Middle East Spectator — MES – Telegram
Middle East Spectator — MES
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News & Analysis on Middle East

Independent, but not unbiased, striving for a multipolar world. Mainly focused on Iran & Resistance Axis.

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Owner: @Hajj_Khomeini

Introduction: https://news.1rj.ru/str/Middle_East_Spectator/4

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Forwarded from MilitaryPOV
🇮🇱🇱🇧❗️ | NEW: The number of wounded has risen to 14, with 1 in critical condition and four in serious condition, following a suicide drone attack from southern Lebanon – Israeli Media

@MilitaryPOV
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Forwarded from MilitaryPOV
🇮🇱🇱🇧 | NEW: The number of wounded has increased to 18 – Kann

A car is also seen engulfed in flames in Arab al-Aramshe.

@MilitaryPOV
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🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: When Iran attacked Israel, the country's military officials had already assumed that an Israeli retaliation would take place, and they had even prepared for a limited war that they assumed would last anywhere between 1-3 months; the assessment was that at some point, a risk had to be taken to restore deterrence, regardless of the outcome – Iranian Official

@Middle_East_Spectator
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🇮🇷 🇮🇷 IRGC Aerospace Commander, General Amirali Hajizadeh:

Media: 'What will you do if Israel responds?'

Hajizadeh: 'We will strike them 100%'

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🇮🇷 For the record:

This is a satellite photo of an Iranian ballistic missile storage / production facility. There are HUNDREDS of such warehouses and production facilities in Iran.

Practically every cent of Iran's defense budget has been spent on the mass production of ballistic missiles since the early 2000's.

The situation has now reached a point where the problem is not production capacity, but storage capacity. There are literally too many missiles to store. One commander famously said: 'We produce them like cigars'. Let this be clear.

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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
🇵🇸 🇮🇱 Netzarim Corridor update:
The IDF have begun the construction of a new base in Gaza, located opposite the planned American built pier. I've marked it as "2" in the image.

🔶️ The start of the clearing can be seen in planet satellite imagery shared by Jake Godin today. It was confirmed by the IDF that the 2 recently remobilized reserve brigades will replace Nahal Brigade in the Corridor, 1 of them will be stationed here to guard the pier.

🔶️ The new brigades (2nd Reserve Infantry Brigade Carmeli and 679th Reserve Armored Brigade) will likely enter the Netzarim Corridor once the ongoing operation in Central Gaza is completed. After that, Nahal and 401st Brigade (the 2 brigades currently in Gaza) will rest for Rafah.

🔶️ Central Gaza Operation Update:
The IDF have advanced a few more houses, I count 33.

🔶️ In planet imagery you can see that the majority of activity is focused on Western Al-Mughraqa, which has been 60% demolished to give additional security to the Netzarim Corridor.

⚡️ Rafah Preparation Timeline:
1. 98th Division withdraws and rests (completed)
2. Reserves are remobilized to take over the defense of the Netzarim Corridor (completed)
3. Gaza Division starts raids on uncleared pockets in North and Central Gaza (ongoing)

Next steps:
4. Evacuation of Rafah is started
5. 162nd Division withdraws and rests, is replaced with remobilized reserves
6. 99th Division is remobilized
7. IDF starts invasion of Rafah, likely before the end of May

(Oh, and there will be extensive air operations before the invasion starts)

📎 Gaza war unit tracking
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🇮🇱/🇮🇷 BREAKING: 'If Israel continues threatening Iran, we will consider building atomic weapons' – IRGC Commander in charge of the Protection of Nuclear Sites

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🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NOW: Israel's Foreign Minister in the UN Security Council says that Iran's Foreign Minister shouldn't be there, because Iran orchestrated October 7; upon hearing this, Iran's Foreign Minister Amir Abdollahian smiles, and drinks a sip of tea

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🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: American media, including CNN and Fox News, report that Israel has carried out a 'limited strike' inside Iran

Tonight, 3 small drones, possibly launched from inside Iran, were shot down by air defenses above Isfahan, according to preliminary information.

No airstrike or explosion caused by any foreign aerial threat has been reported, according to IRNA, and missile defenses have not been activated.

All military and security installations in Isfahan province remain secure, including the Natanz nuclear reactor.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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Middle East Spectator — MES
🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: American media, including CNN and Fox News, report that Israel has carried out a 'limited strike' inside Iran Tonight, 3 small drones, possibly launched from inside Iran, were shot down by air defenses above Isfahan, according to preliminary…
— So, Israel's 'retaliation' consisted of launching 3 explosive-laden quadcopters from inside Iran, it seems for now.

Or in the best case scenario, several small 'harpy' drones launched from Israel.
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🇮🇷/🇮🇱 NEW: All flights in Iran have resumed and the situation is back to normal

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So far, the IDF has not even officially claimed an attack inside Iran, out of fear for retaliation.
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🇮🇷 Commander in Chief of Iran's Army: 'Air defense systems were activated in Esfahan tonight and shot down a suspicious aerial object, which caused no damage'

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🇮🇱/🇮🇶 NEW: The booster of an air-launched missile, likely Israeli in origin, was found in Iraq

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