fed rate cuts – Telegram
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 64.0% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 55.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (62.4%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (41.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (52.5%)

AI: Today 64%≥3 cuts, 55.5%≥4; decline from cautious Fed.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 54.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.1%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Rate-cut odds slid on strong retail sales, hawkish Fed remarks.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 49.1% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (41.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Hawkish Fed remarks lowered 2025 rate-cut odds this week.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 48.7% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 47.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.5%)

AI: Small shifts; inflation worries, hawkish remarks reduced January cut odds.
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 48.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 44.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (47.7%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (37.5%)

AI: Three cuts 48.5%, five cuts 44.0%; hawkish Fed rhetoric.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 45.6% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 47.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.4%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.5%)

AI: Odds of five cuts up, three down after Jefferson's warning.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 54.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 51.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (54.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.3%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Cut odds up this week after weak Home Depot outlook. ([bloomberg.com](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-11-18/home-depot-cuts-forecast-on-weak-demand-for-big-ticket-items?utm_source=openai))
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🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.0%)
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 31.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 51.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.0%)

AI: Cut odds slid further on data delays, hawkish Fed minutes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 33.0% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 52.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (59.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.0%)

AI: Cut odds inched higher on looming soft PMI data; uptrend.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 65.4% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (66.3%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.5%)

AI: Williams' dovish speech spiked December cut odds; weekly rise continues.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 67.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 50.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (68.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.6%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.0%)

AI: Cut odds up again amid weak PMI, dovish Fed chatter.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 69.7% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 53.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (68.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.0%)

AI: No changes.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 84.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Williams' dovish speech lifts December, weekly trend rising cut odds.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 85.3% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 47.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: 85.3% ≥3 cuts after dovish Fed remarks, weak retail figures.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 83.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 45.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Probabilities slipped slightly on strong orders, claims data.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 86.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (87.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (94.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds up; weekly uptrend persists on dovish Fed remarks.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 88.3% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 44.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (87.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (95.5%)

AI: Dovish Fed speak slightly lifts 2025 cut odds.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 89.1% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (88.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.0%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)

AI: Dovish Fed signals extend weekly trend boosting cut odds.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 89.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 43.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (89.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.5%)

AI: 89.5% chance ≥3 cuts; fewer ≥5 after strong ISM.
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