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Australian GP - Qualifying

Strengths and Weaknesses (Best Laps)

Has Ferrari made a gamble?
Top Speed↔️Drag
Min. Speed @ T9/10↔️Downforce

🟠McL's high drag was worth the gain in downforce
🔵RBR had the lowest drag AND solid downforce
🟢Mercedes lacked downforce
🔴Ferrari was draggy yet still lost in cornering/traction to McL

LEC: "We must have lost a bit of performance. It's the right thing to do for this weekend, but I don't want to go into details" ➡️Wet-focused setup?

Likely not in terms of downforce (Ferrari had the most loaded wing, yet its high-speed cornering was not better than McL's or Red Bull's).

He could be referring to the suspension setup instead. This would explain:
- The sudden lack of pace;
- Their cornering performance deficit despite the loaded wing.

Scuderia Ferrari could be screwed, or could have made the right gamble: the race will tell!

What’s your prediction for the race? 🤔
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AUSTRALIAN GP - QUALIFYING
LAPTIME IMPROVEMENT

Alpine (-1.637s) and Williams (-1.393s) gained the most.

McLaren (-1.219s) and Mercedes (-1.178s) improved significantly over their decent '24 performance!

Red Bull, Ferrari, and Aston failed to take a big leap: only 4 tenths gained (losing 8 to McL).
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AUSTRALIAN GP - RACE PACE ANALYSIS

1)🟠McL (NOR)
2)🔵RBR (VER) +0.63s/lap
3)🟢Merc (RUS) +1.29s/lap
4)🔴Ferrari (LEC) +1.79s/lap
5)🔵Williams (ALB) +1.86s/lap

Strategy:
- Allowed VER to battle with NOR, although McL's pace was out of reach.
- Made Ferrari fall behind ALB/ANT/STR/HUL

2024:
1) Ferrari‼️
2) McL
3) RBR (VER out)
4) Aston❗️
5) Merc❗️
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Formula Data Analysis
AUSTRALIAN GP - RACE PACE ANALYSIS 1)🟠McL (NOR) 2)🔵RBR (VER) +0.63s/lap 3)🟢Merc (RUS) +1.29s/lap 4)🔴Ferrari (LEC) +1.79s/lap 5)🔵Williams (ALB) +1.86s/lap Strategy: - Allowed VER to battle with NOR, although McL's pace was out of reach. - Made Ferrari fall…
My take:
- McL has built a rocketship.
- Improvement by Williams, RacingBulls, Sauber, Alpine.
- Per Sky Italy, LEC's comment ("We must have lost a bit of performance. It's the right thing to do for this weekend, but I don't want to go into details") referred to raising the car to keep the plank wear to legal levels, and NOT a wet setup. This would be the cause of Ferrari's lack of performance.

What's YOUR opinion? 🤔
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AUSTRALIAN GP - TOP SPEED PER LAP

LEC reached 333km/h, but HAM's top speed was consistently high: he used DRS on many laps, averaging 326km/h.

RUS (as OCO) NEVER used DRS: qualified well, avoided mistakes, and got on the podium!

Without DRS: ANT highest (317), NOR/OCO lowest (307).

Who surprised you the most in the season-opener? 🤔
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LEC was SLOWER in all the last 4 corners in ⚫️Quali compared to 🔴FP2!🤯

Ferrari's overnight changes (probably raised the car to limit plank wear) killed its downforce and balance:
- Lost 8km/h and almost 1g in T11;
- Had to lift more in T12;
- Lost 2km/h and 0.4g in T13.

Another weird thing happened in qualifying (noted by @GaborWeber): Ferrari switched repeatedly between low and high power modes in qualifying, something I've never seen before (and which has no logical explanation).🤔

Ferrari's performance in the season opener left us with more questions than answers...

Made via @JMP_software
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CHINESE GP PREVIEW

- More representative track than Australia; one-step-harder compounds (C2-C4) due to high tyre stress;
- Stability under braking and lateral grip will be important;
- Medium wing load provides the best drag/downforce compromise;
- Most stressed tyre: Rear Left.

Will Ferrari solve their issues?

Will the stricter wing flexibility tests impact the pecking order? 🤔

📸: @pirellisport
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REAR WINGS - Chinese GP

Similar choices across the grid (medium-load wings)➡️Each car's inherent drag and downforce will be more evident! 💡

Ferrari is using a rear wing much more similar to McLaren's 👀(instead of a more loaded one as in Australia).

Remember that the FIA is introducing much stricter tests in China to test wing flexibility❗️(which should hurt some teams more than others).

📸 @AlbertFabrega
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CHINESE GP SPRINT QUALI DATA

Let's analyse Lewis Hamilton's first pole in red!

1) AERO ANALYSIS
:
- 🔴🔵Ferrari/RedBull: high efficiency (high downforce, low drag);
- 🟢Mercedes: lowest drag;
- 🟠McL: Highest downforce;
- 🟣Alpine/⚪️Haas: highest drag.

2) MINISECTORS:
HAM/VER's +5km/h higher top speed made them gain on PIA on all the straights (who recovered in the fast corners).

3) GAP TO IDEAL LAP:
A McL P1-P4 finish was possible, but they couldn't combine their best sectors!
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CHINESE GP - PRACTICE 1 | LONG RUNS:

Ferrari didn't do any➡️an issue for the Sprint?

Everyone used Mediums: McL and Mercedes were quickest (Excluding ALO/OCO who did just 3 valid laps). Mercedes' degradation was high.

VER was slowest: RBR used very low PU modes and a lot of fuel (slow in the fast corners).
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