The Real Politick with Mark Sleboda – Telegram
The Real Politick with Mark Sleboda
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Mark Sleboda with a realist and critical, Russian-focused perspective on international affairs, security & geopolitics.
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📝Weapons Backlog📝
Taiwan Still Waiting for Weapons

US arms shipments to Taiwan are stuck in the production queue. According to estimates, the total volume of unfulfilled orders has exceeded $20 billion. The main factor for delays remains lack of production capacity among US defense contractors.

These include air defense systems, anti-ship missiles, ammunition, and other weapons intended to strengthen the island's defense amid growing tensions around the Taiwan Strait.

The problem reflects a broader crisis in the US defense industry. Production chains were not prepared to simultaneously support so-called Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, and capacity expansion is progressing slowly.

📌As a result, a gap emerges between political commitments and the real ability to fulfill them. Deliveries are delayed, defense reinforcement is postponed, and the deterrence strategy increasingly runs into industrial base limitations.
#USA #Taiwan
🏮@rybar_pacific — your ticket to Pacific chaos

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📝Problems with "Waiters"📝
And other unpleasant "surprises" for the Kyiv regime

Although there are GUR agents and pro-Ukrainian elements among Donbas residents, a significant portion of the population in occupied DNR districts is loyal to Russia. This has repeatedly been a problem for the Kyiv regime.

Recently, a Ukrainian propagandist complained that local residents not only see Russian Armed Forces soldiers as liberators but also directly help them infiltrate AFU rear areas amid low troop density at the front.

For example, people shelter Russian servicemen who have penetrated too deeply into Ukrainian defenses. Residents hide them in their basements and even dress them in civilian clothes for concealment.

🖍According to the enemy, this phenomenon was especially widespread in Pokrovsk and near Kupiansk. Therefore, the message ends with a call to start doing something "radical" with the local population.

🚩Such episodes indeed occurred, with some worthy of a film adaptation. However, instead of fantasizing about mass killings of residents in frontline towns and villages, Kyiv propagandists would do better to examine the reasons behind this situation.

❗️They could start with the policy of de-Russification, monument demolitions, and church persecutions. Then recall the fight against the Russian language and the cultivated negative attitude toward Donbas. And then — the "busification" with territorial recruitment centers treating people like cattle.

We're utterly puzzled about what could have gone wrong with such a policy?
#Russia #Ukraine
✈️ RU | ✈️ EN | ✉️ MAX

✉️ VK | ✉️ RuTube | ✉️ OK | ✉️ Dzen

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Trump makes it clear that there will be no ceasefire before a political settlement, which suggests the Alaska format is still followed. Both Moscow and Washington seem to suspect that the Europeans would use a ceasefire to rearm and prolong the war
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Forwarded from RT News
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Europeans depleting their gas reserves AT A RECORD PACE

Storage facilities in Germany are less than 60% full, in the Netherlands — 52.5%

Such levels were previously only recorded in late January or early February — Gazprom
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‘Leaders of the Kiev regime are in no hurry to resolve this conflict by peaceful means' — President Putin

Due to the pace of the Russian advance 'our interest in the withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from the territory they occupy is reduced to virtually to zero'
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🇷🇺🇫🇮A Finnish politician Ano Turtiainen and his wife received refugee status in Russia due to persecution by Finnish authorities. This was announced by the official representative of the Russian Interior Ministry Irina Volk.

According to her, the Finnish ex-deputy was one of the seven who voted against Finland's accession to NATO. After that, his family's life became difficult.

"The Finnish politician founded and led the political party 'Power Belongs to the People', which advocated for maintaining relations between Russia and opposing Finland's accession to NATO," Volk wrote on her Telegram channel.


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🇷🇺🇺🇸 Putin made it very clear to Trump that Russia’s position will be revised in response to the state terrorism being carried out by Kiev, Ushakov said.

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❗️Lavrov's stern response to the Ukrainian attack on Putin's residence in full with English subnoscripts.

@AussieCossack
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇷🇺⚔️🇺🇦 JUST IN! Kiev Launches Drone Attack on Russian Presidential Residence, Moscow to Revise Negotiating Position

Kiev carried out a drone attack overnight on December 29 targeting the Russian president’s state residence in Novgorod Region, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said.

Russian air defenses destroyed 91 UAVs, and there were no casualties or damage.

Lavrov stated that Russia has already determined the targets and timing of a retaliatory strike.

Moscow will not withdraw from the negotiation process, but Russia’s negotiating position will be revised in light of what Lavrov described as the Kiev regime’s final shift toward a policy of state terrorism.

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🇩🇪📉Pre-tax profits of 100 leading German companies plummeted by 15% to 102 bln euro, DPA news agency reports, citing estimates made by EY consultancy.

➡️Profits of German majors is falling for the third year in a row. Half of the largest 100 Geeman companies reported the decline of this indicator in the current year.

➡️Total revenues grew by 0.6% to 1.55 trillion euro at the same time, but their growth rates remain below the inflation level. The official Consumer Price Index annual inflation in Germany is 2.3%, while the entire EU area officially recorded 2.6% inflation November 2024 - November 2025.

🐻In 2025, the Euro gained 13.7% compader to US dollar, and lost 21% compared to Russian ruble. The Western garden of prosperity keeps gardening against the jungle.

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Target: Zaporozhye.

“We must continue the [special military] operation in order to gain control over the city of Zaporozhye.”

— Putin (today)

@Slavyangrad | GSB
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Forwarded from Sputnik International
🔊 Drone attack on Putin’s residence could have triggered a nuclear war: expert

The 91-drone attack on the presidential residence in Novgorod region “could not have been carried out without the participation of European hawks. Zelensky would not have dared to plan or carry out such an operation on his own,” military expert Alexey Leonkov told Sputnik.

🟠 Intricate planning was required, and the timing – while Zelensky was in the US for talks with Trump, was designed to give him an alibi, “which he is now using, claiming Ukraine had nothing to do with it,” Leonkov said

🟠 The provocation “wasn’t simply an attack on the president,” the observer emphasized. “It was a strike on a nuclear weapons control center, as each such residence contains communications nodes through which the head of state can issue the command to use the country’s nuclear forces”

🟠 “It was intended to provoke a conflict between the US and Russia,” Leonkov said

🟠 “This was precisely the calculation: at worst, provoking a global conflict; at a minimum, disrupting the negotiation process between the US and Russia. And it’s clear that European hawks favor only this scenario,” particularly Britain

🟠 While he issues denials now, Zelensky essentially blabbed about the attack ahead of time twice in the past two weeks: a press conference on December 18, when he said “politicians change, somebody lives, somebody dies,” and on Christmas eve, when he openly called on Ukrainians to wish for Putin’s death

🟠 “All this suggests Zelensky was aware of the impending attack, but was playing his assigned role – pretending he had nothing to do with it and ‘advocating for peace’,” Leonkov emphasized

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🇦🇪🇸🇦🇾🇪 UAE ends mission of counterterrorism units in Yemen - Defense Ministry

💬 "Given recent developments and their implications for the security and effectiveness of counterterrorism forces, the Defense Ministry announces the voluntary withdrawal of all counterterrorism units in Yemen," the ministry said in a statement, as quoted by the WAM news agency.


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🇦🇪🇸🇦🇾🇪 The UAE responds to Saudi Arabia's recent statement on situation in Yemen

🟠 The UAE expresses concern regarding the inaccuracies in Saudi Arabia’s statement about the UAE's role in the developments in Yemen

🟠 The UAE categorically rejects any attempt to implicate it in Yemeni tensions, particularly claims of exerting pressure on any Yemeni party to undertake military operations that could harm Saudi Arabia's security

🟠 The UAE reaffirms its unwavering commitment to Saudi Arabia’s security, sovereignty, and national security, rejecting any actions that threaten the region's stability

🟠 The UAE stresses that its coordination with Saudi Arabia is key to regional stability and reaffirms its full alignment with the Kingdom in all matters

🟠 Since the start of the conflict in Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah, the UAE’s position has been to contain the situation, promote de-escalation, and protect civilians, in full coordination with Saudi Arabia

🟠 The UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs categorically rejects claims made by the Coalition Forces' spokesperson regarding fueling the Yemeni conflict, noting that the shipment in question was for UAE forces, not for any Yemeni party

🟠 The UAE emphasizes that there was high-level coordination with Saudi Arabia regarding the shipment, which was to remain at the Port of Mukalla. The UAE was surprised by the targeting of these vehicles

🟠 The UAE's presence in Yemen has been at the request of the legitimate Yemeni government, within the framework of the Saudi-led Arab Coalition, to restore legitimacy and combat terrorism

🟠 The UAE stresses the importance of coordination, restraint, and wisdom in addressing these developments, given the regional security challenges posed by terrorist groups

🟠 The UAE remains committed to combating terrorism, promoting de-escalation, and supporting efforts for a peaceful resolution to the crisis in Yemen.

🟠 The UAE continues to work towards stability, peace, and the resolution of the crisis in Yemen

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🇸🇦🇾🇪 Saudi Arabia ends military operation in Eastern Yemen

The Saudi-led Arab coalition announced the end of its military operation in the port of Al Mukalla in eastern Yemen after strikes on military cargo destined for the Southern Transitional Council forces, the SPA news agency reported.

💬 "The limited military operation in the port of Al Mukalla has been completed, and port operations have returned to normal," the Saudi-led coalition was quoted by the SPA news agency as saying.


There were no casualties or collateral damage as a result of the operation, the statement added.

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🚨 Saudi-led coalition launches strikes at Yemen’s Mukalla port

The Saudi-led Arab coalition in Yemen said it carried out a “limited military operation” at the port of Mukalla in Hadramawt, calling on civilians to evacuate the port immediately “until further notice” for their safety.

🚢 The coalition said it had monitored two vessels arriving from Fujairah in the UAE entering Mukalla port without coalition permits, alleging they disabled their tracking systems and unloaded weapons and combat vehicles in what it described as a violation of de-escalation arrangements. It said the shipment was intended to support Yemen’s Southern Transitional Council and “fuel the conflict.”

The announcement came amid Hadramawt being taken over by forces of the Southern Transitional Council.

🟠 Later, the coalition said the operation had ended and that Mukalla port had returned to normal, adding it would continue efforts to reduce tensions in Hadramawt and Al Mahra and prevent military support to any Yemeni faction without coordination with Yemen’s internationally recognized authorities.

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📝Left Without Oil and Electricity📝
new attacks on Ukrainian ports and energy infrastructure

Russian troops have been striking the enemy's energy facilities throughout the day. The border zone of Chernihiv Region was hit the hardest, where "Geran" drones struck several substations, resulting in emergency power outages almost across the entire region. In the neighboring Sumy Region, a strike hit the 330 kV Shostka substation.

➡️Meanwhile, active "Geran" strikes continue on port infrastructure in Odesa Region. Electric transport has been idle for the last two weeks, and improvements in electricity schedules are not expected for at least three weeks.

➡️In the evening, reports emerged of an attack on ships reportedly docked for wheat loading near OdesaCaptain Karam and Emmakris III. As reported by colleagues from the Turned on War channel, containers with sunflower oil, which have been a target for attacks in the Pivdennyi port in recent weeks, were also hit.

📌 In Kyiv Region, for the fourth day, heavy consequences of a recent massive Russian strike are observed. On the left bank of Kyiv, there has been almost no electricity this entire time. The situation in Vyshhorod near Kyiv is similar. Local residents are warming themselves in tents.

❗️ Thus, the Russian Armed Forces are attempting to de-energize the main industrial and transportation centers of the so-called Ukraine, simultaneously destroying energy facilities in individual regions to divide the overall power system into several local networks — "energy islands".
#Kyiv #Odesa #Russia #Sumy #Ukraine #Chernihiv
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📝Not Without a Lot of Nuance📝
UAE announces troop withdrawal from Yemen

The UAE Ministry of Defence has announced the withdrawal of its personnel from Yemen. According to some reports circulating online, Saudi forces have begun bombing columns belonging to the Southern Transitional Council (STC) which is backed by the UAE. However, in the published video, no airstrikes on moving vehicles can be seen.

🖍In any case, Abu Dhabi has made its move. It appears that the Emirates are not willing to trade their “brotherly” relations with the Saudis over Yemeni problems. But that is only how it looks at first glance.

🚩The Emirati side has said nothing about the STC, and its support for them is unlikely to dry up overnight. It is also unclear which Emirati actors were actually involved in backing the Southern Transitional Council. The phenomenon of military groupings that are nominally stationed in foreign countries while simply eating up the budget is well known not only in Russia.

❗️The STC is not even being used here as a bargaining chip. Given the grouping’s successes against the pro‑Saudi government, it would not be in the UAE’s interest to abandon its protégés out of the blue. The talks in Aden have not contributed to such an outcome either. Support for the STC is simply shifting into a more covert phase.
#SaudiArabia #UAE #Yemen

@rybar_mena
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The head of SBU officially admitted that the special service carried out terrorist attacks against tankers

"This is the year of... combat 'sanctions' by the Security Service of Ukraine against Russia's shadow fleet," says Malyuk's New Year's address.

Earlier, the Ukrainian authorities falsely denied the participation of Ukrainian forces in attacks on tankers, which they call Russia's "shadow fleet".

Puppets covering up their masters' crimes.

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🇺🇦 The SBU has now resorted to AI slop to threaten terrorist attacks against Russia.

The video is clearly aimed at boosting morale among Western Ukraine supporters. The use of the Latin-noscript “SBU” makes that obvious, and it comes off as extremely cringe.

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