fed rate cuts – Telegram
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.0%)
😢15🤯4💩4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 31.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 51.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (55.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.0%)

AI: Cut odds slid further on data delays, hawkish Fed minutes.
😭31
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 33.0% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 52.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (59.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.0%)

AI: Cut odds inched higher on looming soft PMI data; uptrend.
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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 65.4% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.5% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (66.3%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.5%)

AI: Williams' dovish speech spiked December cut odds; weekly rise continues.
🔥73
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 67.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 50.4% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (68.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.6%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.0%)

AI: Cut odds up again amid weak PMI, dovish Fed chatter.
🔥62👍2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 69.7% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 53.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (68.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (50.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.0%)

AI: No changes.
4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 84.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.0% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (32.7%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Williams' dovish speech lifts December, weekly trend rising cut odds.
🐳74🔥1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 85.3% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 47.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (38.1%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: 85.3% ≥3 cuts after dovish Fed remarks, weak retail figures.
6👍2😁2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 83.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 45.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (84.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (36.4%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (39.0%)

AI: Probabilities slipped slightly on strong orders, claims data.
1
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 86.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (87.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.5%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (40.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (94.5%)

AI: Rate-cut odds up; weekly uptrend persists on dovish Fed remarks.
👏3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 88.3% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 44.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (87.6%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (43.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (95.5%)

AI: Dovish Fed speak slightly lifts 2025 cut odds.
5
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 89.1% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 46.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (88.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.5%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.0%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)

AI: Dovish Fed signals extend weekly trend boosting cut odds.
7
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 89.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 43.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (89.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.2%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.5%)

AI: 89.5% chance ≥3 cuts; fewer ≥5 after strong ISM.
2
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 89.5% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 44.3% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (90.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.6%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (47.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (90.5%)

AI: Slightly higher cut odds after BofA outlook, dovish Williams speech.
4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 93.9% probability
🔢 ≥ 5 cuts: 41.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.8%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (44.3%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (98.5%)

AI: Cut odds up on soft-labor expectations; December-cut probability climbing.
6
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 94.4% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 57.8% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (94.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (31.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (42.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (92.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (25.5%)

AI: Cuts odds up: ≥3 cuts 94%, December 94%; weak data.
5
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 92.8% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 54.6% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (29.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.8%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (94.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (16.0%)

AI: Cut odds ease, April rises, after jobless claims surprise.
3
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 93.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 54.1% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.2%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (96.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.5%)

AI: Cuts odds stable; January probability dips after robust jobs data.
😱42
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 93.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 55.9% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (93.0%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (33.0%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (46.0%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (49.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (96.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (11.0%)

AI: No changes.
4
Fed Rate Cuts in 2025
🔢 ≥ 3 cuts: 93.2% probability
🔢 ≥ 4 cuts: 58.2% probability

Upcoming Fed Decisions
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (94.2%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (30.9%)
🗓️ March: ≥ 25 bps cut (45.1%)
🗓️ April: ≥ 25 bps cut (48.5%)
🗓️ December: ≥ 25 bps cut (92.5%)
🗓️ January: ≥ 25 bps cut (10.5%)

AI: No changes.
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