Confirmed Failures:

- 8+ missile leakers

- 3 known hits near BMD nodes (Haifa, Tel Aviv sector)

- Arrow and Stunner midcourse/terminal and after launch failures

Likely causes: older stocks, saturation, decoys, burnout-phase timing gaps

Resupply + Logistics:

- SM-3/6: No reload at sea for the AEGIS BMD, and the System is under U.S. control

- Arrow restock: 2–4 weeks

- THAAD/SM stocks in region: limited drawdown possible

- Battery fatigue will become notable after Day 10

The Projection if Iran sustains 50–70 Missiles/day is as follows:

👍 Days 0–10: Mostly contained(as evident by current events)

😓 Days 10–15: Coverage gaps begin

😖 Days 15–20: Rationing, reduced priority zones

😵 Day 20+: Grid attrition, critical intercept success

Meaning Israel’s strategic BMD capacity caps out at ~15–18 days under current pressure.
Interceptor depletion and system wear begin to outpace reload timelines.
Without emergency resupply, persistent Iranian salvos will produce daily and more numerous penetrations post-Day 18.

We are now at day 4. It's a race between Iran's launcher capacity and Israel's defense ability

However so far, Israel did not sustain any defense manufacturing damages

— 🇮🇷 🇮🇷 إِنَّا لِلَّٰهِ وَإِنَّا إِلَيْهِ رَاجِعُونَ

We can now confirm the martyrdom of six zealous and self-sacrificing generals of the IRGC Aerospace Forces in the early stages of the Zionist aggression against Iran.

🥀 Second Brigadier General Morteza Tayyeb Masoud

🥀 Major General Mahmoud Baqeri

🥀 Brigadier General Mohammad Baqer Taherpour

🥀 Brigadier General Davoud Sheikhian

🥀 Brigadier General Khosrow Hassani

🥀 Brigadier General Mansour Safarpour

By: @Middle_East_Spectator

Sus place

Pour him into the concrete so archaeologists can find him in 1,000 years from now

—❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The arrest of Mossad collaborators in Borkhar, near Esfahan

@Middle_East_Spectator

🇮🇷 — 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: In many villages and rural areas, locals are setting up their own checkpoints and carrying out 'civil patrols' to identify traitors

@Middle_East_Spectator

❗️An Israeli drone strike in south Lebanon's Hula border town murdered one innocent Lebanese civilian

Sorry didn't see your post about me because I don't follow you, you can always reach me through our mutuals to correct me and my mistakes

Never said I don't make any

As for the news, it was from an Iranian account because Israelis didn't claim killing him. Not one Israeli official or army spox said so.

There was also a banner with his photos as a martyr.

All good mate

🥀 The Jewish attack on Lebanon murderes Mohamed Abdul Salam Nasrallah

Netanyahu leaves his heavily fortified bunker to tell Israelis to hide in their makeshift thin safe rooms.

Notably, Israel has banned the travel of Israelis outside the country. It seems their national interest is to keep them trapped!

❗️The IDF issues a massive evacuation order for a HUGE area in Tehran

This area is massive and it's all civilian neighborhoods

To order such an evacuation to bomb is clear why: terrorism and terrorism

District 3 of Tehran covers an area of 2,945 hectares (29.45 square kilometers). 

It is one of the major business districts and is considered the "Capital of the Iranian Capital". 

The resident population is around 290,000, with a commuting population of about 1.2 million. 

📹 From the attacks on the mountain area near Tehran

📸 From the Israeli attacks near Tehran

The evacuated area cannot be attacked but with a nuke, which won't happen.

The purpose is to cause humiliation to the country and people, cause a wave of refugees and most importantly make Iran look weak and Israel with the upper hand for the ability to order whole cities in Iran to obey

📸 Iranian Sevom Khordad air defense system, destroyed by the Israeli Air Force while still onboard its transport truck on the Saveh-Tehran highway.

The IDF while it ordered such a massive evacuation, their minsiter of war implied their plan to attack the Iranian national TV agency IRIB

🇮🇱l🇮🇷 Israel has told Fox News that they expect Iran to fire only 750-1000 ballistic missile at most throughout this conflict.

This is also their goal to keep things within their ability to defend.

So far, Iran has fired 370 of which about 10% impacted at least causing about 24 Israeli deaths (including Ukrainians and Arabs) and 750+ injuries.

The Israeli assessment means they claim Iran is 1/3rd through. We'll see inshallah