via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 0030Z March 23, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 003023Z MAR 23
ICOD: 000023Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Russian rhetoric increasing tensions in Europe. Recent documents confirming Biden family ties to China.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
NY: No updates on potential Trump arrest incident.

Washington D.C. - While the world is waiting for the arrest of Trump, recent documents have come to light regarding the Biden family's own crimes. Recently discovered Wells Fargo emails (confirming a wire transfer) confirm that Hunter Biden received $1,000,032.00 from convicted Chinese spy Patrick Ho (whom Hunter himself called "the spy chief of China". Emails recovered from Hunter's laptop strongly indicate this payment was made as a bribe for Biden to provide Ho with the names of certain FBI agents.
-International Events-
United Kingdom: The U.K. MoD has revealed efforts to arm Ukraine with tank shells containing Depleted Uranium (DU). These are intended to supplement the 14 Challenger II tanks that have been gifted to Ukraine. DU munitions are made using the byproducts of Uranium enrichment, so DU shells are not radioactive, but rather used due to their high density, which makes them ideal for use in armor piercing munitions. However, DU munitions are infamous for causing health problems; troops as far back as the Gulf War know the dangers of getting close to vehicles that have been destroyed with DU ammunition. In response, Russia has issued statements to the effect that they will treat the use of DU shells as "an act of terrorism" or the use of a "dirty bomb". These statements are made despite the fact that one of Russia's newest additions to her tank arsenal is the 3BM60 "Svinets-2" round for use in 125mm smoothbore tank barrels. What little supply Russia has been able to manufacture of these new rounds has been sent to the front lines for use in Ukraine. These rounds use a penetrator made of Depleted Uranium.

-Analyst Comments-
Russia's response to the use of Depleted Uranium shells in Ukraine is a classic Cold War era response. Russia knows full well that the use of DU shells is standard practice nowadays, and Russia uses DU shells herself, specifically in Ukraine. Russia's propaganda efforts are intended to prey on unknowing Americans, who see the word "Uranium" and automatically think the worst. The use of DU shells is an escalation, but only an extremely minor one (compared to previous actions).
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire 1800Z March 23, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 180023Z MAR 23
ICOD: 173023Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Domestic infrastructure incidents continue. French unrest situation deteriorating.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
Southwest Airlines: A pilot for Southwest Airline became suddenly incapacitated during flight SWA6013 that departed Las Vegas yesterday. The copilot took command of the aircraft, and a random passenger on the flight (who happened to be a licensed pilot from a different airline) was put into service to assist with cockpit duties and to help work the radio.
LA: Chlorine vapor leak at BioLab facility in Westlake prompts shelter in place orders. The incident is now resolved, no indication of the cause of the leak.

CA: Amtrak train derails due to wind storm that caused a tree to fall on the track.

MA: Catastrophic Norfolk Southern derailment in Ayer, Mass. No indication of cause.

ME: Catastrophic CSX derailment in Androscoggin County. Train carried limestone slurry. No indication of cause.

TX: Limited mainstream media reporting indicates that substantial numbers of Chinese nationals are entering the US via the US/Mexico border. In January CBP officials documented a 900% increase in Chinese nationals crossing the border illegally over the past year, with 4,300 crossing into the US since October.
-International Events-
France: Protests/riots continue to worsen, but may have settled in for the long haul. Personality and social concerns seem to be taking a toll in the severity of demonstrations. While opposition in Parliament is mostly from left-wing politicians, the demonstrators in the streets seem to be much more diverse. Everyone from far-left groups, to garbage collectors are expressing their outrage at not just Macron's recent decree, but other political issues as well.

-Analyst Comments-
Infrastructure incidents continue to highlight enduring vulnerabilities. Lack of media coverage largely results in these events going unnoticed by most.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 2300Z - March 24, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 230024Z MAR 23
ICOD: 233024Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Riots continue throughout France. Monticello Power Plant to shut down for repairs.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
MN: Monticello Power Plant officials announced that the entire facility will be powered down for repairs following the enduring leak of Tritium water into the local groundwater supply. Repair work revealed the presence of a second (allegedly previously unknown) leak, prompting the immediate shutdown of the plant for repairs. Officials continue to stress that there is absolutely zero risk to public health.
NY: The situation surrounding Trump's possible arrest has all but vanished from mainstream media sources.

-International Events-
France: Protests/riots continue throughout France. King Charles III's state visit has been postponed due to the kinetic situation throughout the country. Macron (and other officials) have begun to crack down on demonstrations as the rioting and arson has expanded significantly, threatening key governmental agencies and buildings.

-Analyst Comments-
As expected, the Tritium leak at Monticello NPP was far worse than first disclosed. Officials continue to downplay the health risks, despite openly admitting to the contamination of the local water supply. Shutting down a nuclear power plant is no joke, and strongly indicates the true severity of these (now multiple) leaks. Officials will almost certainly seek to cover up the real severity of the incident and make repairs before the general public figures out what really happened.
Despite now fading into memory, Trump's potential arrest is still very much of concern due to the wide-ranging societal impacts of such a milestone. Clearly, the recent focus on this event was intended to gauge public opinion. Though it is difficult to determine how much of this event is political theater, what's quite clear is that Trump will continue to be targeted by the regime as long as he is a political threat.-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
PP The Wire - Tornado Relief - 1945Z - March 25, 2023

PRECEDENCE: PRIORITY PP
DTG: 194525Z MAR 23
ICOD: 193025Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
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BLUF: Storms devastate the Mississippi Delta, causing mass casualties and widespread, historic damage. Recovery efforts ongoing.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
MS: Last night heavy storms created several supercells, which spawned multiple tornados as the WX front moved through MS. At least one F5 tornado (assessed by WX spotters) directly struck the town of Rolling Fork. So far casualties are as follows: 25x fatalities, and dozens injured. Most of the casualties occurred IVO Rolling Fork, though the damage is widespread throughout the state. Rescue and recovery operations are ongoing. Due to the extremely devastating nature of this event, there is much need for volunteers and donations of supplies.

Ways to help: Team Rubicon is on the ground in the affected zones, and is looking for volunteers to help with clearing roads and cleaning flooded homes as needed. The Salvation Army has deployed canteens in Rolling Fork, Amory, Silver City, and Winona to provide food and water services. Shelters for displaced persons are also open at the National Guard Armory on US Hwy 61 in Rolling Fork, the Humphrey's County Multipurpose Building on Silver City Road in Belzoni, and the Old Armory National Guard Building on 9th Street in Amory. United Way in Rolling Fork is collecting donated goods and supplies at the John Deere store. United Way is also collecting drinking water at their HQ on 920 South Street in Vicksburg, which will be sent to Rolling Fork. Donated goods are also being accepted at the Mississippi State Fairgrounds in Jackson.

-Analyst Comments-
Though most of the severe impacts are being felt in Mississippi, this same WX system has impacted much of the American south. Flooding in Missouri resulted in 2x fatalities (and multiple water rescues). Flooding also occurred in Texas, and widespread power outages are being reported in Tennessee.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire 2300Z - March 25, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 230025Z MAR 23
ICOD: 220325Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
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BLUF: Suspicious incidents continue to devastate US infrastructure. Russia to send nukes to Belarus.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
PA: Large explosion destroys R.M. Palmer Company chocolate factory in Reading. The explosion killed FIVE employees, and SIX employees are missing. Rescue operations are ongoing. Video of the explosion confirms the factory complex was completely leveled by the blast. The cause of the blast is unknown, but initial reporting indicates this may have been the result of a gas leak. However, the situation is still developing.

TX: Large explosion at the INEOS Phenol power plant in Pasadena. Initial investigation indicate the blast may have been a Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion (BLEVE), which occured during the transfer of LPG from one tank to another. The blast injured one employee, who was treated at a local hospital.

-International Events-
Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia has reestablished diplomatic ties with Syria. Embassy reopening ceremonies are scheduled to take place after Eid al-Fitr, in mid April. This comes as Saudi Arabia reestablishes diplomatic ties with Iran, as well as improves relations with China.
Russia: Russia to send tactical nuclear weapons to Belarus for operational storage. This will complement Russia's fleet of bombers already stationed throughout Belarus. It is unclear as to when (or if) this move will take place, but will probably happen soon, if not already.

-Analyst Comments-
At first glance, the movement of nuclear weapons into Belarus is quite alarming, However, considering the actions of NATO over the years, this action is hardly worth worrying about at present. The main concern is that this is yet another escalation of the conflict between the US and Russia. Though, from a Russia perspective, this move is merely an attempt to keep up with the actions of the US...who has had nukes close to Russia's territory for decades; the US currently has stockpiles of nuclear weapons at bases in Turkey, Germany, Belgium, Italy, and the Netherlands. For Russia, Belarus is an old friend from a bygone era, and a symbol of Putin's romantic ideations of rebuilding the Russian empire into the greatness that the USSR never fully achieved. This is helped by the fact that Belarus is a puppet state run by an obsequious dictator who would do anything to curry favor with the Kremlin. Perhaps Belarus knows her own fate: without Russian support her national defense would be dubious at best. Ironically this remora-like behavior points to her own vulnerabilities like no other...even if Russia were to use nukes at some point, Belarus is the least likely place to launch a strike from, as the whole country is well within most of NATO's air defenses. This alone all but confirms this is merely a political chess move by the Kremlin.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 2300Z March 26, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 230026Z MAR 23
ICOD: 223026Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Riots continue throughout Israel. Disaster recovery efforts underway throughout the American south.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
PA: Chemical spill in Bucks county prompts officials to advise drinking only bottled water throughout Philadelphia. The Trinseo Altuglas chemical facility in Bristol spilled over 8,000 gallons of latex finishing solution into the Delaware river. Official reporting is contradictory; officials state that the spill is no hazard, but simultaneously recommend drinking bottled water.

IL: Train derailment in Franklin Park. No other information at this time.

CO: Minor train derailment in La Junta. No other information at this time.

MS: Recovery efforts continue following devastating tornados. At present, the town of Rolling Fork has been almost completely destroyed, with very few structures still standing. Follow-on analysis indicates that an EF4 tornado caused the majority of damage. Severe weather continues to be on the horizon for the next few days, strongly indicating that those in the affected areas are not out of the woods just yet.

-International Events-
Israel: Mass protests/riots continue following opposition to Netanyahu's judicial reform plans. Riots increased in severity today following Netanyahu's firing of Defense Minister Gallant (an opponent of Netanyahu's judicial reform plans).

-Analyst Comments-
Severe weather conditions for the American south will continue to make already challenging disaster recovery efforts even more challenging. The situation throughout Israel is both highly complex and very dynamic. Events are not as clear-cut as one might imagine at first glance, and there are many political machinations at play that cannot be easily or simply explained. However, demonstrations are very strongly anti-Netanyahu in nature, though foreign influence may be a factor as well.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire 0115Z - March 28, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 011528Z MAR 23
ICOD: 003028Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
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BLUF: US infrastructure incidents continue. Multiple violent attacks domestically.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
Washington D.C. - Staffer for Senator Rand Paul stabbed multiple times IVO the 1300 block of H St. Northeast. The suspect has been arrested. No word on the staffer's current condition.

TN: Active shooter causes MASCAL incident at Covenant School/Covenant Presbyterian Church on Burlington Hills Drive in Nashville. 3x children and 3x adult staff were killed in the attack. The shooter, a former student of the school, is also deceased. Initial reporting indicates that this was a highly planned event, with the shooter presenting substantial indications and warnings online prior to the attack. AC: Be advised, social issues will likely result in this shooting being suppressed (or heavily censored/gaslighted) by the mainstream media.

CA: Runaway train catastrophically derails in Kelso. At the time of the derailment, the train was unmanned and uncontrolled. The train was carrying 55 cars of iron ore.
ND: Catastrophic derailment of Canadian Pacific train in Richland County. Train was carrying 70+ cars of HAZMAT (petroleum products, asphalt, salt), 31 of which were derailed. Due to snow and freezing conditions on the ground, emergency officials are letting the spilled cargo freeze for easy removal and decontamination. Initial investigation indicates the cause of the derailment was a broken rail (NFI).

-International Events-

Israel: Under strong pressure from his own political party, Netanyahu postpones his judicial reform until after the summer.

-Analyst Comments-
Railway infrastructure continues to present critical vulnerabilities. These mysterious/coincidental incidents will almost certainly continue into the near future, though very little information will be available with which to make a solid assessment of what/who is truly behind these events. Average Americans will simply not be able to confirm nefarious intent with critical infrastructure incidents, but atmospherics indicate that many people are viewing most of these events with extreme suspicion, however benign they may appear on the surface. Somewhat unfortunately, the same analytical quandary continues into the social sphere, with domestic violent attacks presenting observable trends that allow us to connect-the-dots, even if mainstream sources don't want us to.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 014529Z - March 29, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 014529Z MAR 23
ICOD: 010029Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Critical infrastructure vulnerabilities present persistent concerns. Domestic US atmospherics remain tense.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
OH/KY: Ten barges became navigational hazards on the Ohio River IVO Louisville, KY. The barges were being towed by a tugboat when, possibly due to their tow lines parting, the barges became uncontrolled. The barges traveled downriver until some of them became entrapped in the McAlpine Dam. Currently, the cargo onboard the barges is unknown, but at least one was carrying 1,400 tons of Methanol. This barge is currently caught in the dam, and is partially submerged. The HAZMAT concerns regarding this barge potentially leaking Methanol into drinking water supplies downstream are unknown, though officials stress the threat is minimal.

Washington D.C. - Following the recent mass shooting in TN, calls for violence among transgender groups remain constant threats. AC: Mainstream media reporting has even picked up these calls for violence, which are largely centered around the "Trans Day of Vengeance" event, scheduled for April 01 at the US Supreme Court building in D.C. This event was scheduled prior to the shooting, but event organizers are going ahead with the event. Firearms training will (allegedly) be provided in conjunction with this event, though it is unclear how many individuals are actually planning to attend. As this is a sensitive topic, the media coverage will likely result in this event becoming more substantial than it otherwise would have been.

-International Events-
DPRK: Limited, unconfirmed reporting indicates North Korea to deploy up to 500 soldiers to the Donbas region of occupied Ukraine. South Korean media outlets were the first to report these deployments, though there are few details surrounding this deployment. AC: For the DPRK, this is obviously a power-projection move, and a way of strengthening diplomatic ties with Russia.

-Analyst Comments-
It is unclear as to if the mass shooting in TN is linked to any organized group, however any discussion of this potential has been strictly forbidden by media giants; censorship and the subsequent media blackout is extremely substantial following these events, so more information is required before a solid assessment is possible. Despite the censorship concerns, social atmospherics indicate that Christian individuals, groups, and facilities will remain persecuted and targeted by malign actors, especially as Lent comes to a close. Easter (April 9) and Pascha (April 16) services will also be likely targets for malign actors, though we currently have no indications of any specific (potential) attacks. Increased vigilance and heightened situational awareness are strongly recommended during upcoming Christian holiday events.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire 2345Z - March 30, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 234530Z MAR 23
ICOD: 230030Z MAR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Trump indicted by grand jury. Infrastructure incidents continue to increase in frequency and severity.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
NY: Donald Trump has been indicted by a grand jury. Governor Ron DeSantis has formally stated that Florida will not assist with any extradition operation.

Washington D.C. - Jacob Chansley (the QAnon shaman) was released from prison today. He was imprisoned for 27 months, and is now in a halfway house. AC: Several weeks ago, Fox News aired footage during a Tucker Carlson segment that confirmed Capitol police officers personally guided Chansley into the US Capitol on J6, completely exonerating Chansley. This makes the timing of Chansley's release very suspicious.

TX: Chemical spill near Robstown. An unidentified amount of Mercaptan (the chemical that gives natural gas it's rotten egg smell) was spilled, but has been contained.

MN: Large catastrophic train derailment IVO Raymond. At least one car was carrying Ethanol, and caught fire. Residents were evacuated due to the large fire.

-Analyst Comments-
The timing of Trump's indictment is highly questionable. A few days ago, court officials announced the grand jury would be taking a 30 day break, and will have a decision following the adjournment. We now know this was a deception operation. The indictment of Trump is suspiciously timed with the release of Jacob Chansley. To be clear, the evidence of Chansley's innocence is not why he was released, officials state he was released for "good behavior"...not the revelation of exculpatory evidence.
Today, there have been many milestones, and many opportunities for tension to reach a breaking point. Historic, once-in-a-lifetime infrastructure events have now become a daily occurrence...every day we discover a major train derailment, factory fire/explosion, or chemical spill. Consequently, tensions remain high throughout the US as average Americans watch events unfold.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 0030Z April 02, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 003002Z APR 23
ICOD: 000002Z APR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Critical infrastructure vulnerabilities remain a constant concern. Belarus prepares to receive Russian Nukes. Ukraine persecutes Christians.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
OH: CDC officials confirm that 7x employees in total have been injured since the beginning of the East Palestine HAZMAT crisis. These officials reported suffering burning eyes and throats, headaches and nausea. It is unknown as to how many others have been injured due to the toxic environment, as other agencies have not released any information on employee injuries. Officials still maintain that the area is safe for residents.

-International Events-
Belarus: Lukashenko continues to prepare for the arrival of Russian tactical nuclear weapons. Lukashenko has expressed the desire to also host Russian strategic weapons, and has begun revitalizing Belarus' Cold-War era silos and launch pads.

Ukraine: Persecution of Orthodox Christians remains an constant goal of Ukraine's regime. Security forces again raided the Kiev-Pechersk Lavra (aka the Monastery of the Caves), a thousand-year-old Orthodox monastery in Kiev. The raid was conducted to remove Orthodox leadership by forcibly evicting Metropolitan Pavel, who remains under house arrest.

-Analyst Comments-
In East Palestine, it is important to note that the 7x investigators that have been injured were NOT part of cleanup crews. Rather, these employees were part of survey crews, going door-to-door to interview residents. It is becoming impossible to conceal the severe impacts this HAZMAT crisis has had on the local environment, when the teams going to residential homes are falling ill. This alone is undeniable proof that residential areas are heavily contaminated.
In Ukraine, Orthodox Christians have been persecuted heavily since the renewal of Russia's invasion, with Zelensky's Secret Police (the SBU) raiding and arresting Metropolitan Pavel on charges of "justifying Russian aggression", a criminal offense in Ukraine. Freedom of speech is NOT allowed in Ukraine, and all information has been strictly controlled by the government since Zelensky enacted emergency powers at the beginning of the invasion. Though completely ignored by western media for obvious reasons, arresting unarmed religious clerics at gunpoint by secret police organizations is not often looked upon in a positive light, no matter the circumstances. Since 2022, 61 other clerics have been prosecuted for allegedly pro-Russia stances, despite formally cutting ties with the Moscow Patriarchy. Most Orthodox churches in Ukraine have gone underground in response to Zelensky's sanctions, raids, and targeting actions.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 2245Z - April 02, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 224502Z APR 23
ICOD: 210002Z APR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
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BLUF: Daily derailments and chemical spills continue. OPEC cuts production.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
MT: Catastrophic train derailment near Paradise, Montana. 25x cars derailed, coming to rest in the adjacent Clark Fork River. The cargo on board is unknown, but local authorities assess that the contents of the derailed cars was mostly consumer goods. Authorities urge there are no HAZMAT concerns at this time, but locals have indicated on social media that an unidentified substance is leaking from the pileup of derailed cars directly into the river. These reports are unconfirmed. The catastrophic nature of the derailment likely means that recovery may take some time. The cause of the derailment is unknown.

NY: Multiple explosions reported at Nouryon Chemicals yesterday on Friday. Plant officials state that an uncontrolled chemical reaction caused multiple canisters of organic Peroxide to explode. Very few details are public surrounding this incident, but the explosions have been controlled. Currently, it is not publicly known how much Peroxide has leaked from the facility following the explosions, but local reporting indicates that a substantial amount of Peroxide spilled directly into the nearby Eighteen Mile Creek. Officials have stated that there is no risk to the public, but during the incident a half-mile exclusion zone was emplaced around the plant due to the danger posed by the explosions.

-International Events-
OPEC: Production of crude oil cut by one million barrels per day. This comes as the White House recommends against cutting production. This will likely raise domestic US POL prices somewhat over the summer.

-Analyst Comments-
Critical infrastructure incidents continue to impact the United States.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
NNNN

via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 0100Z April 07, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 010007Z APR 23
ICOD: 003007Z APR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
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BLUF: Finland joins NATO. Trump arrested, released pending trial.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
NY: Trump surrendered to police on Tuesday, and has entered a plea of Not Guilty on all charges. Currently, no trial date has been set.

-International Events-
Finland: Finland joins NATO. Finland has reportedly not requested NATO troops to be stationed within her borders at this time. AC: NATO is almost certainly interested in the deployment of troops along Russia's northern flank. Even though publicly Finland remains a largely independent power militarily, NATO has likely been quietly exploring options for covert, small-scale "advisory" deployments throughout the country, which will probably begin soon (if not already).

BRICS: Member states exploring potential for common currency system, which is likely intended to serve as an opposition currency to the US Dollar.

France: Widespread riots/protests continue nationwide in opposition to Macron's government. AC: Though originally the demonstrations were in response to Macron's pension reform, at this point the sentiments appear to generally be anti-government in nature, and not specifically related to one policy, but many different issues. It is unclear as to how much the demonstrations are affecting daily life, but in some areas society has completely shut down. In other areas, daily life is largely unaffected.

-Analyst Comments-
Finland joining NATO is an expected, but nonetheless significant, development as nations continue to align along diplomatic battle lines. Now that Russia's physical border with NATO is effectively doubled, diplomatic retaliation on the part of Russia is a certainty, such as greatly expanding her aspirations towards trade partnerships with Asia. This event alone being a prelude to a total European war is unlikely at this stage, but as tensions remain at levels reminiscent of the height of the Cold War, any escalatory actions by either side are not a good sign.

-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
NNNN

via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire 2330Z April 08, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 233008Z APR 23
ICOD: 230008Z APR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: China mobilizes forces for large-scale exercises surrounding Taiwan. FBI/SOCOM botches Boston training event.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
MA: FBI and US SOCOM forces raided the wrong hotel room as part of an undisclosed training operation at the Revere Hotel in Boston on Tuesday. Agents handcuffed an unsuspecting citizen, interrogating him in the bathroom of his hotel room. After some time, the agents/soldiers realized that their detainee was actually a regular citizen, not an exercise participant (who allegedly is a pilot for Delta Airlines and was simply a regular guest at the hotel). After being freed, the Delta pilot called local police to report the event, leading to the public being notified. An officer with US SOCOM has been selected to lead the investigation of SOCOM's involvement in the botched raid. AC: All agencies involved have been very tight lipped regarding this raid, and the interrogation tactics used on this innocent citizen are unclear. Though these types of exercises are undertaken throughout civilian populaces extremely regularly, it is not clear as to why this exercise took place in an actively used hotel in such close proximity to civilians. Usually, when civilian hotels are used for similar training events, an entire floor is made available for the event, so that unsuspecting guests do not stumble into the training area.

-International Events-
China: ROC forces are on alert as PLAN ships and aircraft conduct surprise "drills" in the Taiwan Strait, and beyond. So far, China has declared the surprise exercises will take place in areas that strategically surround the island of Taiwan. Currently 9x PLAN ships and 70+ aircraft have been detected on radar. AC: This is an increase in the forces normally seen for standard PLAN exercises.

-Analyst Comments-
In the Pacific Theater, the grand question remains: Are these drills by Chinese forces really just exercises, or are they a deception operation, and in turn, a prelude to war? No one can know for certain, but the evidence points to this snap-exercise being largely a reflection of posturing, rather than an immediate indicator of an invasion. These activities are likely in response to the Taiwanese PM meeting with American politicians in California. This demonstration is also likely due to Pentagon officials beginning to step up arms production to support Taiwan...much like the US did with Ukraine. Additionally, April is a common time frame for China to conduct large-scale military drills. The detection of 9x surface vessels, while very significant and historical, is not indicative of the dozens of ships that would be necessary for amphibious landings to occur. At most, this exercise is the latest substantial increase in China's deception operations...one day the "drill" will not be a drill, but rather a legitimate military operation. However, until that day, PLA officials will seek to muddy the waters, testing ROC defensive responses, and causing confusion for the real strike, when it comes.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
NNNN

via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 1400Z April 24, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 140024Z APR 23
ICOD: 133024Z APR 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: US evacuates embassy in Sudan due to unrest, 16,000 Americans left behind. Chinese military demonstrations in South China Sea increasing.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
US: G4 Geomagnetic storm causes Northern Lights to be visible throughout lower latitudes throughout the US. Citizens as far south as Kentucky reported seeing substantial Aurora in the skies last night. AC: This geomagnetic storm has the potential to interfere with electronics, radio signals, GPS, and can even cause problems with local electrical grids.

-International Events-
Sudan: US conducts emergency evacuation of embassy in Khartoum due to widespread violence. Despite the evacuation of the embassy itself, many thousands of American citizens have been left behind in Sudan. Numbers are highly inaccurate, but right now as many as 9,000-16,000 Americans are still in Sudan, with the US government advising them that they will not be rescued at this time.

China: PLAN exercises continue, with Taiwanese officials monitoring the CV SHANDONG as she conducts maneuvers in the waters south of Taiwan.

-Analyst Comments-
War has been a constant in Sudan for years. The US embassy was only reopened last August, after decades of closure. Recently, conflict between rival warlords/generals has exacerbated an already tense situation, with hundreds of deaths being reported (including one American) due to the fighting. The White House has urged US citizens left behind in Sudan to not count on a rescue operation, specifically stating that "it is not our standard procedure to evacuate American citizens living abroad". Based on these direct statements, and the immediate military evacuation of the US embassy, it is extremely likely that all American citizens who desire to evacuate the country will have to do so on their own without any help from the US government.-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
NNNN

via @EmailGateBot
RR The Wire - 1400Z 24 May, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 140024Z MAY 23
ICOD: 133024Z MAY 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
RN: FR88465-23 BLUF: Following a rash of highly suspect incidents, Information Operations continue to be a threat to the American people.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-National Events-
Washington D.C. - This week has been host to several substantial information operation efforts. 50 US Senators have been issued satellite phones for emergency communication as part of new security procedures. These satphones are to be used in the event of a communications disruption. This comes on the exact same day that the FDA begins large ad campaign to "combat misinformation on the internet". This ad campaign used the example of "the internet going out" as an example of "misinformation". This in turn comes on the heels of FBI whistleblowers testifying before Congress about the "weaponization of the FBI against the American people". AC: It is unknown if these actions are related to any specific threat, or if this is more of a narrative of fear being pushed. There are many issues with the logic of all of these events, complicating analytical efforts (and therefore being a strong indicator of 5GW taking place). However, the overall theme is that information control is a high priority for the Biden regime, and will continue to be a concern for the average citizen for the foreseeable future.
Washington D.C Cont'd - Man rams Uhaul truck into White House barrier IVO Lafayette Square. The cargo space of the vehicle was empty. The suspect has been identified as Sai Varshith Kandula. AC: Behavior of first responders was quite strange as normal evidence handling procedures were not adhered to. A N@zi flag (censored for widest dissemination on anti-1A platforms) was recovered from the cab of the vehicle, and officers neatly spread the flag out on the ground (about 15 feet from the vehicle) in full view of (and deliberately facing) the cameras that were recording the entire incident. Once the media took their photos, the flag was removed and processed as evidence. Note: LE obviously take photos for evidence, however the way this was done is highly suspect. Minimal damage was caused, no one was harmed, the target was obviously very strongly fortified, the attack was conducted at very low speeds, and almost nothing was in the suspects possession apart from the flag which was paraded in front of journalists, who just so happened to be at a nondenoscript location IVO the White House at the exact right time (around 10pm) to capture the entire attack.
Border Crisis: Situation at the southern border continues to by extremely dynamic. AC: Atmospherics on the ground indicate growing resentment towards military and border patrol forces, who many locals accuse of not doing enough to prevent border crossings. Of course, the situation is more complex than this (and it is unclear as to how true this is) but tense attitudes remain nonetheless.
-Analyst Comments-
Information operations and the control of information continue to challenge average citizens' daily communication efforts. The ignorance of these threats by a majority of the population is exacerbated by political ideology as many people refuse to allow any opinion that differs from pre-approved narratives. Despite the real threats directly and openly posed by powerful actors; even these reports are met with extreme hostility many times. This presents challenges for those who have not taken measures to create resilient communications methods in the event of traditional comms networks are intentionally severed.
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Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
PP The Wire - June 24, 2023

PRECEDENCE: PRIORITY PP
DTG: 140024Z JUN 23
ICOD: 133024Z JUN 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Possible Coup Attempt in Russia

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Russia: Yesterday Yevgeny Prigozhin, the leader of the infamous Russian PMC group Wagner, announced that he would be seeking accountability from the Kremlin regarding the losses Wagner troops have suffered in Ukraine. Shortly after this statement, Wagner units stationed in the rear areas of Ukraine's eastern regions (now under Russian control) began movement North toward Moscow. So far, the city of Rostov has been confirmed (with high confidence) to be under Wagner's control. Moscow has begun limited small-scale fortification efforts IVO government buildings. Though impossible to confirm, Prigozhin reportedly has 25,000 soldiers of various unit type, along with various mechanized and armored elements in support. There are also claims that regular Russian Army units have switched sides to join Wagner, but these reports are unconfirmed.

Analyst Comment: Always keeping in mind the information warfare running rampant in today's 5GW world, this surreal "mini-coup" appears to be more genuine than propaganda, at least right now. The Kremlin's response so far has been quite limited, possibly due to Russian leadership wishing to handle this incident as peacefully as possible. The Kremlin's limited responses so far could also be due to, like everyone else, Russian leadership not assessing this coup attempt to be genuine. Historically, Russian leaders have often been caught unaware by the winds of change, and this may have been the reason for the lack of any serious attempt (at the early stages) to stop this coup.

The grand question on the international front has been "is this real?". The answer to which is not so clear. The information sources reporting on this event are completely unreliable, and local Russian citizens seem to be going about their daily lives relatively unaffected. Meanwhile, the propaganda machines outside Russia are conducting some of the largest Information Operation campaigns in recent memory. Though we may be able to confirm or deny the presence of Wagner forces in various places around Russia, there is a nagging feeling that this whole affair is not organic or natural. Prighozin, eager (allegedly) to stop the bloodshed of his people, can always stop fighting...Wagner is a paid mercenary group, not regular soldiers. It also makes little sense to want to stop Russian deaths...by launching a coup...which will trigger a Ukrainian offensive...causing even more Russian deaths.

However, this is Russia, and stranger things have happened. Coups that make absolutely no sense are a critical part of Russian history. Will Prigozhin make good on his promise to install a new President? Will he even make it to Moscow? Or is this event just a complete fabrication? Time will tell.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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via @EmailGateBot
PP The Wire 0000Z June 25, 2023

PRECEDENCE: PRIORITY PP
DTG: 000025Z JUN 23
ICOD: 233024Z JUN 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: Russian Coup Attempt Resolved Somewhat Peacefully.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Russia: Prigozhin's coup has ended as abruptly as it started, following successful negotiations between Wagner and the Kremlin. Details of the peace agreement are sketchy, but statements from the Kremlin indicate that an agreement was reached at the behest of mediation by Belorussian President Lukashenko (who is an old friend of Prigozhin). This comes following the downing of several Russian helicopters by Wagner forces. Kremlin spokesman Dimitry Peskov details the results of the agreement as follows (in no particular order):
1. All Wagner troops taking part in the coup will stand down and return to their barracks/encampments.
2. All Wagner troops taking part in todays actions will not be prosecuted, and those that initially refused to take part in this operation will be offered contracts folding them into the MoD.
3. The criminal case against Prigozhin will be dropped, and Prigozhin will be relocating to Belarus.
4. Russia's operation in UKR will continue unaffected.
5. Putin will not be addressing the nation anytime soon.

Analyst Comment: Though a peaceful solution appears to have been reached (after the death of 12+ pilots), caution must be reserved that this incident may not over yet. Rumors have been rampant all day, with no clear proof or indication of what deal was reached. Whatever the details of the agreement are, today's actions indicate that this affair was more likely a genuine power struggle, and not (as some have theorized) a master ploy by Putin to consolidate power. Putin will of course use this opportunity as a way to consolidate power now that the incident is largely over, but it's unlikely that this entire event was premeditated for that purpose.Of course, Russians are masters of Maskirovka, Military Deception, so we never can really be sure of what is real. However, today's events left Putin with a black eye, and allowed for UKR/USA propaganda efforts an easy win. Though the long term implications of today's events is uncertain, Russia's political structure and senior leadership are going to be feeling the sting of this for a while.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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PP The Wire 1800Z October 07, 2023

PRECEDENCE: PRIORITY PP
DTG: 180007Z OCT 23
ICOD: 173007Z OCT 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: WAR BREAKS OUT IN ISRAEL/GAZA AS HAMAS/HEZBOLLAH LAUNCH ATTACKS.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: Conflict erupts as HAMAS launches complex, multi-domain attack on Israel by air, land, and sea. Over 5,000 rockets fired, many of which have landed in the industrial sector of Tel Aviv. Several Israeli tanks have been knocked out as attacks occur along all border outposts. In Lebanon, Hezbollah is on high alert, and has carried out harassing attacks via motos along the Israel/Lebanon border. UN troops in Lebanon have returned to their bases. Israeli PM Netanyahu declares state of War.
-Analyst Comments-
This is no harassing fires, this is the real McCoy. HAMAS has clearly been planning this attack for a very long time, and certainly has only been able to amass this sheer volume of munitions via direct support from Iran. This is the most substantial conflict throughout the region in decades. The most perplexing facet of the war so far is that Israel does not seem to have detected the build up of forces prior to the attack. In this regard, this attack is reminiscent of the Vietnam War’s Tet Offensive. Online chatter suggests that this attack may have been directly funded by the US’s payment of $6 billion to Iran mere weeks ago, but as of yet there’s no direct evidence to support this (though it makes sense). The US has pledged “support”, but what that support might be is certainly in question, as recent reporting in Congress has indicated the US is in a poor state to even arm its own territorial defenses, much less render any substantial military aid to Israel. Funding will almost certainly be allocated from somewhere to send to Israel, but in terms of real military hardware support the US can’t offer much.
What remains in question is whether or not this war will expand to include other regional players. So far, Lebanon seems to be in play, so the possibility of this war expanding is very real. All eyes should be on other regional players who may not take kindly to a total war/aggressive retaliation throughout Gaza. As with most military operations, the most critical part is the first 24 hours, which will be extremely indicative as to how the conflict will develop.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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RR The Wire 1730Z October 07, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 173008Z OCT 23
ICOD: 170008Z OCT 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: ISRAEL DECLARES WAR ON PALESTINE IN RESPONSE TO ATTACKS. TOTAL MOBILIZATION UNDERWAY. LSCO IMMINENT IN GAZA.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East: Following complex, multi-domain attacks by Hamas into Israel, Israel prepares for Large Scale Combat Operation (LSCO) in Gaza. 300,000+ IDF reservists called up, including elderly/retired citizens. Israeli casualties so far 700+. IDF 36th AD mobilizing to staging areas in the North. IDF 162nd AD deploying to Gaza border. All Israeli settlements within 10km of Lebanon border ordered evac’d.
CSG-12 maneuvering into eastern Med to prepare for possible USPER evac. USA in talks to send $8 Billion+ aid package to Israel.
-Analyst Comments-
Israeli LSCO within Gaza to begin immediately. In terms of personnel and equipment involved, this war is reminiscent of the Yom Kippur War of 1973. It is unclear as to if an Arab coalition will form in response to IDF actions in Gaza, but that potential is great. Currently, regional actors are treading carefully, with many Arab states issuing declarations of Palestinian support, but not issuing mobilization orders in any meaningful way…yet. The world is waiting to see what the Israel will do within Gaza, and what preparations the Palestinians have undertaken to counter this obvious counterattack.
Attacks on Israelis (and Americans) around the world are expected as lone-wolf actors and sleeper cells alike activate to target Palestinian adversaries around the world. Israeli tourists in Egypt have already been attacked. Heightened situational awareness and vigilance is strongly recommended at this time due to the increased potential for malign actors to take advantage of the chaos by launching local attacks.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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RR The Wire 1800Z October 09, 2023

PRECEDENCE: ROUTINE RR
DTG: 180009Z OCT 23
ICOD: 173009Z OCT 23
CONTROLS: Public Release
QQQQ
BLUF: ARAB ISRAELI WAR CONTINUES, LSCO IMMINENT IN GAZA. HOMEFRONT ATTACKS POSSIBLE IF SITUATION ESCALATES.

-----BEGIN TEARLINE-----
-International Events-
Middle East Front: Arab-Israeli War continues as Palestinian attacks enter third day. Israeli forces continuing to mobilize along Gaza border, Lebanese border, and West Bank. Turkey issues warning to US to not get involved. Many Arab states calling for de-escalation, though this seems unlikely as IDF forces mobilize for a LSCO within Gaza and/or West Bank. Israel has already shut off electricity, water, food, gas, and all other utilities to Gaza, which is now in a state of siege. Egypt publicly aiding Palestine with medical supplies through their shared border crossing, how much other support is given is unknown.
Far East Front: In the Pacific, Chinese incursion flights within the Taiwan Straight continue following the largest PLAN naval drill in history last month. PLA forces may seek to capitalize on conflicts erupting around the world to increase presence patrols throughout the South China Sea as well as in the waters surrounding Taiwan. No indications are present so far pointing to significant Chinese military actions IVO Taiwan, but harassment activities will likely continue as in the past.
-The Home Front-
USA: Tensions continue along the Southern US border as the immigration crisis reaches new heights. CBP reports 3.1 million immigrants crossed the border for the 2023 fiscal year (though this number does not include the 630,000 “gotaways” who evaded capture).
-Analyst Comments-
On all fronts, information warfare is substantial, with many citizens rushing to support one side or the other, with almost zero appreciation for the historical complexity of the Middle East. The current conflict within Israel/Palestine is the manifestation of issues that run deeper than any of us can imagine. Regardless, conflict in the Middle East has the potential to affect life at home via gasoline prices and availability, tax dollars being spent, inflation, and vulnerabilities to the homeland increasing as military hardware is sent overseas.
Palestinian forces are well known for implanting sleeper cells around the world, and encouraging lone-wolf attacks beyond their borders. Consequently, though this conflict is taking place overseas, citizens must remain vigilant and observant of the potential for demonstrations within the US to become violent. Several clashes have already been reported in several US cities between pro-Israel and pro-Palestine supporters, but any substantial attacks are dependent on Israel’s actions within Gaza, and how the conflict escalates over the next few days.
-----END TEARLINE-----
Analyst: S2A
END REPORT
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