manipal. We'll chat about India's response to 10/7, its role in the #AbrahamAccords, the India-Israel relationship & more. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Unclear what this means for hostages or Gaza end state, but I’m heartened by the news. The region could benefit from an end to hostilities.

But don’t get too optimistic. A showdown between Israel and Iran is still coming. Iran can’t unring that bell. Israel won’t forget.
Turkey is no better than Qatar. Both countries are state sponsors of terrorism. Neither should be treated as US allies. One can only hope that US policy will change. Both countries need to be held to account for sponsoring the terror group that brought war to the Middle East
Happy Monday, folks. On today's @FDD Morning Brief, we’re crossing #Israel’s northern border for a status check on #Hezbollah. FDD’s @DavidADaoud, an expert on all things Lebanon, breaks down why #Iran’s most formidable proxy is losing its edge. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Qatar says the Hamas political office is not permanently closed in Doha, even after the terror group’s leaders moved to Turkey.
Hezbollah’s new secretary-general, Naim Qassem, to make a speech shortly. In Israel, the media is asking: Will he declare an end of fighting?
According to the ⁦@CIA⁩ World Factbook, the population of Gaza grew an estimated 2.02% in 2024.

In case it wasn’t clear before, the people claiming a “genocide” in Gaza are gaslighting you.

H/T ⁦@HaisamHassanei1⁩ ⁦@FDD⁩ cia.gov/the-world-fact
I'm going back to the future on today's @FDD Morning Brief & visiting my old stomping ground: terror financing. Today's guest, @ATAlawyer, is a terror financing lawyer taking #Iran to court for making 10/7 possible. That's what I call a pursuit of justice. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
I’m scheduled to appear on @FoxNews shortly to discuss the big news: Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar has been eliminated in Gaza today.
Qatar should be pressured to force one of the last surviving Hamas leaders, Khaled Meshal, to surrender unconditionally. He is based in Qatar.

If Biden waits too long, Qatar could allow Meshal to leave the country, perhaps to another jurisdiction hospitable to Hamas like Turkey.
With Hamas flat on its back, we will now see this war clearly for what it is: Israel is at war with Iran and its proxies. They will almost certainly keep this war going.
Huge! #Hamas mastermind #YahyaSinwar is eliminated. Big implications for the war & for the #MiddleEast. What happens now & what does this mean for Hamas-enabling #Qatar? Join my @FDD colleagues @jconricus, @hahussain & me for a live situational update. x.com/i/broadcasts/1
Nothing to see here. Just a senator casually parroting Hamas casualty figures.

Also worth noting: the Gaza war ends when Hamas surrenders and returns the hostages. Not when one of the most anti-Israel members of Congress thinks it’s time.
👍1
The stunning rebel advance in Syria continues. They’ve now reached the outskirts of Hama, where protests were crushed by the regime at the start of the uprising. Reports of regime supporters fleeing the city. Still no word from Assad, who is said to be in Moscow.
Jonathan Schanzer
The stunning rebel advance in Syria continues. They’ve now reached the outskirts of Hama, where protests were crushed by the regime at the start of the uprising. Reports of regime supporters fleeing the city. Still no word from Assad, who is said to be in…
While I am heartened by the potential unraveling of the Assad regime, the question of what lies ahead is somewhat terrifying. The region is already unstable. This could complicate the situtation in the Middle East significantly. There are few good actors here.