— ❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇳/🇪🇺 IMPORTANT: In three days, the International Atomic Energy Agency will meet in Vienna to discuss Iran's compliance with the 2015 JCPOA (Nuclear Deal)
Despite the fact that it was America that unilaterally withdrew from the nuclear deal in 2018, European countries now say Iran likely isn't in compliance with the JCPOA anymore.
If the IAEA finds that Iran is officially no longer in compliance, any of the parties to the JCPOA, specifically the European nations, can initiate the 'snapback' clause — which would reimpose all UN sanctions against Iran, including an arms embargo, a ban on uranium enrichment, a global freeze of Iranian assets, and a ban on ballistic missile activities.
While these sanctions won't do much in reality considering that Iran's missile and nuclear programs are fully self-sufficient, it will deal a blow to Iran's international credibility and lay the groundwork for accusations of nuclear weapons — which will be the pretext for an Israeli nuclear strike.
This is why Iran's Foreign Minister today promised a 'strong reaction' by Iran if Europe triggered the snapback mechanism. Earlier, Araqchi stated that if the Europeans activate snapback, Iran's attitude towards its nuclear program would 'change completely'.
Iran could take various measures in response, like mass producing or activating large amounts of advanced IR-9 enrichment centrifuges, quitting the Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT), or even unveiling an ICBM or conducting a nuclear test.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Despite the fact that it was America that unilaterally withdrew from the nuclear deal in 2018, European countries now say Iran likely isn't in compliance with the JCPOA anymore.
If the IAEA finds that Iran is officially no longer in compliance, any of the parties to the JCPOA, specifically the European nations, can initiate the 'snapback' clause — which would reimpose all UN sanctions against Iran, including an arms embargo, a ban on uranium enrichment, a global freeze of Iranian assets, and a ban on ballistic missile activities.
While these sanctions won't do much in reality considering that Iran's missile and nuclear programs are fully self-sufficient, it will deal a blow to Iran's international credibility and lay the groundwork for accusations of nuclear weapons — which will be the pretext for an Israeli nuclear strike.
This is why Iran's Foreign Minister today promised a 'strong reaction' by Iran if Europe triggered the snapback mechanism. Earlier, Araqchi stated that if the Europeans activate snapback, Iran's attitude towards its nuclear program would 'change completely'.
Iran could take various measures in response, like mass producing or activating large amounts of advanced IR-9 enrichment centrifuges, quitting the Non Proliferation Treaty (NPT), or even unveiling an ICBM or conducting a nuclear test.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇮🇷/☢️ Fereydoon Abbasi, former head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization:
– We reached the capability to build nuclear weapons 15-20 years ago.
– We have not yet received the orders to produce nuclear weapons. If they tell me to build it, I will do it.
– If Israel or the United States bomb our nuclear production sites, it won't affect our timetable to get a bomb.
– These days it is possible to create tactical nuclear weapons that do not fall under the category of WMDs, we can use them to destroy an Israeli military base for example.
(The above point implies that tactical nukes may not be included in Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei's ban on WMDs.)
@Middle_East_Spectator
– We reached the capability to build nuclear weapons 15-20 years ago.
– We have not yet received the orders to produce nuclear weapons. If they tell me to build it, I will do it.
– If Israel or the United States bomb our nuclear production sites, it won't affect our timetable to get a bomb.
– These days it is possible to create tactical nuclear weapons that do not fall under the category of WMDs, we can use them to destroy an Israeli military base for example.
(The above point implies that tactical nukes may not be included in Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei's ban on WMDs.)
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
With strong STEM-focused education, armies of engineers, and the skillful use of Western sanctions to its advantage, Iran is a top regional science & technology incubator.
ASPI’s 2024 Critical Technology Tracker ranked Iran in the top five in 8 of 63 technologies, including:
Iran churns out 230K+ STEM graduates each year (6th globally). 70% are women (global top 10).
Iran has nearly 2,200 universities (with plans to combine them into ∼400). 81 placed among top schools in 10 of 11 subject areas in the Times Higher Education’s World University Rankings 2025.
Strengths include medicine, chemical, mechanical & aerospace engineering, nano tech, energy, IT, agricultural & water management, nuclear physics and materials science.
Knowledge is useless without the means to apply it. While Iran is best known for its oil, gas & mining sectors, it also has the Middle East’s largest and most diversified industrial base.
As one of the world’s oldest civilizations, Iran’s modern scientific prowess is a continuation of its historical legacy. From the Achaemenid Empire’s irrigation aqueducts (many still working after 2,700 years), to Parthian and Sasanian scientific and military advances, like early batteries & cataphract cavalry, to great polymaths (Avicenna, Al-Biruni, Omar Khayyam), Iran has always been an innovator.
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— 🇮🇷/🇸🇦 NEW: Saudi Arabia's Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian held a phone call
Bin Salman congratulated the President on Eid Al-Adha, and the two also discussed important regional matters and the Hajj.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Bin Salman congratulated the President on Eid Al-Adha, and the two also discussed important regional matters and the Hajj.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Geopolitics Prime
— Our friends at Geopolitics Live challenge stereotypes about 'evil' Iran & other countries like Russia. Highly recommended to subscribe: @geopolitics_live
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— 🇷🇺/🇲🇱 NEW: Russia's Wagner PMC officially announces the end of its 3.5 year anti-terrorism mission in the country of Mali
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Levant)
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Forwarded from NEW WORLD ORDYR 313 (0 EIE)
🇺🇳🇮🇷 | Grossi: Iran's nuclear capabilities cannot be destroyed
Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency:
🔸 I am optimistic about indirect talks between Iran and the United States.
🔸 Iran's nuclear capabilities cannot be destroyed by military attack.
🔸 The most sensitive sites in Iran are half a mile underground and difficult to access.
🟡 @NEWWORLDORDYR
Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency:
🔸 I am optimistic about indirect talks between Iran and the United States.
🔸 Iran's nuclear capabilities cannot be destroyed by military attack.
🔸 The most sensitive sites in Iran are half a mile underground and difficult to access.
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No US-Iran talks this weekend.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: Helicopters continue to evacuate dead and wounded IDF soldiers from the incident earlier this morning in Khan Younis. Preliminary reports indicate 5 killed and 12 injured after explosives were detonated and a building collapsed on the Israeli…
— 🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: The IDF has announced the deaths of Sergeant Major Chen Gross, 33, from the 'Maglan' Unit, Commando Brigade, and Staff Sergeant Yoav Raver, 19, from the 'Yahalom' Unit, Combat Engineering Corps, who were killed in southern Gaza this morning
Two other Israeli soldiers have also been killed, and five have been injured.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Two other Israeli soldiers have also been killed, and five have been injured.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇮🇷 NEW: Iran continues to mass-produce various types of ballistic missiles at hundreds of production sites throughout the country
The amount of missiles being produced is so large, that booster components are being stacked and stored above ground at warehouses.
@Middle_East_Spectator
The amount of missiles being produced is so large, that booster components are being stacked and stored above ground at warehouses.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Angry Iowan ✝️)
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱 WATCH: Podcaster and comedian Theo Von tells Vice President JD Vance that the United States is complicit in the Gaza genocide, stating, 'sometimes it feels like we look out more for the interests of Israel before America'
JD Vance responds by denying it's a genocide, claiming the Trump administration has been 'attacked' for attempting to engage in diplomacy, and then shifts the subject to Biden and Ukraine.
@Middle_East_Spectator
JD Vance responds by denying it's a genocide, claiming the Trump administration has been 'attacked' for attempting to engage in diplomacy, and then shifts the subject to Biden and Ukraine.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 BREAKING: Iran's IRIB State TV announces that Iran has obtained several thousands of extremely sensitive Israeli intelligence files and data, including highly classified documents related to its nuclear weapons program at Dimona
The operation was carried out several months ago by Iran's Ministry of Intelligence and the IRGC Intelligence Organization, employing spies directly inside Israeli territory, who retrieved the data and made sure it was transfered to secure locations in Iran.
The operation is reportedly Israel's largest intelligence failure in history. The retrieved material consists of documents, images, videos, metadata, files, and other data.
@Middle_East_Spectator
The operation was carried out several months ago by Iran's Ministry of Intelligence and the IRGC Intelligence Organization, employing spies directly inside Israeli territory, who retrieved the data and made sure it was transfered to secure locations in Iran.
The operation is reportedly Israel's largest intelligence failure in history. The retrieved material consists of documents, images, videos, metadata, files, and other data.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 BREAKING: Iran's IRIB State TV announces that Iran has obtained several thousands of extremely sensitive Israeli intelligence files and data, including highly classified documents related to its nuclear weapons program at Dimona The operation was…
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 BREAKING: An anonymous Iranian military official describes the data — 'as sensitive as it gets', stating that the location of some of Israel's strategic nuclear assets may have been exposed
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— ❗️🇵🇸/🇮🇱 NEW: Abu Obeidah, spokesman for the Al-Qassam Brigades, announces that the IDF is besieging the area where Israeli prisoner 'Matan Zangauker' is being held, stating that they will not allow him to be recovered alive and that the IDF will be responsible for his death (by execution).
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Al-Mayadeen reports that Iran may have also obtained documents about Israel's projects and intelligence assets in the region, stating that the next few weeks will be 'full of surprises' and that the Israeli intelligence community is in full crisis mode
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Al-Mayadeen reports that the Iranian operation likely consisted of a combination of electronic and cyber operations, along with ground infiltrations
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: Iran will gradually publish some of the Israeli documents over a span of years, based on the sensitivity of the content
Al-Mayadeen described the documents as 'extremely accurate' and 'unprecedented', and says that they could have an impact on the ongoing Iran-US negotiations.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Al-Mayadeen described the documents as 'extremely accurate' and 'unprecedented', and says that they could have an impact on the ongoing Iran-US negotiations.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— 🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇵🇸 NEW: The U.S. House of Representatives is set to vote on a bill designating the term 'Free Palestine' as an 'antisemitic slogan'
The bill has been introduced by Representative Gabe Evans (R-Colo.), who has received close to $700,000 from the Israeli lobby AIPAC.
@Middle_East_Spectator
The bill has been introduced by Representative Gabe Evans (R-Colo.), who has received close to $700,000 from the Israeli lobby AIPAC.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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