Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (EkaterinA)
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💥💥💥The moment of the destruction of the Nazi trash S-200 over Kaluga region, which is "impossible to bring down" according to crests💥🤫💥
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Memo to brOSINT: This is an intercepted ballistic missile.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Павелъ Владиміровичъ)
After Yevgeny Balitsky, Apti Alaudinov and Achra Avidzba, Yuri Polodyaka too now confirmed plans for a major Russian offensive "within the next 30 days, maybe earlier". As he said, all that's left is for the Ministry of Defence to set a specific date, all preparations are under way.
Unlike with rumours about a major Russian offensive last winter, this is now coming from multiple major sources, three of them official.
In the meantime, our army managed to hold the line at Rabotino last night, with further major attacks repelled in the early morning and before noon. The enemy keeps pouring its remaining reserves trying to break the lines. The importance of Rabotino comes from its geographical position, giving the easiest access to Tokmak if taken.
Our army holds!
Спасибо, братья, держитесь! 🇷🇺
#Source
@Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Unlike with rumours about a major Russian offensive last winter, this is now coming from multiple major sources, three of them official.
In the meantime, our army managed to hold the line at Rabotino last night, with further major attacks repelled in the early morning and before noon. The enemy keeps pouring its remaining reserves trying to break the lines. The importance of Rabotino comes from its geographical position, giving the easiest access to Tokmak if taken.
Our army holds!
Спасибо, братья, держитесь! 🇷🇺
#Source
@Slavyangrad Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
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Forwarded from Military Summary (Dzokavaac)
The Armed Forces of Ukraine have already reached the first line of defense or not yet: analysis of the military chronicle
On August 25, there were reports that the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley, announced that the Ukrainian army had crossed the first line of defense of the Russian Armed Forces in Zaporozhye. Is this really so and where did the Ukrainian troops manage to reach in the end?
Where are the fights going now?
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are still advancing in three main directions: Pyatikhatki - Zherebyanki, Rabotino - Verbovoye, Tarasovka and Pologi. The most fierce fighting takes place in the areas of Pyatikhatok and Rabotin. There, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to advance, losing heavy equipment. Sources of the Military Chronicle in these areas note that Pyatikhatki, Zherebyanki and Rabotino are part of the so-called front line security zone. In fact, these are advanced fortified areas, in front of which there are minefields and the so-called zone of destruction of Ukrainian equipment. The advanced fortified area is not part of the first line of defense and acts as a protective barrier.
How is the defensive line of the RF Armed Forces arranged?
Since the summer of last year, the defensive line of the RF Armed Forces has been continuously expanding, and at the moment its total length from Zaporozhye to the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction, presumably, is more than 500 km. At the same time, the “cordon sanitaire” between Orekhovo and Novodanilovka, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine are accumulating forces for further strikes, and Rabotin was equipped with minefields, which led, if not to the disruption of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, then to its serious slowdown and the need to transfer strategic reserves.
The same minefields are located between the forward edge security zone and the first line of defense. These two areas are often confused with each other, since in Zaporozhye the fighting takes place at the closest possible distance: the distance between Novodanilovka and Rabotin is only 7.5 km, from Orekhov to Pyatikhatki - just over 20 km. The largest concentration of destroyed UAF equipment (between Verbov and Rabotin) is located less than 6 km from Malaya Tokmachka, one of the areas from where Ukrainian troops go on the offensive. At the same time, the situation in the Rabotino-Verbove-Pyatikhatki sector cannot be called simple: Ukrainian troops, despite huge losses, continue to attack, but progress in this sector is minimal.
If the line is so dense, where could the APU break through?
According to the Military Chronicle, under the "breakthrough of the defensive line," the chairman of the US National Staff, Mark Milli, meant unreliable information provided to him by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In fact, it was about an attempt to break through the armored group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the northern to southern outskirts of Rabotin towards Novoprokopovka on the night of August 23-24. However, the convoy of Ukrainian Armed Forces vehicles could not overcome the two-kilometer section of the road: the armored vehicles were detected from the air and destroyed by artillery strikes, after which the retreating Ukrainian troops were covered by aircraft strikes.
The first line of defense, in front of which there are concrete "dragon's teeth" and anti-tank ditches, is located much to the south. Ukrainian troops did not reach him in 82 days of the offensive. The main line of defense around Tokmak is located almost 15 km south of the first line of defense, that is, in total, about 20 km did not reach the main line of defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In almost three months of the offensive, Ukrainian troops did not reach Melitopol by about 70 km, and more than 100 km to Berdyansk.
@milchronicles
On August 25, there were reports that the chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley, announced that the Ukrainian army had crossed the first line of defense of the Russian Armed Forces in Zaporozhye. Is this really so and where did the Ukrainian troops manage to reach in the end?
Where are the fights going now?
The Armed Forces of Ukraine are still advancing in three main directions: Pyatikhatki - Zherebyanki, Rabotino - Verbovoye, Tarasovka and Pologi. The most fierce fighting takes place in the areas of Pyatikhatok and Rabotin. There, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are trying to advance, losing heavy equipment. Sources of the Military Chronicle in these areas note that Pyatikhatki, Zherebyanki and Rabotino are part of the so-called front line security zone. In fact, these are advanced fortified areas, in front of which there are minefields and the so-called zone of destruction of Ukrainian equipment. The advanced fortified area is not part of the first line of defense and acts as a protective barrier.
How is the defensive line of the RF Armed Forces arranged?
Since the summer of last year, the defensive line of the RF Armed Forces has been continuously expanding, and at the moment its total length from Zaporozhye to the Yuzhno-Donetsk direction, presumably, is more than 500 km. At the same time, the “cordon sanitaire” between Orekhovo and Novodanilovka, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine are accumulating forces for further strikes, and Rabotin was equipped with minefields, which led, if not to the disruption of the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, then to its serious slowdown and the need to transfer strategic reserves.
The same minefields are located between the forward edge security zone and the first line of defense. These two areas are often confused with each other, since in Zaporozhye the fighting takes place at the closest possible distance: the distance between Novodanilovka and Rabotin is only 7.5 km, from Orekhov to Pyatikhatki - just over 20 km. The largest concentration of destroyed UAF equipment (between Verbov and Rabotin) is located less than 6 km from Malaya Tokmachka, one of the areas from where Ukrainian troops go on the offensive. At the same time, the situation in the Rabotino-Verbove-Pyatikhatki sector cannot be called simple: Ukrainian troops, despite huge losses, continue to attack, but progress in this sector is minimal.
If the line is so dense, where could the APU break through?
According to the Military Chronicle, under the "breakthrough of the defensive line," the chairman of the US National Staff, Mark Milli, meant unreliable information provided to him by the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. In fact, it was about an attempt to break through the armored group of the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the northern to southern outskirts of Rabotin towards Novoprokopovka on the night of August 23-24. However, the convoy of Ukrainian Armed Forces vehicles could not overcome the two-kilometer section of the road: the armored vehicles were detected from the air and destroyed by artillery strikes, after which the retreating Ukrainian troops were covered by aircraft strikes.
The first line of defense, in front of which there are concrete "dragon's teeth" and anti-tank ditches, is located much to the south. Ukrainian troops did not reach him in 82 days of the offensive. The main line of defense around Tokmak is located almost 15 km south of the first line of defense, that is, in total, about 20 km did not reach the main line of defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
In almost three months of the offensive, Ukrainian troops did not reach Melitopol by about 70 km, and more than 100 km to Berdyansk.
@milchronicles
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Forwarded from ZOKA's Channel (Ref)
The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation reportedly captured an unknown number of soldiers of the Armed Forces of the Ukrainian regime in the area of the village of Rabotino in the Zaporozhye region.
t.me/zoka200
t.me/zoka200
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> send in the strategic reserve to take a day one objective
> finally get troops into it
> celebrate and flex on social media
> Russians counterattack the next day and they all surrender
Weren't the 82nd Airborne* Brigade and the 47th Brigade supposed to be these elite units?
* not a real airborne unit
> finally get troops into it
> celebrate and flex on social media
> Russians counterattack the next day and they all surrender
Weren't the 82nd Airborne* Brigade and the 47th Brigade supposed to be these elite units?
* not a real airborne unit
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Forwarded from 🇷🇺IL RUSSO🇷🇺 (.•°*°• Морис °*°•.)
Rabotino, Pologovsky district, Zaporozhye region, Russia.
⚡️⚡️⚡️And now attention - right now our people are slowly recapturing the central part of the village.⚡️⚡️⚡️
Hello to the opponents who spread that the Rabotino was taken by them.⚡️⚡️⚡️
⚡️⚡️⚡️And now attention - right now our people are slowly recapturing the central part of the village.⚡️⚡️⚡️
Hello to the opponents who spread that the Rabotino was taken by them.⚡️⚡️⚡️
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Forwarded from Lord Bebo & Friends
In Austria there are enough male refugees for 28 battalions:
There are 14,000 Ukrainian men of military age in Austria who received the status of temporary protection, reports the Express edition, heading the material "Flight from the front."
The data was provided by the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the country.
Journalists calculated that these men would be enough to form 28 battalions or one whole division in the wartime staff.
In total, 101,629 Ukrainians have been registered as refugees in Austria since the beginning of the invasion. 44,000 of them receive basic state assistance.
They are mostly women and children, but there are also 34.2 thousand men. Of these, 14,000 are aged 18-54, that is, military age (see chart).
According to data for February, 163,287 Ukrainian men of military age left for neighboring Germany after February 24, 2022, Berliner Zeitung reported, citing data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs.
There are 14,000 Ukrainian men of military age in Austria who received the status of temporary protection, reports the Express edition, heading the material "Flight from the front."
The data was provided by the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the country.
Journalists calculated that these men would be enough to form 28 battalions or one whole division in the wartime staff.
In total, 101,629 Ukrainians have been registered as refugees in Austria since the beginning of the invasion. 44,000 of them receive basic state assistance.
They are mostly women and children, but there are also 34.2 thousand men. Of these, 14,000 are aged 18-54, that is, military age (see chart).
According to data for February, 163,287 Ukrainian men of military age left for neighboring Germany after February 24, 2022, Berliner Zeitung reported, citing data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs.
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Refoulment of male Ukrainian refugees to be connoscripted to fight the Russians is clearly on the table across Europe. And I don't have much faith in the ever-activist ECHR putting a stop to it.
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Forwarded from The Dark Troll
It's weird how little Ukraine's economy is talked about. The country is incapable of existing on its own even in absence of war, since they depend on nato to pay their bills and salaries.
This dependency will only get worse. Along with it, Ukraine will experience accelerated refugee exodus. They are in a country with constant decay and basically no economic development.
This dependency will only get worse. Along with it, Ukraine will experience accelerated refugee exodus. They are in a country with constant decay and basically no economic development.
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Gleb Bazov)
Sources monitoring the movement of Ukrainian strategic military reserves report their absence from the previous deployment locations. This means that Ukraine has nearly drained/exhausted all its currently available manpower and military equipment resources, sending them to the front.
This corroborates our earlier projection that the Ukrainian counteroink has peaked and is slated to completely exhaust itself in September, likely by mid to the beginning of the last third of month.
@Slavyangrad
Join💜 💜 💜 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
This corroborates our earlier projection that the Ukrainian counteroink has peaked and is slated to completely exhaust itself in September, likely by mid to the beginning of the last third of month.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (inna)
"Putin has nothing else but human resources. There is no economy, no military-industrial complex, and military reserves are exhausted," said Ukraine's "head of the GUR," Budanov.
Let's review Budanov's recent statements, which lacked novelty:
May 14, 2022: "Russia has depleted its reserves of combat-ready APCs despite covert mobilization."
October 24, 2022: "Russia has nearly exhausted its missile reserves."
December 7, 2022: "Russia possesses enough missiles for several more massive strikes on Ukraine."
January 6, 2023: "Russia has depleted its stockpile of missiles and ammunition."
March 5, 2023: "Russia will be unable to wage war in three months."
Simultaneously, the Ukrainian army has suffered 45,000 casualties, including killed and wounded, since the beginning of the counter-offensive on June 4, 2023. The losses of the AFU are at a rate of 1 in 8.
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Let's review Budanov's recent statements, which lacked novelty:
May 14, 2022: "Russia has depleted its reserves of combat-ready APCs despite covert mobilization."
October 24, 2022: "Russia has nearly exhausted its missile reserves."
December 7, 2022: "Russia possesses enough missiles for several more massive strikes on Ukraine."
January 6, 2023: "Russia has depleted its stockpile of missiles and ammunition."
March 5, 2023: "Russia will be unable to wage war in three months."
Simultaneously, the Ukrainian army has suffered 45,000 casualties, including killed and wounded, since the beginning of the counter-offensive on June 4, 2023. The losses of the AFU are at a rate of 1 in 8.
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (inna)
As of the evening of August 26th, intense fighting continues in Rabotino.
Yesterday and today, the Russian Armed Forces regained control of several positions in the settlement, followed by counterattacks by the AFU.
Currently, the RF Armed Forces hold the southern outskirts, while the center remains partially within the grey zone where fighting persists. The AFU are concentrating their forces in the surrounding wooded areas, from which they move infantry to the combat zone using armored vehicles, often accompanied by substantial artillery preparation. Occasionally, these vehicles are hit by artillery fire.
Both sides are actively engaged in counter-battery fighting, with artillery playing a significant role in these battles. More intense attacks can be anticipated during the night, as infantry finds it easier to operate under the cover of darkness.
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
Yesterday and today, the Russian Armed Forces regained control of several positions in the settlement, followed by counterattacks by the AFU.
Currently, the RF Armed Forces hold the southern outskirts, while the center remains partially within the grey zone where fighting persists. The AFU are concentrating their forces in the surrounding wooded areas, from which they move infantry to the combat zone using armored vehicles, often accompanied by substantial artillery preparation. Occasionally, these vehicles are hit by artillery fire.
Both sides are actively engaged in counter-battery fighting, with artillery playing a significant role in these battles. More intense attacks can be anticipated during the night, as infantry finds it easier to operate under the cover of darkness.
#source
@Slavyangrad
Join SLG 🔺 Intelligence Briefings, Strategy and Analysis, Expert Community
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Forwarded from DD Geopolitics
🇺🇸😭🇺🇦 The head of the Ground Forces, Syrsky, "violated the Pentagon's recommendations" when he called for measures to be taken to protect Kupyansk - The New York Times.
The newspaper points out that Syrsky's recent statements about the transfer of Russian reinforcements to the area "have no independent confirmation."
The publication also doubts that the goal of the Russians is the capture of Kupyansk, as the Ukrainian command recently announced.
“It is unlikely that the Russian troops will try to recapture the city, as this will put them in the position they were in before the retreat from Kherson, when the city had to be held with the river at their back and with limited supply routes.
Instead, Russian troops could try to advance towards the Oskol River, which flows north-south, and then use the waterway as a natural barrier against further Ukrainian attacks."
Note that part of Kupyansk lies just on the left bank of the Oskol.
“According to the Pentagon, Kiev should have concentrated an excessive amount of forces on one section of the front line to attempt a breakthrough. Instead, the Ukrainian command tried to divide troops and firepower so that it was considered as fair and equal between east and south as possible,” the newspaper writes.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
The newspaper points out that Syrsky's recent statements about the transfer of Russian reinforcements to the area "have no independent confirmation."
The publication also doubts that the goal of the Russians is the capture of Kupyansk, as the Ukrainian command recently announced.
“It is unlikely that the Russian troops will try to recapture the city, as this will put them in the position they were in before the retreat from Kherson, when the city had to be held with the river at their back and with limited supply routes.
Instead, Russian troops could try to advance towards the Oskol River, which flows north-south, and then use the waterway as a natural barrier against further Ukrainian attacks."
Note that part of Kupyansk lies just on the left bank of the Oskol.
“According to the Pentagon, Kiev should have concentrated an excessive amount of forces on one section of the front line to attempt a breakthrough. Instead, the Ukrainian command tried to divide troops and firepower so that it was considered as fair and equal between east and south as possible,” the newspaper writes.
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