Lebanese News and Updates – Telegram
Lebanese News and Updates
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Covering Lebanon and occasionally MENA's conflicts. And currently, the war in Palestine.
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The IDF releases footage showing airstrikes on trucks it says were ferrying weapons to Tehran.

Since this morning, the Israeli Air Force identified several trucks, carrying surface-to-air missile launchers and other weapons, moving from west Iran toward Tehran
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❗️The Israeli Air Force has begun a new wave of airstrikes in central Iran
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❗️For how long can Israel's BMD network be effective against consistent 50–70 ballistic missiles launches by Iran per day?

A numbers-based breakdown by Mett project on X

Interceptor Inventory (best case scenario estimate):

- Arrow-2/3: 180–220
- David’s Sling: 450–600
- THAAD (Negev): 48–64
- SM-3/6 (US ships): 110–140

Totaling ~950–1120 BMD interceptors.
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Interceptor Usage Rate:

The average expenditure will be 1.2–1.4 per intercept

Against 60 incoming iranian Ballistic missiles per day 72–84 interceptors/day are needed

Endurance Estimates (assuming shared load):

- Arrow-2/3: 6–9 days (handling ~20–30% of targets)

- David’s Sling: 10–14 days (~50%)

- SM-3/6: 4–6 days (strategic-range only)

- THAAD: 5–7 days (upper-tier terminal role)

Resulting in full grid pressure breach beginning around Day 15–18
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Confirmed Failures:

- 8+ missile leakers

- 3 known hits near BMD nodes (Haifa, Tel Aviv sector)

- Arrow and Stunner midcourse/terminal and after launch failures

Likely causes: older stocks, saturation, decoys, burnout-phase timing gaps
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Resupply + Logistics:

- SM-3/6: No reload at sea for the AEGIS BMD, and the System is under U.S. control

- Arrow restock: 2–4 weeks

- THAAD/SM stocks in region: limited drawdown possible

- Battery fatigue will become notable after Day 10
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The Projection if Iran sustains 50–70 Missiles/day is as follows:

👍 Days 0–10: Mostly contained(as evident by current events)

😓 Days 10–15: Coverage gaps begin

😖 Days 15–20: Rationing, reduced priority zones

😵 Day 20+: Grid attrition, critical intercept success
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Meaning Israel’s strategic BMD capacity caps out at ~15–18 days under current pressure.
Interceptor depletion and system wear begin to outpace reload timelines.
Without emergency resupply, persistent Iranian salvos will produce daily and more numerous penetrations post-Day 18.

We are now at day 4. It's a race between Iran's launcher capacity and Israel's defense ability

However so far, Israel did not sustain any defense manufacturing damages
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🇮🇷 🇮🇷 إِنَّا لِلَّٰهِ وَإِنَّا إِلَيْهِ رَاجِعُونَ

We can now confirm the martyrdom of six zealous and self-sacrificing generals of the IRGC Aerospace Forces in the early stages of the Zionist aggression against Iran.

🥀 Second Brigadier General Morteza Tayyeb Masoud

🥀 Major General Mahmoud Baqeri

🥀 Brigadier General Mohammad Baqer Taherpour

🥀 Brigadier General Davoud Sheikhian

🥀 Brigadier General Khosrow Hassani

🥀 Brigadier General Mansour Safarpour

By: @Middle_East_Spectator
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❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The arrest of Mossad collaborators in Borkhar, near Esfahan

@Middle_East_Spectator
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🇮🇷 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: In many villages and rural areas, locals are setting up their own checkpoints and carrying out 'civil patrols' to identify traitors

@Middle_East_Spectator
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❗️An Israeli drone strike in south Lebanon's Hula border town murdered one innocent Lebanese civilian
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Fotros Resistance (AryJeay)
Hey Lebanese news and updates, didn’t you post that Shamkhani had passed away already?
Sorry didn't see your post about me because I don't follow you, you can always reach me through our mutuals to correct me and my mistakes

Never said I don't make any

As for the news, it was from an Iranian account because Israelis didn't claim killing him. Not one Israeli official or army spox said so.

There was also a banner with his photos as a martyr.

All good mate
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Lebanese News and Updates
❗️An Israeli drone strike in south Lebanon's Hula border town murdered one innocent Lebanese civilian
🥀 The Jewish attack on Lebanon murderes Mohamed Abdul Salam Nasrallah
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Netanyahu leaves his heavily fortified bunker to tell Israelis to hide in their makeshift thin safe rooms.

Notably, Israel has banned the travel of Israelis outside the country. It seems their national interest is to keep them trapped!
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❗️The IDF issues a massive evacuation order for a HUGE area in Tehran
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This area is massive and it's all civilian neighborhoods

To order such an evacuation to bomb is clear why: terrorism and terrorism
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District 3 of Tehran covers an area of 2,945 hectares (29.45 square kilometers). 

It is one of the major business districts and is considered the "Capital of the Iranian Capital". 

The resident population is around 290,000, with a commuting population of about 1.2 million. 
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📹 From the attacks on the mountain area near Tehran
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