Bitcoin is going to be the common language of us all!

@bitguide_io
🌳https://linktr.ee/bitguide

ETFs continued to buy the dip

https://x.com/sina_21st/status/1810523096383664204?s=46&t=6I9aEqV-RwcladB-FBo9kg

Volatility-adjusted power law index (VPLI) is a powerful tool to model Bitcoin.

By determining Bitcoin's bubbles and lows, VPLI helps you optimize your Bitcoin DCA or investment strategy.

In this short video, Sina explains the origins of and evolution of the VPLI model.

00:00 - Introduction
01:05 - The problem with existing Bitcoin price models
03:06 - The Power Law Model (Origin)
04:32 - The Power Law oscillator
05:54 - Attempts to normalize the Power Law Index
07:52 - The correct way to normalize the Power Law Index
10:56 - The Volatility-Adjusted Power Law Index
11:56 - Caveats
14:15 - Media mentions
14:47 - Where to follow Sina and 21stCapital


https://youtu.be/z3vfteUjnHs

Trump: "On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler."
The crowd goes ecstatic.

Bitcoin Insights #2 📣

The U.S. is on an unsustainable fiscal path that will end in the destruction of the currency, rampant inflation, and increased risk of bankruptcy.

In this video, I take a look at the federal budget, its components, and the projected future path.

https://youtu.be/ss-U7rE3Dac

Heavy sell pressure on the bitcoin ETFs today

🚨 Market turmoil got you concerned?

Check out this article by our COO Sina who breaks down why the markets are crashing – recession fears, major trades blowing up, and geopolitical tensions.

https://21stcapital.com/three-reasons-why-the-markets-are-crashing/

Futures capitulation is beginning!!!

Long capitulating and the bias of the market is turning bearish.

Why are the markets crashing?

The S&P & Dow had their worst day since 2022, and investors are panic selling due to a confluence of three deadly forces crushing hopes for a soft landing.

In this 12-min video, I explain these factors & how I think they will play out.

https://x.com/Sina_21st/status/1820623837404311683

The job market is teetering on the edge of a cliff.

We have had three months of back-to-back declines in job creation, which, if continued, could trigger a recession.

#Clip

Now available on Youtube. Please, subscribe to our YT channel if you find value in our videos.

https://youtu.be/zkw5K_KDVYQ

This is what triggered a global-scale sell-off of every major asset class.

This is how unstable the system is.

S&P + 6% Bitcoin > NASDAQ

Analysis: What would happen if you add Bitcoin to an S&P 500 portfolio?

- At 6% BTC you get to the same performance as Nasdaq with less vol
- The more BTC you blend, the better CAGR but also higher vol. The more tolerance for volatility, the more reward in CAGR.
- Bonds and traditional 60-40 are just lower-risk positions on the same vol-return curve.
- Russell has been volatile and low-return: worst!

(analysis period: 2020-01-01 to now)

UPDATE: Volatility-Adjusted Power Law Index

- The chart got a new look & rescaled to 0-100.
- VPLI is at 42 right now, indicating the market is cool, and Bitcoin is undervalued.
- The Power Law fair value at $73K, significantly higher than the current price of $61K.

1008 institutions have already reported holding Bitcoin ETFs in Q2 in their 13F disclosures.

This compares to 874 institutions in Q1, or a 15% increase.

This is despite the market trading downward in Q2.

This is our Nostr pubkey!

We're now available on Nostr!

Show us some love! 🧡💜

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